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BK Liepaja vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-65
20-17 16-15 17-7 22-26
Position#11
Record6-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#8
Record5-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs (Liep
Other2023
Meetings · BK Liepaja v Parnu
20 Jan 2027
BK L v PAR
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
BK L83
PAR90
11 Mar 2025
BK L98
PAR84
07 Dec 2023
BK L75
PAR65
11 Mar 2023
BK L102
PAR98
05 Mar 2022
BK L84
PAR70
13 Oct 2018
BK L62
PAR93
16 Nov 2016
BK L90
PAR76
05 Jan 2014
BK L70
PAR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
90-93
90
93
-3
87avg 75
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
62-86
62
86
-24
52avg 75
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
70-103
70
103
-33
53avg 75
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
99-88
99
88
+11
96avg 75
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
72-65
72
65
+7
62avg 75
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
87-63
87
63
+24
85avg 75
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
78-85
78
85
-7
72avg 75
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
68-89
68
89
-21
64avg 75
A18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 75
A19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
88-65
88
65
+23
87avg 75
A24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
16-24
29-27
29-23
20-22
13-22
16-22
13-20
15-26
17-28
21-27
17-22
35-21
18-24
17-18
29-25
21-21
19-22
16-12
16-10
29-16
20-15
18-20
20-12
21-26
14-19
21-19
22-21
20-17
16-23
17-23
15-26
19-11
23-20
18-19
13-28
17-12
23-18
25-17
23-18
160.2Avg total
78.7Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.881.8163.5+0.050%
Season at home (6)86.377.3163.7+9.067%
Season away (6)77.286.2163.3-9.033%
Last 10 (10)78.781.5160.2-2.840%
Last 5 (5)78.876.0154.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.288.8163.1-14.631%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.682.4166.0+1.262%
vs Weaker (9)82.068.6150.6+13.478%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Trepca
#25
L
67-77
67
77
-10
56avg 66
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#3
L
64-80
64
80
-16
59avg 66
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
68-70
68
70
-2
56avg 66
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
79avg 66
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
79-63
79
63
+16
81avg 66
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
59avg 66
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
75avg 66
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
49-80
49
80
-31
35avg 66
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 66
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 66
H02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
20-21
19-26
13-19
13-17
16-11
15-33
20-19
16-15
8-19
26-20
18-16
24-15
19-16
21-12
13-13
22-24
18-13
20-15
19-11
27-24
8-26
25-29
10-21
26-16
15-24
19-16
13-17
16-17
8-20
8-20
17-23
29-19
16-20
15-25
21-21
19-29
19-16
26-18
13-17
149.3Avg total
72.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.076.0150.0-2.045%
Season at home (6)71.076.5147.5-5.533%
Season away (5)77.675.4153.0+2.260%
Last 10 (10)72.177.2149.3-5.130%
Last 5 (5)73.285.2158.4-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.782.4151.1-13.70%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.377.4155.7+0.856%
vs Weaker (5)76.869.6146.4+7.260%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
BK LiepajaParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
79.8Avg total
39.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.880.9-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.440.782.1+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.979.7-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.679.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.475.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.944.180.0-8.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.445.088.4-1.625%-
vs Weaker (9)43.132.475.6+10.789%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trepca
#25
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#3
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
72.7Avg total
35.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.437.374.7+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.640.175.7-4.540%-
Last 30 away (15)39.234.573.7+4.767%-
Last 10 (10)35.437.372.7-1.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.278.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.739.072.7-5.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.837.776.6+1.150%-
vs Weaker (5)37.433.470.8+4.080%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.4
52.0%
50.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.9
34.2%
32.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.314.6
75.6%
70.5%14.6
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.4
51.5%
50.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.5
29.0%
32.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.313.2
65.0%
70.5%13.2
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
WLLLWWWLLL
Parnu
LLLWLWWLLL
#11
League position
#8
-4.0
Net rating
-6.2
104.1
Offensive rating
95.0
108.1
Defensive rating
101.2
51.7%
Effective FG%
48.5%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
20.9%
Turnover %
19.8%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.2%
3-point %
29.0%
63.4%
Assist %
63.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 95.0Defence108.1 · 101.2Shooting51.7% · 48.5%3-point %34.2% · 29.0%Ball care20.9% · 19.8%Off. rebounds29.3% · 23.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
BK Liepaja wins
5
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
11/03/23BK Liepaja v Parnu102-98 OT
10/12/22Parnu v BK Liepaja90-58
05/03/22BK Liepaja v Parnu84-70
06/10/21Parnu v BK Liepaja79-68
27/01/19Parnu v BK Liepaja96-83
13/10/18BK Liepaja v Parnu62-93
11/01/17Parnu v BK Liepaja93-75
16/11/16BK Liepaja v Parnu90-76
25/01/14Parnu v BK Liepaja59-75
05/01/14BK Liepaja v Parnu70-64
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23AValmiera Glass Via88-65
19/11/23AViimsi73-78
18/11/23ATal Tech68-89
14/11/23HVEF Riga78-85
09/11/23HTallinna Kalev87-63
02/11/23HRapla72-65
28/10/23HKeila KK99-88
21/10/23APrometey70-103
14/10/23ABK Ogre62-86
10/10/23HBC Kalev/Cramo90-93
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HVentspils77-80
25/11/23ARigas Zelli81-85
18/11/23HPrometey49-80
11/11/23ARapla89-81 OT
04/11/23HBC Kalev/Cramo70-100
28/10/23HViimsi79-63
21/10/23ALatvijas Universitate77-56
14/10/23HValmiera Glass Via68-70
11/10/23AVEF Riga64-80
05/10/23ATrepca67-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game81.886.377.2
Allowed / game81.877.386.2
Point differential+0.0+9.0-9.0
Avg total163.5163.7163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%33%60%
Points / game74.071.077.6
Allowed / game76.076.575.4
Point differential-2.0-5.5+2.2
Avg total150.0147.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo1110191%88.468.9+19.5
2 Prometey109190%90.269.3+20.9
3 Rigas Zelli1410471%79.569.2+10.3
4 VEF Riga139469%84.670.4+14.2
5 Ventspils128467%91.184.6+6.5
6 BK Ogre138562%80.977.3+3.6
7 Tal Tech138562%80.677.8+2.8
8 Tartu Ulikool127558%77.572.2+5.2
9 BK Liepaja126650%81.881.8+0.0
10 Keila KK136746%81.182.8-1.8
11 Parnu115645%74.076.0-2.0
12 Rapla1441029%74.379.0-4.7
13 Viimsi1441029%67.485.9-18.4
14 Valmiera Glass Via1431121%75.187.1-12.0
15 Latvijas Universitate1531220%69.285.2-16.0
16 Tallinna Kalev1321115%69.484.8-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Liepaja2016172275
Parnu171572665
← all games of the day
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