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BK Liepaja vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 98-84
27-23 24-11 29-25 18-25
Position#7
Record14-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#11
Record11-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs
Other2024
Meetings · BK Liepaja v Parnu
20 Jan 2027
BK L v PAR
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
BK L83
PAR90
11 Mar 2025
BK L98
PAR84
07 Dec 2023
BK L75
PAR65
11 Mar 2023
BK L102
PAR98
05 Mar 2022
BK L84
PAR70
13 Oct 2018
BK L62
PAR93
16 Nov 2016
BK L90
PAR76
05 Jan 2014
BK L70
PAR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
87avg 75
H22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 75
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#9
W
111-99 OT
111
99
+12
109avg 75
A31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
L
77-90
77
90
-13
72avg 75
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
91-103
91
103
-12
84avg 75
A04/02
Latvian Cup
Viimsi
#13
W
87-54
87
54
+33
91avg 75
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
79-98
79
98
-19
60avg 75
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
96-91 OT
96
91
+5
86avg 75
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
95-56
95
56
+39
103avg 75
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
28-21
15-16
23-21
22-20
16-25
31-20
19-27
15-19
15-24
16-16
18-28
18-21
23-24
23-28
28-19
19-21
23-24
17-22
18-23
24-25
24-25
23-30
20-23
24-15
14-12
26-19
23-8
26-26
17-28
17-28
19-16
23-23
21-19
20-21
17-18
25-13
25-10
28-17
17-16
174.7Avg total
88.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.381.4164.7+2.054%
Season at home (13)82.279.2161.4+3.162%
Season away (13)84.583.6168.1+0.846%
Last 10 (10)88.586.2174.7+2.350%
Last 5 (5)89.680.4170.0+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.283.2160.4-6.033%
vs Similar (9)83.085.9168.9-2.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.276.8165.0+11.482%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
98-96
98
96
+2
90avg 69
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
77avg 69
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
77-74
77
74
+3
64avg 69
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
97-80
97
80
+17
93avg 69
A22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
91-82
91
82
+9
98avg 69
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
100-90
100
90
+10
92avg 69
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
76-113
76
113
-37
65avg 69
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
57-92
57
92
-35
37avg 69
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 69
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
78-103
78
103
-25
62avg 69
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
27-22
19-22
29-22
23-27
26-25
24-15
14-23
19-20
19-25
22-16
17-13
14-20
26-16
26-22
31-22
27-6
29-27
16-25
19-24
20-23
21-26
30-17
29-24
15-24
15-30
17-28
29-31
17-19
11-23
10-23
19-27
17-32
19-24
24-17
23-23
21-27
23-20
15-27
19-29
176.0Avg total
84.4Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.284.0165.2-2.942%
Season at home (14)76.682.5159.1-5.936%
Season away (12)86.485.8172.2+0.650%
Last 10 (10)84.491.6176.0-7.250%
Last 5 (5)78.898.8177.6-20.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)76.087.4163.3-11.419%
vs Similar (2)85.572.5158.0+13.0100%
vs Weaker (7)87.180.4167.6+6.771%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
BK LiepajaParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A04/02
Latvian Cup
Viimsi
#13
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
50-23
50
23
+27
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
83.9Avg total
41.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.381.3+2.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.079.5+1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)43.439.683.0+3.847%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.083.9-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.283.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.941.981.8-2.033%-
vs Similar (9)40.440.480.9+0.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.337.882.1+6.555%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
87.8Avg total
41.2Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.443.080.4-5.620%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.942.478.3-6.612%-
Last 30 away (14)39.143.682.8-4.529%-
Last 10 (10)41.246.687.8-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.849.685.4-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)35.644.980.4-9.310%-
vs Similar (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (7)42.037.979.9+4.143%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.7
55.1%
51.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.6
34.4%
32.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.214.4
67.9%
70.6%14.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.4
49.9%
51.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.6
35.6%
32.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.616.2
75.0%
70.6%16.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
WWLWLLWLLW
Parnu
LLLLWWWWLW
#7
League position
#11
+6.2
Net rating
-8.6
110.2
Offensive rating
108.8
104.0
Defensive rating
117.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
51.3%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
18.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.4%
3-point %
35.6%
55.3%
Assist %
56.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 108.8Defence104.0 · 117.4Shooting53.6% · 51.3%3-point %34.4% · 35.6%Ball care18.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds35.4% · 26.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
BK Liepaja wins
6
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Parnu v BK Liepaja81-91
10/02/24Parnu v BK Liepaja83-79
07/12/23BK Liepaja v Parnu75-65
11/03/23BK Liepaja v Parnu102-98 OT
10/12/22Parnu v BK Liepaja90-58
05/03/22BK Liepaja v Parnu84-70
06/10/21Parnu v BK Liepaja79-68
27/01/19Parnu v BK Liepaja96-83
13/10/18BK Liepaja v Parnu62-93
11/01/17Parnu v BK Liepaja93-75
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ALatvijas Universitate95-56
01/03/25ABK Ogre96-91 OT
12/02/25HVentspils79-98
08/02/25HViimsi87-54
04/02/25AVentspils91-103
01/02/25AKeila KK77-90
31/01/25ARapla111-99 OT
28/01/25HVentspils64-87
25/01/25HBC Kalev/Cramo88-92
22/01/25HTal Tech97-92 OT
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ABC Kalev/Cramo78-103
01/03/25HVEF Riga83-96
26/02/25HBK Ogre57-92
08/02/25ARapla76-113
01/02/25HVentspils100-90
25/01/25HKeila KK91-82
22/01/25ALatvijas Universitate97-80
17/01/25HTal Tech77-74
14/01/25HTartu Ulikool87-90
10/01/25AKeila Coolbet98-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW54%
HomeLWLWL62%
AwayWWLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%62%46%
Points / game83.382.284.5
Allowed / game81.479.283.6
Point differential+2.0+3.1+0.8
Avg total164.7161.4168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%23%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %12%8%15%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL42%
HomeWWWLL36%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %42%36%50%
Points / game81.276.686.4
Allowed / game84.082.585.8
Point differential-2.9-5.9+0.6
Avg total165.2159.1172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%14%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga2522388%83.669.3+14.3
2 BC Kalev/Cramo2622485%88.474.5+13.9
3 Rigas Zelli2721678%83.670.3+13.3
4 Valmiera Glass Via26161062%82.076.5+5.6
5 Tartu Ulikool26161062%82.181.0+1.2
6 BK Ogre27161159%81.977.3+4.6
7 Ventspils26141254%89.384.3+5.0
8 BK Liepaja26141254%83.381.4+2.0
9 Rapla26131350%82.582.1+0.4
10 Tal Tech26121446%79.582.8-3.4
11 Parnu26111542%81.284.0-2.9
12 Keila Coolbet2671927%77.685.4-7.8
13 Viimsi2552020%71.986.0-14.1
14 Keila KK2642215%73.489.9-16.5
15 Latvijas Universitate262248%69.285.4-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Liepaja2724291898
Parnu2311252584
← all games of the day
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