PythiaBasketballBETA
NBA - G League
The Birmingham Squadron will host the Mexico City Capitanes on 14 November 2026 in the NBA G League, with the Capitanes the model favourite as they hold a 56% chance to win against Birmingham's 44% probability. Birmingham, 0-1 overall, has averaged 110.0 points and allowed 117.0, while Mexico City, 3-1 overall, has averaged 98.0 points and allowed 93.0, placing the squadron at 24th and the Capitanes at 11th in the league. Birmingham's last five games included three wins and two losses, with a recent loss to Austin Toros Spurs 110-117 and a home victory over Windy City Bulls 134-133, whereas Mexico City's recent five games also show three wins and two losses, highlighted by a win over Texas Legends 107-91. In nine previous meetings the Capitanes have won six times, most recently defeating Birmingham 115-102 on 24 November 2025. Pythia projects a close 104-106 score with a combined 210.1 points, and the Capitanes have a 5% chance of forcing overtime. The model sees the Capitanes covering the spread with a 56% probability, while the over on the total is 44%. The game will hinge on whether Birmingham can keep the deficit narrow after their opening loss.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 110.0 | 117.0 | 227.0 | -7.0 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (1) | 110.0 | 117.0 | 227.0 | -7.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 121.0 | 120.0 | 241.0 | +1.0 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 120.2 | 119.6 | 239.8 | +0.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (21) | 108.4 | 116.9 | 225.3 | -8.5 | 33% |
| vs Similar ◀ (9) | 115.6 | 115.2 | 230.8 | +0.3 | 56% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 98.0 | 93.0 | 191.0 | +5.0 | 75% |
| Season at home (2) | 102.0 | 92.0 | 194.0 | +10.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 94.0 | 94.0 | 188.0 | +0.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 99.7 | 105.2 | 204.9 | -5.5 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 100.0 | 97.0 | 197.0 | +3.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 104.0 | 115.7 | 219.7 | -11.7 | 33% |
| vs Similar ◀ (18) | 112.2 | 112.3 | 224.5 | -0.2 | 56% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 107.8 | 102.9 | 210.7 | +4.9 | 78% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 53.6 | 56.2 | 109.8 | -2.6 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 53.2 | 55.9 | 109.2 | -2.7 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 54.2 | 56.5 | 110.7 | -2.4 | 54% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 59.4 | 57.9 | 117.3 | +1.5 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 58.6 | 58.0 | 116.6 | +0.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (21) | 51.7 | 57.0 | 108.8 | -5.3 | 43% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (9) | 58.1 | 54.2 | 112.3 | +3.9 | 67% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 53.1 | 56.8 | 109.8 | -3.7 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 57.4 | 57.1 | 114.4 | +0.3 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 49.3 | 56.5 | 105.8 | -7.2 | 31% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 49.3 | 55.2 | 104.5 | -5.9 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 50.8 | 51.0 | 101.8 | -0.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 46.3 | 60.0 | 106.3 | -13.7 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (18) | 54.8 | 59.2 | 114.1 | -4.4 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker (9) | 51.8 | 50.8 | 102.6 | +1.0 | 44% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25/11/25 | Mexico City Capitanes v Birmingham Squadron | 115-102 |
| 23/11/25 | Mexico City Capitanes v Birmingham Squadron | 120-97 |
| 10/11/24 | Birmingham Squadron v Mexico City Capitanes | 90-105 |
| 14/11/23 | Mexico City Capitanes v Birmingham Squadron | 102-108 OT |
| 12/11/23 | Mexico City Capitanes v Birmingham Squadron | 103-108 |
| 21/03/23 | Mexico City Capitanes v Birmingham Squadron | 98-111 |
| 20/03/23 | Mexico City Capitanes v Birmingham Squadron | 124-115 |
| 04/12/22 | Birmingham Squadron v Mexico City Capitanes | 102-116 |
| 03/12/22 | Birmingham Squadron v Mexico City Capitanes | 101-112 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Austin Toros Spurs | 110-117 |
| 27/03/26 | A | Grand Rapids Gold | 101-123 |
| 25/03/26 | H | Windy City Bulls | 134-133 |
| 22/03/26 | H | Windy City Bulls | 134-119 |
| 18/03/26 | H | Maine Celtics | 122-106 |
| 17/03/26 | H | Maine Celtics | 144-143 |
| 11/03/26 | A | Grand Rapids Gold | 122-95 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Stockton Kings | 127-119 OT |
| 06/03/26 | A | Stockton Kings | 99-124 |
| 05/03/26 | A | Santa Cruz Warriors | 117-121 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | Osceola Magic | 94-109 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Texas Legends | 97-93 |
| 09/11/26 | H | Texas Legends | 107-91 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Oklahoma City Blue | 94-79 |
| 02/04/26 | H | Rip City Remix | 108-113 |
| 29/03/26 | A | Austin Toros Spurs | 86-118 |
| 26/03/26 | A | Valley Suns | 94-114 |
| 25/03/26 | A | Valley Suns | 112-99 |
| 22/03/26 | A | Sioux Falls Skyforce | 116-105 |
| 21/03/26 | A | Sioux Falls Skyforce | 89-131 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | - | 1 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 110.0 | - | 110.0 |
| Allowed / game | 117.0 | - | 117.0 |
| Point differential | -7.0 | - | -7.0 |
| Avg total | 227.0 | - | 227.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWL | 75% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 98.0 | 102.0 | 94.0 |
| Allowed / game | 93.0 | 92.0 | 94.0 |
| Point differential | +5.0 | +10.0 | +0.0 |
| Avg total | 191.0 | 194.0 | 188.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maine Celtics | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 120.3 | 101.0 | +19.3 |
| 2 |  Wisconsin Herd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 142.0 | 127.0 | +15.0 |
| 3 |  Windy City Bulls | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 125.3 | 114.3 | +11.0 |
| 4 |  Sioux Falls Skyforce | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 125.0 | 115.0 | +10.0 |
| 5 |  Osceola Magic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 102.3 | 93.7 | +8.7 |
| 6 |  Austin Toros Spurs | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 118.5 | 113.0 | +5.5 |
| 7 |  Long Island Nets | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 117.0 | 109.5 | +7.5 |
| 8 |  South Bay Lakers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 115.8 | 109.2 | +6.5 |
| 9 | Mexico City Capitanes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 98.0 | 93.0 | +5.0 |
| 10 |  San Diego Clippers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 123.5 | 121.0 | +2.5 |
| 11 |  Stockton Kings | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 125.3 | 125.3 | +0.0 |
| 12 |  Greensboro Swarm | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 115.5 | 108.8 | +6.8 |
| 13 |  Motor City Cruise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 129.5 | 128.0 | +1.5 |
| 14 |  Delaware Blue Coats | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 131.5 | 132.0 | -0.5 |
| 15 |  Santa Cruz Warriors | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 117.0 | 117.5 | -0.5 |
| 16 |  College Park Skyhawks | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 118.8 | 125.0 | -6.2 |
| 17 |  Noblesville Boom | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 119.0 | 120.0 | -1.0 |
| 18 |  Rio Grande Valley Vipers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 102.7 | 99.3 | +3.3 |
| 19 |  Memphis Hustle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 109.7 | 108.0 | +1.7 |
| 20 |  Salt Lake City Stars | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 104.7 | 104.7 | +0.0 |
| 21 | Rip City Remix | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 113.0 | 116.3 | -3.3 |
| 22 |  Texas Legends | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 95.3 | 101.0 | -5.7 |
| 23 |  Raptors 905 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 116.8 | 124.8 | -8.0 |
| 24 |  Iowa Wolves | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 118.8 | 128.8 | -10.0 |
| 25 |  Oklahoma City Blue | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 93.4 | 103.0 | -9.6 |
| 26 | Birmingham Squadron | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 110.0 | 117.0 | -7.0 |
| 27 |  Grand Rapids Gold | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 114.3 | 121.3 | -7.0 |
| 28 | Valley Suns | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 115.0 | 123.3 | -8.3 |
| 29 |  Westchester | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 93.5 | 109.5 | -16.0 |
| 30 |  Cleveland Charge | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 122.0 | 142.0 | -20.0 |
| 31 |  Capital City Go-Go | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 122.0 | 147.0 | -25.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Squadron | 19 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 99 |
| Mexico City Capitanes | 18 | 29 | 19 | 20 | 86 |
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