BK Liepaja vs Jelgava Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 95-71

23-16 19-23 29-17 24-15

Position#4

Record23-12

FormLWLLW

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game75.0

BK Liepaja 🏆

Jelgava

Position#9

Record9-26

FormLLLLL

Points / game70.1

Allowed / game80.7

LBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · BK Liepaja v Jelgava

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Jelgava winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jelgava

93-70

+23

A05/03

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

76-80

-4

H08/03

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

86-77

A12/03

LBL

Ventspils

70-83

-13

H19/03

LBL

Jekabpils

94-77

+17

A26/03

LBL

Valga

67-84

-17

A02/04

LBL

Barons Kvartals

103-66

103

+37

A10/04

LBL

Ventspils

77-100

100

-23

A13/04

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

70-82

-12

H16/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

74-67

H20/04

LBL

27-12

15-19

30-21

21-18

22-23

22-19

12-19

20-19

36-18

22-20

16-23

12-16

19-19

17-27

15-15

19-22

28-19

16-13

24-18

26-27

7-30

24-21

17-13

19-20

23-14

32-12

18-18

30-22

17-26

19-25

22-21

19-28

19-21

17-12

18-20

16-29

18-13

14-16

26-19

16-19

159.6Avg total

81.0Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	82.4	75.0	157.4	+7.4	66%
Season at home (17)	84.6	76.3	160.9	+8.4	76%
Season away (18)	80.2	73.8	154.0	+6.4	56%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	78.6	159.6	+2.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	79.8	158.0	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	77.0	89.2	166.2	-12.2	17%
vs Similar (9)	78.6	74.4	153.0	+4.1	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	83.6	76.2	159.8	+7.4	73%

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Jelgava

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Ogre

#10

98-97 OT

H02/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

70-93

-23

H05/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

56-95

-39

H13/03

LBL

Jekabpils

75-89

-14

A16/03

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

74-67

A20/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

65-78

-13

A23/03

LBL

Jurmala

83-88

-5

H03/04

LBL

Ventspils

66-108

108

-42

A08/04

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

52-69

-17

A16/04

LBL

Jekabpils

75-83

-8

H20/04

LBL

25-20

14-22

29-20

16-22

12-27

19-15

21-30

18-21

16-22

15-23

7-30

18-20

20-18

13-23

17-25

25-23

21-19

18-15

12-17

23-16

10-18

16-15

18-17

21-28

22-18

25-22

17-23

19-25

18-27

8-20

26-26

14-35

15-14

8-18

14-15

15-22

17-22

18-17

23-21

17-23

158.1Avg total

71.4Scored

86.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	70.1	80.7	150.8	-10.6	26%
Season at home (18)	72.8	81.6	154.3	-8.8	28%
Season away (17)	67.2	79.8	147.1	-12.6	24%
Last 10 (10)	71.4	86.7	158.1	-15.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	68.2	85.2	153.4	-17.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	69.8	87.7	157.4	-17.9	10%
vs Similar (6)	73.7	73.0	146.7	+0.7	50%
vs Weaker (4)	68.8	68.0	136.8	+0.8	50%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK LiepajaJelgava

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.8	37.6	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.9	17.6	36.4	+1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+2.9	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.9	38.7	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	21.1	38.7	-3.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.7	38.7	-2.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.5	38.1	-2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.8	36.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.7	22.3	39.0	-5.6	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.2	18.7	39.8	+2.5	83%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.8	17.5	35.2	+0.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.3	23.7	40.0	-7.3	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.7	18.8	39.4	+1.9	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.5	16.9	37.4	+3.5	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	18.7	35.3	-2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	18.7	36.9	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.1	18.6	33.7	-3.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	19.0	34.4	-3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	18.4	33.4	-3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.3	19.8	37.1	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	14.2	18.0	32.2	-3.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.8	14.0	30.8	+2.8	75%	-

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jelgava

42-31

+11

A05/03

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

44-42

H08/03

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

58-38

+20

A12/03

LBL

Ventspils

36-46

-10

H19/03

LBL

Jekabpils

44-32

+12

A26/03

LBL

Valga

31-51

-20

A02/04

LBL

Barons Kvartals

55-26

+29

A10/04

LBL

Ventspils

36-51

-15

A13/04

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

36-33

H16/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

32-29

H20/04

LBL

79.3Avg total

41.4Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	38.0	78.3	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.2	40.5	82.6	+1.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.9	36.1	74.9	+2.8	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	37.9	79.3	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	38.0	76.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.3	46.7	84.0	-9.3	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.6	36.3	75.9	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	41.9	35.5	77.4	+6.5	80%	-

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JelgavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Ogre

#10

39-42

-3

H02/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

31-42

-11

H05/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

31-45

-14

H13/03

LBL

Jekabpils

33-41

-8

A16/03

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

39-34

A20/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

26-33

-7

A23/03

LBL

Jurmala

47-40

H03/04

LBL

Ventspils

26-47

-21

A08/04

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

23-32

-9

A16/04

LBL

Jekabpils

35-39

-4

H20/04

LBL

72.5Avg total

33.0Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.3	39.6	73.9	-5.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.7	39.9	75.5	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.0	39.3	72.3	-6.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.0	39.5	72.5	-6.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.4	38.2	69.6	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	34.0	42.1	76.1	-8.1	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.3	36.7	72.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	34.5	31.5	66.0	+3.0	50%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	20.2	40.4	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+1.9	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.7	38.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	19.5	36.8	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	19.3	35.3	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	22.4	40.8	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.4	21.2	38.6	-3.8	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	15.7	34.7	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	14.2	16.5	30.8	-2.2	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.9	20.1	38.1	-2.2	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.6	43.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	21.0	38.7	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	22.6	40.9	-4.3	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	22.2	40.4	-4.0	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	23.0	41.4	-4.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	23.5	42.1	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	26.6	43.8	-9.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.4	24.4	42.7	-6.0	10%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.0	18.5	35.5	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	39.2	78.4	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.2	40.8	82.1	+0.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.7	37.9	75.6	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	40.7	80.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	41.8	82.0	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.7	39.5	75.2	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.0	38.1	77.1	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	40.8	39.7	80.5	+1.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	42.1	77.7	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.8	41.9	78.7	-5.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	42.3	76.7	-7.8	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	45.9	82.9	-8.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	47.0	83.8	-10.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	35.8	45.5	81.3	-9.8	10%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.0	34.2	70.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	34.2	36.5	70.8	-2.2	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Liepaja wins

Jelgava wins

Date	Game	Score
05/03/16	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	70-93
08/12/15	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	73-72
17/10/15	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	58-84
31/03/15	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	82-81
14/03/15	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	72-83
12/11/14	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	69-64
15/10/14	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	90-86 OT
08/03/14	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	110-71
12/01/14	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	105-96
07/12/13	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	79-81

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/04/16	H	Latvijas Universitate	74-67
16/04/16	H	Valmiera/ORDO	70-82
13/04/16	A	Ventspils	77-100
10/04/16	A	Barons Kvartals	103-66
02/04/16	A	Valga	67-84
26/03/16	A	Jekabpils	94-77
19/03/16	H	Ventspils	70-83
12/03/16	A	BK Ogre	86-77
08/03/16	H	Tartu Ulikool	76-80
05/03/16	A	Jelgava	93-70

Jelgavalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/04/16	H	Jekabpils	75-83
16/04/16	A	BK Ogre	52-69
08/04/16	A	Ventspils	66-108
03/04/16	H	Jurmala	83-88
23/03/16	A	Barons Kvartals	65-78
20/03/16	A	Latvijas Universitate	74-67
16/03/16	A	Jekabpils	75-89
13/03/16	H	Valmiera/ORDO	56-95
05/03/16	H	BK Liepaja	70-93
02/03/16	H	BK Ogre	98-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	66%
Home	WWLLW	76%
Away	WWLWL	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	17	18
Win %	66%	76%	56%
Points / game	82.4	84.6	80.2
Allowed / game	75.0	76.3	73.8
Point differential	+7.4	+8.4	+6.4
Avg total	157.4	160.9	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	35%	39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

Jelgava

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	26%
Home	WLLLL	28%
Away	LWLLL	24%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	18	17
Win %	26%	28%	24%
Points / game	70.1	72.8	67.2
Allowed / game	80.7	81.6	79.8
Point differential	-10.6	-8.8	-12.6
Avg total	150.8	154.3	147.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	17%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	20% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valmiera/ORDO	35	29	6	83%	82.9	72.3	+10.6
2	Ventspils	35	28	7	80%	88.7	68.0	+20.7
3	VEF Riga	20	15	5	75%	87.5	71.8	+15.7
4	BK Liepaja	35	23	12	66%	82.4	75.0	+7.4
5	Jurmala	36	20	16	56%	81.6	78.9	+2.6
6	Valga	20	11	9	55%	79.0	84.8	-5.8
7	Jekabpils	35	19	16	54%	77.7	79.0	-1.3
8	Barons Kvartals	35	11	24	31%	77.6	83.4	-5.8
9	Jelgava	35	9	26	26%	70.1	80.7	-10.6
10	BK Ogre	35	8	27	23%	73.1	86.8	-13.7
11	Latvijas Universitate	35	5	30	14%	69.0	84.5	-15.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BK Liepaja	23	19	29	24	95
Jelgava	16	23	17	15	71

← all games of the day

BK Liepaja vs Jelgava Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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