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BK Liepaja vs Prometey Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-83
23-21 16-16 20-26 11-20
Position#11
Record10-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#2
Record21-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game68.9
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs (Liep
Other2023
Meetings · BK Liepaja v Prometey
28 Feb 2024
BK L70
PRM83
04 Mar 2023
BK L67
PRM88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prometey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#7
W
75-61
75
61
+14
61avg 71
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
64avg 71
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
H21/01
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
54avg 71
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#10
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
77avg 71
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
65-90
65
90
-25
no box
A02/02
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
L
89-97
89
97
-8
90avg 71
A09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 71
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
69-68
69
68
+1
63avg 71
A13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
21-10
21-17
14-15
23-21
10-23
24-19
21-21
20-24
17-18
29-18
12-23
15-30
19-22
24-22
12-16
24-18
17-25
13-26
25-21
24-21
13-25
21-20
25-17
14-24
10-26
23-20
18-20
15-26
26-31
28-21
20-19
21-20
15-25
22-23
21-15
23-23
15-11
17-17
14-17
161.5Avg total
77.1Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.581.4160.9-1.943%
Season at home (11)81.876.8158.6+5.064%
Season away (12)77.385.6162.9-8.225%
Last 10 (10)77.184.4161.5-7.320%
Last 5 (5)78.287.2165.4-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.386.4162.7-10.123%
vs Similar (12)84.983.9168.8+1.050%
vs Weaker (5)81.868.8150.6+13.080%
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrometey
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
91-65
91
65
+26
86avg 85
A13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Wolves
#14
W
91-64
91
64
+27
85avg 85
H17/01
Eurocup
Tal Tech
#9
W
101-71
101
71
+30
106avg 85
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
113-105
113
105
+8
110avg 85
A24/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#12
L
92-108
92
108
-16
83avg 85
A30/01
Eurocup
Viimsi
#15
W
91-67
91
67
+24
95avg 85
A04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Joventut Badalona
#8
W
94-80
94
80
+14
92avg 85
H07/02
Eurocup
Ventspils
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 85
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
91-68
91
68
+23
97avg 85
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 85
H16/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
17-18
29-13
21-14
29-15
20-14
21-23
21-12
27-20
24-14
22-19
28-18
29-22
27-30
25-30
32-23
28-18
29-27
14-38
21-25
29-11
20-21
19-19
23-16
27-27
20-26
11-18
36-9
14-22
28-18
20-19
24-18
22-20
23-19
21-13
25-16
22-14
23-14
21-18
25-31
172.3Avg total
94.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)91.768.9160.6+22.891%
Season at home (13)92.269.5161.8+22.792%
Season away (10)91.068.0159.0+23.090%
Last 10 (10)94.178.2172.3+15.990%
Last 5 (5)90.673.8164.4+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)94.395.7190.0-1.367%
vs Similar (6)88.084.7172.7+3.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)92.371.1163.5+21.290%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +7.4+7.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +7.4+7.4
BK LiepajaPrometey
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H21/01
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#4
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#10
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
24-50
24
50
-26
A02/02
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
80.3Avg total
36.1Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.342.380.6-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.941.980.7-3.033%-
Last 30 away (15)37.742.880.5-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)36.144.280.3-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.246.481.6-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.144.079.1-8.915%-
vs Similar (12)40.544.885.2-4.225%-
vs Weaker (5)41.432.273.6+9.2100%-
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Wolves
#14
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H17/01
Eurocup
Tal Tech
#9
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A24/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#12
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A30/01
Eurocup
Viimsi
#15
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H07/02
Eurocup
Ventspils
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H16/02
Latvia-Estonian League
87.2Avg total
48.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.938.385.2+8.680%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.638.686.2+9.179%-
Last 30 away (16)46.338.184.4+8.281%-
Last 10 (10)48.239.087.2+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)45.638.484.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.750.097.7-2.333%-
vs Similar (6)45.344.389.7+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.334.982.2+12.495%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.5
51.0%
50.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.1
29.7%
32.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.012.9
71.7%
70.5%12.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prometeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prometey: 93.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.425.3
59.7%
50.5%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.5
37.7%
32.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.714.0
67.6%
70.5%14.0
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
WLLLLLLLLW
Prometey
WWWWWLWWWW
#11
League position
#2
-7.6
Net rating
+19.7
100.3
Offensive rating
119.0
108.0
Defensive rating
99.4
48.3%
Effective FG%
58.5%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.7%
3-point %
37.7%
57.6%
Assist %
68.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 119.0Defence108.0 · 99.4Shooting48.3% · 58.5%3-point %29.7% · 37.7%Ball care18.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds28.9% · 30.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ Prometey
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BK Liepaja wins
3
Prometey wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Prometey v BK Liepaja103-70
04/03/23BK Liepaja v Prometey67-88
05/11/22Prometey v BK Liepaja96-91 OT
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/24ALatvijas Universitate69-68
10/02/24AParnu79-83
09/02/24AKeila KK89-97
02/02/24ARigas Zelli65-90
30/01/24ARapla89-98 OT
28/01/24HRigas Zelli79-90
24/01/24HVentspils70-90
21/01/24HBK Ogre78-83
14/01/24HTartu Ulikool78-84
10/01/24HBK Ogre75-61
Prometeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/24HValmiera Glass Via91-77
14/02/24ABK Ogre91-68
10/02/24HVentspils86-77
07/02/24HJoventut Badalona94-80
04/02/24AViimsi91-67
30/01/24AVenezia92-108
24/01/24AHapoel Tel-Aviv113-105
20/01/24HTal Tech101-71
17/01/24HBC Wolves91-64
13/01/24ARigas Zelli91-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%64%25%
Points / game79.581.877.3
Allowed / game81.476.885.6
Point differential-1.9+5.0-8.2
Avg total160.9158.6162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%45%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %13%9%17%
Prometey
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %91%92%90%
Points / game91.792.291.0
Allowed / game68.969.568.0
Point differential+22.8+22.7+23.0
Avg total160.6161.8159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%77%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2423196%87.069.8+17.2
2 Prometey2321291%91.768.9+22.8
3 VEF Riga2419579%86.471.0+15.4
4 Ventspils2316770%92.883.7+9.0
5 Tartu Ulikool2416867%78.071.0+7.0
6 Rigas Zelli26161062%80.474.3+6.1
7 BK Ogre25141156%79.276.6+2.7
8 Parnu24121250%78.677.0+1.5
9 Tal Tech24111346%77.480.0-2.6
10 BK Liepaja23101343%79.581.4-1.9
11 Rapla24101442%75.177.7-2.6
12 Keila KK2491538%81.086.3-5.4
13 Viimsi2552020%67.185.4-18.2
14 Valmiera Glass Via2341917%73.485.7-12.3
15 Tallinna Kalev2332013%69.689.8-20.2
16 Latvijas Universitate2532212%67.885.6-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Liepaja2316201170
Prometey2116262083
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