BK Liepaja vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2023

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 111-108 (OT)

29-29 12-28 19-11 26-18 25-22

Position#2

Record6-4

FormWWLLW

Points / game73.2

Allowed / game74.2

BK Liepaja 🏆

BK Ogre

Position#3

Record4-4

FormWLLLL

Points / game84.9

Allowed / game82.2

LBLLBL - 3rd place· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs

Other2022-23

Meetings · BK Liepaja v BK Ogre

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Ogre winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

93-65

+28

H06/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

67-82

-15

A10/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

84-71

+13

H13/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

71-54

+17

A15/04

LBL

VEF Riga

64-79

-15

A20/04

LBL

VEF Riga

76-71

H23/04

LBL

VEF Riga

78-75

A26/04

LBL

VEF Riga

60-92

-32

H28/04

LBL

VEF Riga

61-87

-26

A30/04

LBL

BK Ogre

78-66

+12

A04/05

LBL

27-12

26-20

21-18

19-15

20-21

13-22

19-17

15-22

20-16

24-15

21-19

19-21

24-17

20-12

14-17

13-8

20-21

13-24

15-19

16-15

14-14

28-19

14-18

20-20

22-16

17-17

22-18

17-24

11-24

11-23

20-25

18-20

17-26

18-22

14-18

12-21

31-19

19-19

11-15

17-13

147.4Avg total

73.2Scored

74.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	73.2	74.2	147.4	-1.0	60%
Season at home (4)	78.2	74.8	153.0	+3.5	75%
Season away (6)	69.8	73.8	143.7	-4.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	73.2	74.2	147.4	-1.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	70.6	78.2	148.8	-7.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	71.1	84.6	155.7	-13.4	28%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	82.6	80.4	163.0	+2.2	60%
vs Weaker (7)	79.6	70.9	150.4	+8.7	86%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Ogre

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

70-76

-6

A24/03

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

66-83

-17

H01/04

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

104-66

104

+38

H05/04

LBL

Valmiera Glass Via

92-79

+13

A09/04

LBL

Valmiera Glass Via

102-81

102

+21

H12/04

LBL

Ventspils

79-76

A19/04

LBL

Ventspils

76-91

-15

H22/04

LBL

Ventspils

81-94

-13

A25/04

LBL

Ventspils

79-93

-14

H27/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

66-78

-12

H04/05

LBL

16-19

21-18

10-24

23-15

15-17

26-24

13-18

12-24

25-10

32-21

28-20

19-15

17-24

28-27

23-12

24-16

23-26

28-21

19-22

32-12

20-23

22-22

18-15

19-16

21-26

15-27

20-20

20-18

24-24

25-30

15-19

17-21

24-27

17-24

14-25

24-17

19-31

19-19

15-11

13-17

163.2Avg total

81.5Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	84.9	82.2	167.1	+2.6	50%
Season at home (5)	85.4	81.8	167.2	+3.6	40%
Season away (3)	84.0	83.0	167.0	+1.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	81.7	163.2	-0.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	86.4	162.6	-10.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	72.9	83.8	156.6	-10.9	12%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	79.3	80.6	159.9	-1.4	55%
vs Weaker (11)	85.9	71.7	157.6	+14.2	82%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK LiepajaBK Ogre

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.4	41.1	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.0	21.7	39.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	26.8	21.4	48.2	+5.4	80%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.0	16.6	39.6	+6.4	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.1	39.6	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	19.3	36.1	-2.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.7	43.1	-2.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	26.2	47.8	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.7	22.9	41.6	-4.2	18%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.1	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.5	39.7	-3.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.3	38.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.7	22.4	41.2	-3.7	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+2.0	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	21.7	42.1	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	21.3	42.3	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.3	46.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.4	44.0	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.1	22.2	41.4	-3.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.4	23.1	42.5	-3.7	18%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.2	19.5	42.6	+3.7	73%	-

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

53-32

+21

H06/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

33-43

-10

A10/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

44-31

+13

H13/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

44-29

+15

A15/04

LBL

VEF Riga

33-45

-12

A20/04

LBL

VEF Riga

42-33

H23/04

LBL

VEF Riga

39-33

A26/04

LBL

VEF Riga

22-47

-25

H28/04

LBL

VEF Riga

35-48

-13

A30/04

LBL

BK Ogre

50-38

+12

A04/05

LBL

77.4Avg total

39.5Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	41.2	80.9	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	39.2	80.1	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	43.1	81.7	-4.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	37.9	77.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	39.8	77.4	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	36.7	44.1	80.8	-7.4	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	46.4	40.2	86.6	+6.2	80%	-
vs Weaker (7)	42.7	34.3	77.0	+8.4	86%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

37-37

A24/03

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

41-41

H01/04

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

57-31

+26

H05/04

LBL

Valmiera Glass Via

45-51

-6

A09/04

LBL

Valmiera Glass Via

51-47

H12/04

LBL

Ventspils

42-45

-3

A19/04

LBL

Ventspils

36-53

-17

H22/04

LBL

Ventspils

49-54

-5

A25/04

LBL

Ventspils

41-51

-10

H27/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

38-50

-12

H04/05

LBL

89.7Avg total

43.7Scored

46.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	42.6	81.9	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	44.5	85.3	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	40.7	78.4	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	46.0	89.7	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	50.6	91.8	-9.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.6	43.2	79.9	-6.6	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.1	46.0	84.1	-7.9	9%	-
vs Weaker (11)	42.4	38.7	81.1	+3.6	55%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.3	36.7	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	19.7	37.3	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.4	35.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.8	35.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	16.1	19.9	36.0	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.8	38.4	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	17.8	39.3	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	17.9	37.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	18.6	36.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.0	34.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.9	19.1	36.0	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.5	16.7	38.3	+4.8	73%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	19.5	36.5	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.9	39.0	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.1	19.0	34.1	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	17.9	34.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.0	19.3	36.3	-2.3	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	16.4	22.6	39.0	-6.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.7	17.6	35.3	+0.1	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	17.1	38.0	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	18.5	37.9	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.1	37.4	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.6	17.9	37.5	+1.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.4	15.0	36.4	+6.4	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.5	38.8	73.3	-4.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.7	39.6	76.3	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.3	38.0	70.3	-5.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	36.3	70.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	38.4	71.4	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	33.1	39.3	72.3	-6.2	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	36.2	40.2	76.4	-4.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	36.9	36.6	73.4	+0.3	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	35.6	76.3	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	34.9	77.3	+7.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	36.3	75.4	+2.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	35.7	73.5	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	35.8	70.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.2	40.5	76.8	-4.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	41.2	34.6	75.8	+6.5	73%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.5	33.0	76.5	+10.5	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 13.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀77%

🏀🏀🏀

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers10.0 pts a game · 77% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers0.0 pts a game · 0% of the points

🏀 Free throws3.0 pts a game · 23% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	5.0	5.0	100.0%	-	10.0
🏀 Free throws	3.0	3.0	100.0%	-	3.0

They take 5.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 0.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 0% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	1.0	1.0	100.0%	-	2.0
🏀 Free throws	4.0	4.0	100.0%	-	4.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	1.0	1.0	100.0%	-	2.0
🏀 Free throws	4.0	4.0	100.0%	-	4.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Liepaja wins

BK Ogre wins

Date	Game	Score
04/05/23	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	66-78
10/02/23	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	68-99
19/10/22	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	81-68
20/04/22	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	84-69
16/04/22	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	84-89
14/04/22	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	82-65
23/03/22	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	90-76
18/12/21	BK Liepaja v BK Ogre	94-83
09/05/21	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	90-87
10/03/21	BK Ogre v BK Liepaja	75-98

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/05/23	A	BK Ogre	78-66
30/04/23	A	VEF Riga	61-87
28/04/23	H	VEF Riga	60-92
26/04/23	A	VEF Riga	78-75
23/04/23	H	VEF Riga	76-71
20/04/23	A	VEF Riga	64-79
15/04/23	A	Latvijas Universitate	71-54
13/04/23	H	Latvijas Universitate	84-71
10/04/23	A	Latvijas Universitate	67-82
06/04/23	H	Latvijas Universitate	93-65

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/05/23	H	BK Liepaja	66-78
27/04/23	H	Ventspils	79-93
25/04/23	A	Ventspils	81-94
22/04/23	H	Ventspils	76-91
19/04/23	A	Ventspils	79-76
12/04/23	H	Valmiera Glass Via	102-81
09/04/23	A	Valmiera Glass Via	92-79
05/04/23	H	Valmiera Glass Via	104-66
01/04/23	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	66-83
24/03/23	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	70-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja

LBL 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	60%
Home	WWWL	75%
Away	WLWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	60%	75%	50%
Points / game	73.2	78.2	69.8
Allowed / game	74.2	74.8	73.8
Point differential	-1.0	+3.5	-4.0
Avg total	147.4	153.0	143.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BK Ogre

LBL 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	50%
Home	WWLLL	40%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	50%	40%	67%
Points / game	84.9	85.4	84.0
Allowed / game	82.2	81.8	83.0
Point differential	+2.6	+3.6	+1.0
Avg total	167.1	167.2	167.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	40%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	5	4	1	80%	87.4	79.0	+8.4
2	BK Liepaja	10	6	4	60%	73.2	74.2	-1.0
3	VEF Riga	6	3	3	50%	80.7	70.3	+10.3
4	BK Ogre	8	4	4	50%	84.9	82.2	+2.6
5	Latvijas Universitate	4	1	3	25%	68.0	78.8	-10.8
6	Valmiera Glass Via	3	0	3	0%	75.3	99.3	-24.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
BK Liepaja	29	12	19	26	25	111
BK Ogre	29	28	11	18	22	108

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BK Liepaja vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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