BK Liepaja vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2017

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 76-99

19-20 18-23 20-27 19-29

Position#7

Record1-1

FormLWLLW

Points / game69.5

Allowed / game82.5

BK Liepaja

BK Ogre 🏆

Position#4

Record4-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game65.0

LBL

Other2017-18

Meetings · BK Liepaja v BK Ogre

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Ogre winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

94-100

100

-6

A27/04

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

93-74

+19

H29/04

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

75-102

102

-27

A01/05

LBL

Cyprus U18

47-80

-33

H04/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Kosovo U18

54-72

-18

A05/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Norway U18

52-76

-24

A06/07

EuroBasket U18 C

San Marino U18

63-53

+10

A08/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Kosovo U18

52-74

-22

A09/07

EuroBasket U18 C

VEF Riga

56-84

-28

A04/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

83-81

H07/10

LBL

25-24

24-19

26-24

19-33

21-18

26-17

27-24

19-15

18-30

22-22

8-22

27-28

13-22

14-22

12-21

8-15

13-15

6-17

23-18

12-22

15-24

9-19

19-15

9-18

26-14

17-13

14-9

6-17

11-17

15-28

15-19

11-10

13-19

13-25

17-31

13-9

21-21

20-20

17-23

25-17

146.5Avg total

66.9Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	69.5	82.5	152.0	-13.0	50%
Season at home (1)	83.0	81.0	164.0	+2.0	100%
Season away (1)	56.0	84.0	140.0	-28.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	66.9	79.6	146.5	-12.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	61.2	73.6	134.8	-12.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	73.4	86.5	159.8	-13.1	16%
vs Similar (6)	85.7	79.5	165.2	+6.2	83%
vs Weaker (5)	95.0	79.2	174.2	+15.8	100%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Ogre

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

85-92

-7

A18/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

77-87

-10

H25/03

LBL

Ventspils

95-85

+10

H29/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

89-91

-2

H05/04

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

91-101

101

-10

A08/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

91-82

H12/04

LBL

VEF Riga

85-80

H27/09

LBL

Jekabpils

76-52

+24

H30/09

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

75-57

+18

H04/10

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

81-71

+10

H11/10

LBL

21-21

26-24

16-24

22-23

18-20

22-16

13-23

24-28

20-21

30-21

16-17

29-26

28-22

20-32

26-17

15-20

27-23

21-22

19-23

24-33

16-22

29-19

23-23

23-18

23-14

20-24

18-25

24-17

17-17

18-9

17-10

24-16

22-15

19-15

14-20

20-7

19-20

18-24

19-15

25-12

164.3Avg total

84.5Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	79.2	65.0	144.2	+14.2	100%
Season at home (4)	79.2	65.0	144.2	+14.2	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	84.5	79.8	164.3	+4.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	68.4	150.0	+13.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	80.2	86.9	167.1	-6.8	33%
vs Similar (4)	77.8	83.2	161.0	-5.5	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	83.6	70.9	154.5	+12.8	100%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK LiepajaBK Ogre

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	20.7	43.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	32%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.7	83%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.4	20.4	43.8	+3.0	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.5	40.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.7	20.3	40.1	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.2	22.2	39.5	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.5	17.0	37.5	+3.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.7	38.8	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	20.2	36.8	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	21.0	35.8	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.6	42%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.3	41.3	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.4	21.3	39.7	-2.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.6	42.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.7	23.1	42.7	-3.4	28%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	50%	-

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

49-43

A27/04

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

47-35

+12

H29/04

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

40-52

-12

A01/05

LBL

Cyprus U18

27-44

-17

H04/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Kosovo U18

19-32

-13

A05/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Norway U18

24-43

-19

A06/07

EuroBasket U18 C

San Marino U18

43-27

+16

A08/07

EuroBasket U18 C

Kosovo U18

26-45

-19

A09/07

EuroBasket U18 C

VEF Riga

26-44

-18

A04/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

41-41

H07/10

LBL

74.8Avg total

34.2Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	40.6	80.1	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.0	39.4	81.4	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	41.7	78.9	-4.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	40.6	74.8	-6.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	40.0	72.0	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	37.1	42.3	79.4	-5.3	42%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.5	36.2	76.7	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	47.4	39.4	86.8	+8.0	80%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

47-45

A18/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

40-36

H25/03

LBL

Ventspils

50-42

H29/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

48-54

-6

H05/04

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

48-45

A08/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

45-41

H12/04

LBL

VEF Riga

43-38

H27/09

LBL

Jekabpils

35-26

H30/09

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

41-30

+11

H04/10

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

37-44

-7

H11/10

LBL

83.5Avg total

43.4Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	41.0	80.6	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.6	39.9	81.6	+1.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.1	42.3	79.4	-5.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	40.1	83.5	+3.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	35.8	76.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	39.4	43.4	82.8	-4.0	39%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.5	39.2	77.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	40.9	36.4	77.2	+4.5	75%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	21.1	42.4	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.4	35.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.9	22.6	41.5	-3.7	32%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	17.2	38.2	+3.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.4	19.4	44.8	+6.0	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.4	19.5	38.8	-0.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	21.7	40.0	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.7	37.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.8	22.0	40.8	-3.2	28%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.5	17.6	37.1	+1.9	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	20.9	39.6	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	21.9	40.8	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.9	18.4	33.3	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.8	14.2	27.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	16.8	20.7	37.5	-3.9	32%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	24.5	46.7	-2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	21.7	43.7	+0.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	14.0	37.2	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	21.9	21.6	43.5	+0.4	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	21.5	40.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	23.2	16.9	40.1	+6.4	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	42.4	81.6	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.0	41.9	81.9	-1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	42.8	81.2	-4.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.7	39.0	71.7	-6.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.2	33.6	62.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	35.7	43.3	79.0	-7.6	11%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.2	41.7	84.8	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	47.6	39.8	87.4	+7.8	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	40.7	81.5	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.1	38.7	79.8	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.3	43.4	83.7	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	39.7	80.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	32.6	74.0	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	40.8	43.6	84.3	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	36.8	40.5	77.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	42.8	34.5	77.2	+8.2	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Liepaja wins

BK Ogre wins

Date	Game	Score
25/03/17	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	77-87
01/02/17	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	71-82
03/12/16	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	71-53
15/10/16	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	86-74
12/03/16	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	77-86
20/02/16	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	99-81
28/11/15	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	54-92
25/10/15	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	105-69

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/10/17	H	Valmiera/ORDO	83-81
04/10/17	A	VEF Riga	56-84
09/07/17	A	Kosovo U18	52-74
08/07/17	A	San Marino U18	63-53
06/07/17	A	Norway U18	52-76
05/07/17	A	Kosovo U18	54-72
04/07/17	H	Cyprus U18	47-80
01/05/17	A	Valmiera/ORDO	75-102
29/04/17	H	Valmiera/ORDO	93-74
27/04/17	A	Valmiera/ORDO	94-100

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/10/17	H	Latvijas Universitate	81-71
04/10/17	H	Valmiera/ORDO	75-57
30/09/17	H	Jekabpils	76-52
27/09/17	H	VEF Riga	85-80
12/04/17	H	Latvijas Universitate	91-82
08/04/17	A	Valmiera/ORDO	91-101
05/04/17	H	Barons Kvartals	89-91
29/03/17	H	Ventspils	95-85
25/03/17	H	BK Liepaja	77-87
18/03/17	A	Ventspils	85-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LW	50%
Home	W	100%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	69.5	83.0	56.0
Allowed / game	82.5	81.0	84.0
Point differential	-13.0	+2.0	-28.0
Avg total	152.0	164.0	140.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BK Ogre

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	4	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	79.2	79.2	-
Allowed / game	65.0	65.0	-
Point differential	+14.2	+14.2	-
Avg total	144.2	144.2	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	75%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	5	5	0	100%	87.0	62.6	+24.4
2	BK Ogre	4	4	0	100%	79.2	65.0	+14.2
3	VEF Riga	3	2	1	67%	79.7	70.7	+9.0
4	Jurmala	4	2	2	50%	75.2	67.0	+8.2
5	BK Liepaja	2	1	1	50%	69.5	82.5	-13.0
6	Valga	3	1	2	33%	65.0	74.3	-9.3
7	Latvijas Universitate	4	1	3	25%	71.0	85.2	-14.2
8	Valmiera/ORDO	5	1	4	20%	76.2	85.2	-9.0
9	Jekabpils	4	0	4	0%	52.8	73.5	-20.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BK Liepaja	19	18	20	19	76
BK Ogre	20	23	27	29	99

← all games of the day

BK Liepaja vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature