BK Liepaja vs Jelgava Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Dec 2011

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 90-74

21-18 16-9 26-21 27-26

Position#3

Record3-7

FormLWLLL

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game81.3

BK Liepaja 🏆

Jelgava

Position#6

Record5-5

FormWLWWW

Points / game83.3

Allowed / game84.4

LBL

Other2011-12

Meetings · BK Liepaja v Jelgava

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Jelgava winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

79-85

-6

H09/11

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

101-103 OT

101

103

-2

H15/11

LBL

Jelgava

88-91

-3

A18/11

LBL

Jurmala

86-82

A21/11

LBL

LSU Atletas

#13

78-71 OT

H25/11

Baltic League

Zenit Petersburg

62-70

-8

H26/11

Baltic League

Latvia U18

105-55

105

+50

H04/12

LBL

Jurmala

79-90

-11

H07/12

LBL

Juventus

#11

74-81

-7

A09/12

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

79-81

-2

A13/12

LBL

23-23

16-20

20-16

20-26

23-15

14-21

25-17

20-29

15-20

30-22

25-24

18-25

33-21

16-23

16-16

21-22

10-14

21-17

13-16

20-17

17-14

15-16

13-19

17-21

28-13

29-18

24-9

24-15

19-25

24-25

22-17

14-23

17-16

25-22

10-23

22-20

24-17

26-27

14-22

15-15

164.0Avg total

83.1Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	84.0	81.3	165.3	+2.7	30%
Season at home (6)	86.3	78.5	164.8	+7.8	33%
Season away (4)	80.5	85.5	166.0	-5.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	80.9	164.0	+2.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	75.4	155.2	+4.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	75.0	83.7	158.7	-8.7	26%
vs Similar (2)	89.5	79.5	169.0	+10.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	83.9	78.6	162.4	+5.3	33%

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Jelgava

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

87-94

-7

H12/10

LBL

VEF Riga

81-103

103

-22

H19/10

LBL

Jurmala

70-98

-28

A22/10

LBL

Latvia U18

85-52

+33

H30/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

73-94

-21

A02/11

LBL

Turiba

88-66

+22

H09/11

LBL

Turiba

73-77

-4

A15/11

LBL

BK Liepaja

91-88

H18/11

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

85-82 OT

H02/12

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

100-90

100

+10

A11/12

LBL

27-25

21-23

18-30

21-16

24-31

26-27

15-26

16-19

15-22

15-25

20-23

20-28

24-7

19-14

23-13

19-18

19-26

18-19

24-31

12-18

14-19

27-13

23-14

24-20

17-31

15-19

24-16

17-11

20-15

22-30

24-25

25-18

22-15

10-13

21-31

18-12

27-31

29-24

17-17

27-18

167.7Avg total

83.3Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	83.3	84.4	167.7	-1.1	50%
Season at home (6)	86.2	80.8	167.0	+5.3	67%
Season away (4)	79.0	89.8	168.8	-10.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	83.3	84.4	167.7	-1.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	80.6	168.0	+6.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	82.5	91.8	174.2	-9.2	50%
vs Similar (2)	93.5	92.0	185.5	+1.5	50%
vs Weaker (4)	79.0	73.2	152.2	+5.8	50%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK LiepajaJelgava

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.1	39.1	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.7	38.3	-1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.8	38.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	53%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.8	18.6	40.3	+3.2	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	20.9	22.2	43.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	21.8	18.7	40.5	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (4)	19.5	27.5	47.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.2	43.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	27.0	28.0	55.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.5	19.8	37.2	-2.2	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	21.6	38.9	-4.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.6	45.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	17.0	20.7	37.7	-3.7	32%	-
vs Similar (2)	14.5	21.0	35.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.7	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (4)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.0	22.2	41.2	-3.2	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.0	23.5	48.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	50%	-

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

39-43

-4

H09/11

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

37-36

H15/11

LBL

Jelgava

45-42

A18/11

LBL

Jurmala

49-44

A21/11

LBL

LSU Atletas

#13

31-31

H25/11

Baltic League

Zenit Petersburg

32-30

H26/11

Baltic League

Latvia U18

57-31

+26

H04/12

LBL

Jurmala

43-50

-7

H07/12

LBL

Juventus

#11

42-38

A09/12

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

50-44

A13/12

LBL

81.4Avg total

42.5Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	39.8	77.9	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	38.4	78.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	41.3	77.2	-5.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	38.9	81.4	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	38.6	83.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	36.1	40.4	76.5	-4.3	32%	-
vs Similar (2)	34.0	37.5	71.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	43.0	39.1	82.1	+3.9	78%	-

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JelgavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

48-48

H12/10

LBL

VEF Riga

50-58

-8

H19/10

LBL

Jurmala

30-47

-17

A22/10

LBL

Latvia U18

43-21

+22

H30/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

37-45

-8

A02/11

LBL

Turiba

41-32

H09/11

LBL

Turiba

32-50

-18

A15/11

LBL

BK Liepaja

42-45

-3

H18/11

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

32-28

H02/12

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

56-55

A11/12

LBL

84.0Avg total

41.1Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	41.1	42.9	84.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	42.7	38.7	81.3	+4.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (4)	38.8	49.2	88.0	-10.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	42.9	84.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	42.0	82.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	40.2	44.0	84.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	52.0	51.5	103.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.5	37.5	74.0	-1.0	50%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	17.8	39.3	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.0	34.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.7	47%	-
vs Similar (2)	27.0	25.0	52.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.8	16.3	37.1	+4.4	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	20.9	22.6	43.5	-1.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	20.7	23.2	43.8	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (4)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.6	43.5	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	21.0	28.2	49.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	23.5	41.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	16.5	39.0	+6.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	22.1	40.8	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.1	39.7	-0.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.6	21.7	40.4	-3.1	26%	-
vs Similar (2)	28.5	17.0	45.5	+11.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	22%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	19.9	17.8	37.7	+2.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	20.5	17.2	37.7	+3.3	83%	-
Last 30 away (4)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	17.8	37.7	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	15.8	38.0	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.8	16.8	34.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	24.0	17.0	41.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	40.7	79.8	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	39.9	80.1	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.0	41.5	79.5	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	39.2	76.5	-1.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	36.8	71.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	37.5	42.3	79.8	-4.8	32%	-
vs Similar (2)	55.5	42.0	97.5	+13.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	38.8	37.1	75.9	+1.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	40.8	40.4	81.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	41.2	40.3	81.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (4)	40.2	40.5	80.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	40.4	81.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	36.4	80.4	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	38.8	45.0	83.8	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	41.5	40.5	82.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.5	35.8	78.2	+6.8	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Liepaja wins

Jelgava wins

Date	Game	Score
18/11/11	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	91-88

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/11	A	Valmiera/ORDO	79-81
09/12/11	A	Juventus	74-81
07/12/11	H	Jurmala	79-90
04/12/11	H	Latvia U18	105-55
26/11/11	H	Zenit Petersburg	62-70
25/11/11	H	LSU Atletas	78-71 OT
21/11/11	A	Jurmala	86-82
18/11/11	A	Jelgava	88-91
15/11/11	H	Latvijas Universitate	101-103 OT
09/11/11	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	79-85

Jelgavalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/12/11	A	Latvijas Universitate	100-90
02/12/11	H	Valmiera/ORDO	85-82 OT
18/11/11	H	BK Liepaja	91-88
15/11/11	A	Turiba	73-77
09/11/11	H	Turiba	88-66
02/11/11	A	Valmiera/ORDO	73-94
30/10/11	H	Latvia U18	85-52
22/10/11	A	Jurmala	70-98
19/10/11	H	VEF Riga	81-103
12/10/11	H	Latvijas Universitate	87-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja

LBL 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	30%
Home	LWLWL	33%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	30%	33%	25%
Points / game	84.0	86.3	80.5
Allowed / game	81.3	78.5	85.5
Point differential	+2.7	+7.8	-5.0
Avg total	165.3	164.8	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	10%	17%	0%

Jelgava

LBL 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	50%
Home	LWWWW	67%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	50%	67%	25%
Points / game	83.3	86.2	79.0
Allowed / game	84.4	80.8	89.8
Point differential	-1.1	+5.3	-10.8
Avg total	167.7	167.0	168.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	33%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	10%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	6	6	0	100%	93.7	70.8	+22.8
2	VEF Riga	8	7	1	88%	98.5	72.6	+25.9
3	Valmiera/ORDO	13	10	3	77%	83.5	73.7	+9.8
4	Jelgava	10	5	5	50%	83.3	84.4	-1.1
5	Latvijas Universitate	11	5	6	45%	85.7	90.5	-4.8
6	Turiba	11	4	7	36%	69.2	79.0	-9.8
7	Jurmala	12	4	8	33%	77.1	83.5	-6.4
8	BK Liepaja	10	3	7	30%	84.0	81.3	+2.7
9	Latvia U18	7	0	7	0%	55.0	90.7	-35.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BK Liepaja	21	16	26	27	90
Jelgava	18	9	21	26	74

← all games of the day

BK Liepaja vs Jelgava Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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