BK Ogre vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 77-87

18-20 22-16 13-23 24-28

Position#8

Record11-16

FormLLWWL

Points / game76.4

Allowed / game82.0

BK Ogre

BK Liepaja 🏆

Position#6

Record12-15

FormWLWLL

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game80.7

LBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · BK Ogre v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK Ogre

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

83-75

H08/02

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

81-60

+21

A15/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

79-97

-18

H18/02

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

64-97

-33

A22/02

Baltic League

Jekabpils

72-69

A25/02

LBL

Jurmala

68-87

-19

A04/03

LBL

VEF Riga

75-84

-9

A08/03

LBL

Jekabpils

94-84

+10

H11/03

LBL

Valga

98-89

H15/03

LBL

Ventspils

85-92

-7

A18/03

LBL

21-17

16-24

20-12

26-22

20-13

17-21

17-14

27-12

18-20

19-29

22-27

20-21

14-32

11-16

21-31

18-18

16-15

24-19

9-18

23-17

19-24

22-20

16-9

11-34

24-17

18-25

13-25

20-17

21-16

33-27

19-15

21-26

30-17

23-26

24-24

21-22

21-21

26-24

16-24

22-23

163.3Avg total

79.9Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	76.4	82.0	158.4	-5.6	41%
Season at home (12)	76.7	78.6	155.2	-1.9	58%
Season away (15)	76.2	84.8	161.0	-8.6	27%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	83.4	163.3	-3.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	87.2	171.2	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	77.7	86.0	163.7	-8.3	32%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	76.2	74.8	151.0	+1.5	50%
vs Weaker (7)	69.6	65.6	135.1	+4.0	71%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

86-96

-10

H15/02

LBL

Jurmala

95-81

+14

A18/02

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

#17

86-73

+13

H21/02

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

99-103 OT

103

-4

A25/02

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

80-89

-9

H01/03

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

106-82

106

+24

H04/03

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

93-109

109

-16

A08/03

Baltic League

Jurmala

69-66

H11/03

LBL

Jekabpils

65-90

-25

A18/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

79-86

-7

H22/03

LBL

27-24

15-27

25-19

19-26

21-11

23-17

24-22

27-31

15-16

25-15

25-22

21-20

19-17

20-21

23-30

25-19

19-22

19-16

25-27

17-24

30-17

22-20

30-18

24-27

20-27

29-21

17-30

27-31

18-16

13-20

22-18

16-12

15-21

17-25

19-21

14-23

25-25

22-21

15-25

17-15

173.3Avg total

85.8Scored

87.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	78.7	80.7	159.5	-2.0	44%
Season at home (13)	80.1	82.4	162.5	-2.3	46%
Season away (14)	77.5	79.2	156.7	-1.7	43%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	87.5	173.3	-1.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	86.6	169.0	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	81.5	93.7	175.2	-12.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	79.9	80.1	160.0	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker (11)	86.6	71.8	158.5	+14.8	91%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK OgreBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	17.6	37.7	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.5	40.1	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-0.9	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	16.5	20.5	37.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.8	16.7	37.5	+4.2	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	17.5	39.3	+4.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.9	16.8	38.6	+5.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.9	16.9	38.8	+5.0	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	21.2	39.9	-2.4	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	22.0	39.9	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	23.1	44.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	24.4	48.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.4	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	20.8	16.0	36.8	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.9	39.1	+1.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.1	22.0	40.1	-3.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.1	16.6	40.7	+7.5	91%	-

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

37-41

-4

H08/02

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

37-34

A15/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

37-49

-12

H18/02

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

25-48

-23

A22/02

Baltic League

Jekabpils

40-34

A25/02

LBL

Jurmala

41-44

-3

A04/03

LBL

VEF Riga

42-42

A08/03

LBL

Jekabpils

54-43

+11

H11/03

LBL

Valga

53-43

+10

H15/03

LBL

Ventspils

47-45

A18/03

LBL

83.6Avg total

41.3Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.1	40.8	78.9	-2.7	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	37.9	77.7	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	43.5	79.9	-7.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	42.3	83.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	43.4	90.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	37.6	43.0	80.6	-5.4	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	37.2	36.5	73.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.0	36.7	76.7	+3.3	67%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

42-51

-9

H15/02

LBL

Jurmala

44-28

+16

A18/02

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

#17

40-31

H21/02

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

39-38

A25/02

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

38-38

H01/03

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

52-37

+15

H04/03

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

49-48

A08/03

Baltic League

Jurmala

31-36

-5

H11/03

LBL

Jekabpils

32-46

-14

A18/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

47-46

H22/03

LBL

81.3Avg total

41.4Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	38.2	79.9	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	38.3	79.1	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	38.1	80.7	+4.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	39.9	81.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	42.6	84.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.0	43.2	81.2	-5.2	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	41.0	37.6	78.6	+3.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (11)	46.0	33.5	79.5	+12.5	100%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	20.1	40.2	+0.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	18.2	39.7	+3.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.9	40.7	-3.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.9	37.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.3	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	22.7	41.9	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	23.2	45.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.3	24.2	44.5	-3.9	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.4	20.2	41.5	+1.2	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	19.9	38.6	-1.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.2	42.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	24.4	43.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.1	21.7	41.8	-1.6	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	16.2	17.0	33.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.8	43.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.5	21.9	41.5	-2.4	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.2	20.1	38.4	-1.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.2	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.8	40.5	80.3	-0.7	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	38.1	78.3	+2.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	42.7	82.2	-3.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	41.1	79.7	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	43.8	80.4	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	40.1	43.0	83.1	-2.9	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	36.5	34.8	71.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.2	36.5	77.7	+4.7	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	41.8	81.4	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	40.1	80.6	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	43.5	82.2	-4.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	46.0	89.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	44.0	84.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.8	46.1	85.9	-6.3	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	37.9	40.8	78.6	-2.9	25%	-
vs Weaker (11)	40.6	38.3	78.9	+2.4	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Ogre wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
01/02/17	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	71-82
03/12/16	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	71-53
15/10/16	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	86-74
12/03/16	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	77-86
20/02/16	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	99-81
28/11/15	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	54-92
25/10/15	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	105-69

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/17	A	Ventspils	85-92
15/03/17	H	Valga	98-89
11/03/17	H	Jekabpils	94-84
08/03/17	A	VEF Riga	75-84
04/03/17	A	Jurmala	68-87
25/02/17	A	Jekabpils	72-69
22/02/17	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	64-97
18/02/17	H	Valmiera/ORDO	79-97
15/02/17	A	Latvijas Universitate	81-60
08/02/17	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	83-75

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/17	H	Valmiera/ORDO	79-86
18/03/17	A	Jekabpils	65-90
11/03/17	H	Jurmala	69-66
08/03/17	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	93-109
04/03/17	H	Latvijas Universitate	106-82
01/03/17	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	80-89
25/02/17	A	Valmiera/ORDO	99-103 OT
21/02/17	H	Tallinna Kalev	86-73
18/02/17	A	Jurmala	95-81
15/02/17	H	Ventspils	86-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	41%
Home	WLLWW	58%
Away	WWLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	12	15
Win %	41%	58%	27%
Points / game	76.4	76.7	76.2
Allowed / game	82.0	78.6	84.8
Point differential	-5.6	-1.9	-8.6
Avg total	158.4	155.2	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	17%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	8%	7%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	44%
Home	LLWWL	46%
Away	WWWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	44%	46%	43%
Points / game	78.7	80.1	77.5
Allowed / game	80.7	82.4	79.2
Point differential	-2.0	-2.3	-1.7
Avg total	159.5	162.5	156.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	23%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	8%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	25	23	2	92%	91.9	74.2	+17.7
2	VEF Riga	16	12	4	75%	83.4	72.5	+10.9
3	Valmiera/ORDO	27	18	9	67%	81.6	78.8	+2.8
4	Jekabpils	27	15	12	56%	78.0	73.0	+5.0
5	Barons Kvartals	25	13	12	52%	82.5	79.6	+2.8
6	BK Liepaja	27	12	15	44%	78.7	80.7	-2.0
7	Jurmala	27	11	16	41%	76.2	78.1	-1.9
8	BK Ogre	27	11	16	41%	76.4	82.0	-5.6
9	Latvijas Universitate	28	5	23	18%	69.8	82.6	-12.9
10	Valga	17	3	14	18%	74.5	90.8	-16.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BK Ogre	18	22	13	24	77
BK Liepaja	20	16	23	28	87

← all games of the day

BK Ogre vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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