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BK Liepaja vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-90
24-18 17-25 13-26 25-21
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#3
Record1-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game78.5
LatviaLatvian CupLatvian Cup - Semi-finals· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs
Other2024
Meetings · BK Liepaja v Rigas Zelli
03 Feb 2027
BK L v RZE
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
BK L70
RZE86
12 Dec 2025
BK L77
RZE79
05 Oct 2024
BK L78
RZE82
28 Jan 2024
BK L79
RZE90
12 Dec 2023
BK L84
RZE81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
88-65
88
65
+23
87avg 71
A24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
75-65
75
65
+10
65avg 71
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
76avg 71
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
63-78
63
78
-15
59avg 71
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
60avg 71
A29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
96-74
96
74
+22
no box
A06/01
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#7
W
75-61
75
61
+14
61avg 71
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
64avg 71
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
H21/01
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
54avg 71
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
23-18
25-17
23-18
20-17
16-15
17-7
22-26
17-18
18-27
24-14
14-14
20-17
16-20
7-21
20-20
11-24
20-21
22-19
23-22
28-16
18-22
22-17
28-19
19-19
21-10
21-17
14-15
23-21
10-23
24-19
21-21
20-24
17-18
29-18
12-23
15-30
19-22
24-22
12-16
155.0Avg total
78.3Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.078.5165.5+8.550%
Season at home (1)78.083.0161.0-5.00%
Season away (1)96.074.0170.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.376.7155.0+1.650%
Last 5 (5)79.478.4157.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.284.2158.4-10.031%
vs Similar (10)84.079.5163.5+4.570%
vs Weaker (4)85.069.0154.0+16.075%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
68avg 74
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 74
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
93-86
93
86
+7
84avg 74
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 74
A29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
H06/01
Latvian Cup
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
89-64
89
64
+25
85avg 74
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
65-91
65
91
-26
53avg 74
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
89-72
89
72
+17
90avg 74
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
84-72
84
72
+12
no box
A19/01
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 74
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
27-18
14-24
14-14
18-17
18-22
18-16
17-20
24-27
29-18
11-26
29-15
20-22
21-14
24-16
22-23
19-20
24-20
18-26
18-19
22-18
24-20
19-14
24-12
20-24
18-17
13-29
14-21
24-18
22-22
26-22
17-10
14-19
27-18
22-18
21-17
18-17
22-15
24-20
14-19
159.1Avg total
81.6Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.578.5160.0+3.050%
Season at home (1)79.085.0164.0-6.00%
Season away (1)84.072.0156.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.677.5159.1+4.160%
Last 5 (5)81.074.0155.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.683.4158.0-8.820%
vs Similar (3)77.374.7152.0+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.868.9151.7+13.881%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
BK LiepajaRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A06/01
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H21/01
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#4
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
76.2Avg total
36.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.379.7-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.941.679.4-3.738%-
Last 30 away (14)39.141.080.1-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.476.2-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.079.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.142.877.9-7.725%-
vs Similar (10)42.242.784.9-0.540%-
vs Weaker (4)42.231.874.0+10.5100%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H06/01
Latvian Cup
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A19/01
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
81.2Avg total
42.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)40.834.875.6+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.635.073.6+3.645%-
Last 30 away (13)42.534.777.2+7.885%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.381.2+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.679.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.280.0-0.420%-
vs Similar (3)37.335.072.3+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.733.174.8+8.681%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.3 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.7
50.3%
52.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.7
30.3%
29.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.111.7
72.7%
69.7%11.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.3 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.5
49.6%
52.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.4
35.5%
29.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.111.3
66.1%
69.7%11.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
LLLWWLLWWW
Rigas Zelli
WWWLWLWWLL
#6
League position
#3
-3.3
Net rating
+5.3
97.8
Offensive rating
104.8
101.1
Defensive rating
99.5
48.4%
Effective FG%
51.2%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.9%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.3%
3-point %
35.5%
56.2%
Assist %
65.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 104.8Defence101.1 · 99.5Shooting48.4% · 51.2%3-point %30.3% · 35.5%Ball care19.7% · 16.9%Off. rebounds27.3% · 29.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BK Liepaja wins
0
Rigas Zelli wins
DateGameScore
12/12/23BK Liepaja v Rigas Zelli84-81 OT
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HVentspils70-90
21/01/24HBK Ogre78-83
14/01/24HTartu Ulikool78-84
10/01/24HBK Ogre75-61
06/01/24ABK Ogre96-74
29/12/23AVEF Riga76-86
22/12/23ATartu Ulikool63-78
12/12/23HRigas Zelli84-81 OT
07/12/23HParnu75-65
24/11/23AValmiera Glass Via88-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24AKeila KK78-71
19/01/24AValmiera Glass Via84-72
17/01/24ATal Tech89-72
13/01/24HPrometey65-91
10/01/24ATallinna Kalev89-64
06/01/24HValmiera Glass Via79-85
29/12/23ABK Ogre87-75
27/12/23HVEF Riga93-86
23/12/23HBC Kalev/Cramo71-75
12/12/23ABK Liepaja81-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvian Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game87.078.096.0
Allowed / game78.583.074.0
Point differential+8.5-5.0+22.0
Avg total165.5161.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rigas Zelli
Latvian Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game81.579.084.0
Allowed / game78.585.072.0
Point differential+3.0-6.0+12.0
Avg total160.0164.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ventspils330100%98.385.0+13.3
2 BK Liepaja21150%87.078.5+8.5
3 Rigas Zelli21150%81.578.5+3.0
4 Valmiera Glass Via21150%78.581.5-3.0
5 BK Ogre21150%78.587.0-8.5
6 VEF Riga1010%91.097.0-6.0
7 Latvijas Universitate2020%82.099.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Liepaja2417132579
Rigas Zelli1825262190
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