BK Liepaja vs Jelgava Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Mar 2015

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 82-81

20-17 19-13 22-23 21-28

Position#3

Record21-6

FormLLWWW

Points / game79.6

Allowed / game69.6

BK Liepaja 🏆

Jelgava

Position#8

Record13-15

FormWLLWW

Points / game72.8

Allowed / game71.7

LBL

Other2014-15

Meetings · BK Liepaja v Jelgava

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Jelgava winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#10

67-58

A08/02

LBL

Jekabpils

105-83

105

+22

H11/02

Baltic League

Jekabpils

73-78

-5

A14/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

87-75

+12

H18/02

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

#10

49-59

-10

A26/02

Baltic League

Tartu Ulikool

#10

71-71 OT

H03/03

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

70-83

-13

A08/03

LBL

Jelgava

83-72

+11

A14/03

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

99-66

+33

H18/03

LBL

Jurmala

76-63

+13

A21/03

LBL

15-21

23-11

17-13

12-13

33-21

24-23

25-20

23-19

20-27

18-18

21-16

14-17

14-20

29-13

17-17

27-25

11-15

9-13

16-17

13-14

13-13

21-15

22-14

14-18

17-17

17-24

18-16

18-26

21-16

16-18

20-19

26-19

30-17

23-16

29-18

17-15

22-14

18-15

14-15

22-19

148.8Avg total

78.0Scored

70.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	79.6	69.6	149.2	+9.9	78%
Season at home (13)	84.0	72.2	156.2	+11.8	85%
Season away (14)	75.4	67.3	142.7	+8.1	71%
Last 10 (10)	78.0	70.8	148.8	+7.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	71.0	150.8	+8.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	81.0	76.0	157.0	+5.0	100%
vs Similar (7)	76.1	76.1	152.3	+0.0	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	79.5	70.2	149.8	+9.3	77%

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Jelgava

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#10

87-62

+25

A25/01

LBL

Jurmala

74-79

-5

A28/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

66-63

H04/02

LBL

Saldus

50-64

-14

H11/02

LBL

Jurmala

82-60

+22

H19/02

LBL

Saldus

77-55

+22

A04/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

71-87

-16

H11/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

72-83

-11

H14/03

LBL

Jekabpils

91-75

+16

H25/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

90-67

+23

A28/03

LBL

23-13

19-16

26-18

19-15

21-16

10-22

14-19

29-22

14-17

13-16

18-16

21-14

19-15

15-21

7-11

9-17

19-14

21-14

15-12

27-20

17-14

15-15

28-10

17-16

15-26

17-21

19-21

20-19

16-21

18-16

19-20

19-26

24-11

20-22

29-13

18-29

21-17

24-6

22-23

23-21

145.5Avg total

76.0Scored

69.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	72.8	71.7	144.5	+1.1	46%
Season at home (16)	69.8	71.6	141.4	-1.9	44%
Season away (12)	76.9	71.8	148.8	+5.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	69.5	145.5	+6.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	73.4	153.6	+6.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	71.8	79.6	151.4	-7.9	25%
vs Similar (10)	73.6	74.6	148.2	-1.0	30%
vs Weaker (12)	75.2	66.6	141.8	+8.6	75%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK LiepajaJelgava

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	17.5	39.7	+4.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-0.9	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.1	37.7	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.4	36.0	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.0	17.7	37.6	+2.3	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	18.4	35.9	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.5	17.8	34.3	-1.2	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.4	35.3	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.8	19.4	36.1	-2.6	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (12)	17.5	17.6	35.1	-0.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	17.2	38.3	+4.0	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	17.3	36.1	+1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	16.6	36.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	15.0	37.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.9	16.6	35.4	+2.3	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	17.3	35.2	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.6	16.8	34.4	+0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	16.9	34.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.0	34.8	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.9	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.0	18.4	35.4	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.6	14.2	32.8	+4.3	67%	-

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#10

38-32

A08/02

LBL

Jekabpils

57-44

+13

H11/02

Baltic League

Jekabpils

38-45

-7

A14/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

43-33

+10

H18/02

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

#10

20-28

-8

A26/02

Baltic League

Tartu Ulikool

#10

34-28

H03/03

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

34-41

-7

A08/03

LBL

Jelgava

37-34

A14/03

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

53-33

+20

H18/03

LBL

Jurmala

40-29

+11

A21/03

LBL

74.1Avg total

39.4Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	35.3	74.6	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.4	34.6	78.0	+8.8	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.3	35.8	72.1	+0.5	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	34.7	74.1	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	33.0	72.6	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	35.0	39.0	74.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.1	34.9	73.0	+3.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	40.0	35.2	75.2	+4.7	77%	-

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JelgavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#10

42-29

+13

A25/01

LBL

Jurmala

31-38

-7

A28/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

27-33

-6

H04/02

LBL

Saldus

34-36

-2

H11/02

LBL

Jurmala

40-28

+12

H19/02

LBL

Saldus

32-29

A04/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

32-47

-15

H11/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

34-37

-3

H14/03

LBL

Jekabpils

44-33

+11

H25/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

45-23

+22

A28/03

LBL

69.4Avg total

36.1Scored

33.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	35.7	71.0	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	34.5	35.5	70.1	-1.0	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.3	36.0	72.3	+0.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	33.3	69.4	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	33.8	71.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	34.5	40.0	74.5	-5.5	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.0	37.0	72.0	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	36.1	31.8	67.9	+4.3	58%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.6	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	16.5	36.4	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.4	37.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	22.1	41.6	-2.7	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.7	17.2	36.9	+2.5	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.0	37.2	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.8	18.1	35.9	-0.3	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	17.9	38.8	+2.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.3	36.0	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.4	40.8	+6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.4	18.9	37.2	-0.5	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.1	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.5	37.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	20.0	48.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.9	17.8	37.7	+2.0	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.5	37.4	+0.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.8	18.1	35.9	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.2	41.6	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.5	18.9	36.4	-1.4	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	70%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.5	17.2	35.8	+1.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	36.2	75.6	+3.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.6	37.1	77.7	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.5	35.5	73.9	+3.0	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	35.0	73.5	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	35.8	75.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	46.0	37.0	83.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.9	39.7	77.6	-1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	39.6	35.0	74.6	+4.6	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	36.5	74.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	35.6	36.2	71.8	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.2	36.9	78.2	+4.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	36.2	76.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	39.6	82.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.9	37.8	73.6	-1.9	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.6	37.6	76.2	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	39.1	34.8	73.8	+4.3	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Liepaja wins

Jelgava wins

Date	Game	Score
14/03/15	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	72-83
12/11/14	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	69-64
15/10/14	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	90-86 OT
08/03/14	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	110-71
12/01/14	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	105-96
07/12/13	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	79-81
13/11/13	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	94-61
20/03/13	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	94-112
27/02/13	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	70-84
29/11/12	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	85-94

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/15	A	Jurmala	76-63
18/03/15	H	Latvijas Universitate	99-66
14/03/15	A	Jelgava	83-72
08/03/15	A	Barons Kvartals	70-83
03/03/15	H	Tartu Ulikool	71-71 OT
26/02/15	A	Tartu Ulikool	49-59
18/02/15	H	Valmiera/ORDO	87-75
14/02/15	A	Jekabpils	73-78
11/02/15	H	Jekabpils	105-83
08/02/15	A	Latvijas Universitate	67-58

Jelgavalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/15	A	Barons Kvartals	90-67
25/03/15	H	Jekabpils	91-75
14/03/15	H	BK Liepaja	72-83
11/03/15	H	Valmiera/ORDO	71-87
04/03/15	A	Saldus	77-55
19/02/15	H	Jurmala	82-60
11/02/15	H	Saldus	50-64
04/02/15	H	Latvijas Universitate	66-63
28/01/15	A	Jurmala	74-79
25/01/15	A	Latvijas Universitate	87-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja

LBL 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	78%
Home	WLWWW	85%
Away	WLLWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	78%	85%	71%
Points / game	79.6	84.0	75.4
Allowed / game	69.6	72.2	67.3
Point differential	+9.9	+11.8	+8.1
Avg total	149.2	156.2	142.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	54%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	100% (2)	50% (6)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Jelgava

LBL 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	46%
Home	LWLLW	44%
Away	LWLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	16	12
Win %	46%	44%	50%
Points / game	72.8	69.8	76.9
Allowed / game	71.7	71.6	71.8
Point differential	+1.1	-1.9	+5.1
Avg total	144.5	141.4	148.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	25%	42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	75% (4)	20% (5)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	16	13	3	81%	82.1	67.1	+15.0
2	VEF Riga	10	8	2	80%	83.1	71.7	+11.4
3	BK Liepaja	27	21	6	78%	79.6	69.6	+9.9
4	Jurmala	29	17	12	59%	71.0	69.5	+1.5
5	Jekabpils	29	16	13	55%	75.3	74.2	+1.0
6	Barons Kvartals	28	14	14	50%	72.8	76.6	-3.8
7	Jelgava	28	13	15	46%	72.8	71.7	+1.1
8	Valmiera/ORDO	29	12	17	41%	75.1	74.2	+0.9
9	Latvijas Universitate	29	7	22	24%	64.1	75.4	-11.3
10	Saldus	29	6	23	21%	66.8	77.7	-11.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BK Liepaja	20	19	22	21	82
Jelgava	17	13	23	28	81

← all games of the day

BK Liepaja vs Jelgava Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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