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BK Liepaja vs BK Ogre Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 22 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record4-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
6.2/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record4-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game86.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs
Other2026
Meetings · BK Liepaja v BK Ogre
22 Dec 2026
BK L v BK O
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
BK L80
BK O83
11 Jan 2025
BK L75
BK O72
28 Sep 2024
BK L80
BK O75
19 Apr 2024
BK L99
BK O73
13 Apr 2024
BK L83
BK O72
21 Jan 2024
BK L78
BK O83
10 Jan 2024
BK L75
BK O61
13 May 2023
BK L82
BK O75
07 May 2023
BK L111
BK O108
10 Feb 2023
BK L68
BK O99
16 Apr 2022
BK L84
BK O89
18 Dec 2021
BK L94
BK O83
12 May 2021
BK L v BK O
upcoming
25 Feb 2021
BK L72
BK O91
05 Dec 2020
BK L73
BK O78
09 Mar 2019
BK L75
BK O93
14 Feb 2018
BK L68
BK O83
18 Oct 2017
BK L76
BK O99
01 Feb 2017
BK L71
BK O82
15 Oct 2016
BK L86
BK O74
20 Feb 2016
BK L99
BK O81
25 Oct 2015
BK L105
BK O69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BK Ogre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 75
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
98-88
98
88
+10
86avg 75
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 75
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 75
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
83-108
83
108
-25
77avg 75
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 75
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
112-54
112
54
+58
118avg 75
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
92-65
92
65
+27
no box
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
99-69
99
69
+30
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
23-19
21-15
17-17
23-24
26-23
21-21
28-20
20-16
16-17
15-24
20-21
20-21
14-20
19-24
16-20
22-17
23-30
15-30
23-31
20-19
8-21
28-18
16-27
37-7
21-18
33-12
21-17
28-17
21-9
25-21
18-18
23-24
28-17
28-12
20-16
18-23
18-21
15-28
21-17
164.4Avg total
84.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.477.3159.7+5.140%
Season at home (5)91.274.4165.6+16.860%
Season away (5)73.680.2153.8-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.979.5164.4+5.450%
Last 5 (5)89.472.4161.8+17.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.289.9165.1-14.60%
vs Similar (2)82.080.5162.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.579.3166.8+8.254%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
95avg 78
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
54avg 78
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
63avg 78
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
106-81
106
81
+25
101avg 78
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 78
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
77avg 78
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 78
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
101-77
101
77
+24
97avg 78
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
92-88
92
88
+4
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
H13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
29-22
21-30
29-34
20-29
23-23
17-17
13-23
15-34
21-28
23-29
26-19
18-22
30-21
22-15
36-23
20-15
17-11
23-22
16-21
21-26
18-25
18-18
21-13
29-23
22-29
19-23
18-17
22-22
26-16
28-25
25-14
26-20
23-14
23-23
20-31
21-23
17-18
15-28
28-20
176.7Avg total
88.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.786.7173.3+0.044%
Season at home (6)90.286.5176.7+3.750%
Season away (3)79.787.0166.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)88.188.6176.7-0.540%
Last 5 (5)88.085.6173.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)85.890.9176.7-5.130%
vs Similar (7)81.084.0165.0-3.029%
vs Weaker (12)88.880.2169.1+8.667%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
BK LiepajaBK Ogre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
58-25
58
25
+33
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
81.5Avg total
42.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.484.4-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.185.5+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)40.542.683.1-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.681.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.279.6+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.444.380.7-7.97%-
vs Similar (2)42.545.087.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.940.887.7+6.269%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
88.1Avg total
44.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.186.3+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.442.387.8+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.743.984.6-3.243%-
Last 10 (10)44.044.188.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.288.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)43.147.390.4-4.230%-
vs Similar (7)43.343.486.7-0.143%-
vs Weaker (12)43.538.281.8+5.275%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.7
49.2%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.9
33.1%
31.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.618.1
70.7%
68.3%18.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.8
57.8%
52.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.8
37.0%
31.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
68.3%14.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
LWWWLLLLWW
BK Ogre
LWWLLWWLLL
#11
League position
#10
-2.0
Net rating
-2.5
91.6
Offensive rating
100.7
93.5
Defensive rating
103.2
49.4%
Effective FG%
56.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.1%
3-point %
37.0%
63.2%
Assist %
53.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.6 · 100.7Defence93.5 · 103.2Shooting49.4% · 56.7%3-point %33.1% · 37.0%Ball care16.1% · 14.9%Free throws0.41 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ BK Ogre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
BK Liepaja wins
2
BK Ogre wins
DateGameScore
11/02/26BK Liepaja v BK Ogre80-83
05/12/25BK Ogre v BK Liepaja76-83
01/03/25BK Ogre v BK Liepaja91-96 OT
18/01/25BK Ogre v BK Liepaja69-78
11/01/25BK Liepaja v BK Ogre75-72
28/09/24BK Liepaja v BK Ogre80-75
22/04/24BK Ogre v BK Liepaja81-85 OT
19/04/24BK Liepaja v BK Ogre99-73
16/04/24BK Ogre v BK Liepaja94-79
13/04/24BK Liepaja v BK Ogre83-72
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AValmiera Glass Via72-89
07/11/26ARigas Juniori99-69
04/11/26HKeila Coolbet92-65
31/10/26HViimsi112-54
27/10/26HBristol Flyers72-85
21/10/26AKapfenberg Bulls83-108
17/10/26ARigas Zelli69-85
14/10/26HTal Tech71-78
11/10/26HRigas Juniori98-88
06/10/26HLausanne Basket81-74
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HKeila KK81-89
07/11/26HBC Kalev/Cramo92-88
31/10/26HKeila Coolbet101-77
24/10/26HVentspils88-92
21/10/26ATal Tech78-82
16/10/26AViimsi76-69
10/10/26HLatvijas Universitate106-81
03/10/26ARigas Zelli85-110
26/09/26HVEF Riga73-92
14/03/26HLatvijas Universitate101-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL40%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game82.491.273.6
Allowed / game77.374.480.2
Point differential+5.1+16.8-6.6
Avg total159.7165.6153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %44%50%33%
Points / game86.790.279.7
Allowed / game86.786.587.0
Point differential+0.0+3.7-7.3
Avg total173.3176.7166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool96367%81.375.3+6.0
5 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
6 Tal Tech106460%73.773.8-0.1
7 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
8 Parnu84450%77.477.1+0.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet9090%70.391.1-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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