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Parnu vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 83-79
20-21 25-15 23-22 15-21
Position#8
Record11-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game77.0
Parnu 🏆
vs
Position#11
Record9-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall (Parnu)
Other2023
Meetings · Parnu v BK Liepaja
26 Sep 2026
PAR76
BK L73
14 Jan 2026
PAR85
BK L69
19 Oct 2024
PAR81
BK L91
10 Feb 2024
PAR83
BK L79
10 Dec 2022
PAR90
BK L58
06 Oct 2021
PAR79
BK L68
27 Jan 2019
PAR96
BK L83
11 Jan 2017
PAR93
BK L75
25 Jan 2014
PAR59
BK L75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
75avg 70
A19/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
72-93
72
93
-21
56avg 70
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
104-63
104
63
+41
116avg 70
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
65avg 70
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
66-61
66
61
+5
68avg 70
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
87-76
87
76
+11
86avg 70
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 70
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
66avg 70
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
92-70
92
70
+22
98avg 70
H03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 70
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
22-15
22-29
22-26
13-30
21-22
15-18
23-23
31-12
22-17
30-21
21-13
21-22
19-29
14-14
24-23
11-12
18-11
19-21
18-17
19-12
25-21
17-25
26-18
26-35
25-16
27-16
15-21
18-24
22-23
14-11
23-20
23-16
26-20
24-21
19-13
22-18
17-11
23-19
31-15
161.7Avg total
84.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.477.0155.3+1.448%
Season at home (11)78.173.1151.2+5.055%
Season away (12)78.780.5159.2-1.842%
Last 10 (10)84.677.1161.7+7.560%
Last 5 (5)88.475.0163.4+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.083.9155.9-11.90%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.077.9155.9+0.158%
vs Weaker (8)85.568.1153.6+17.488%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
60avg 72
A29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
96-74
96
74
+22
no box
A06/01
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#7
W
75-61
75
61
+14
61avg 72
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
64avg 72
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
H21/01
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
54avg 72
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#10
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
77avg 72
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
65-90
65
90
-25
no box
A02/02
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
L
89-97
89
97
-8
90avg 72
A09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
20-21
22-19
23-22
28-16
18-22
22-17
28-19
19-19
21-10
21-17
14-15
23-21
10-23
24-19
21-21
20-24
17-18
29-18
12-23
15-30
19-22
24-22
12-16
24-18
17-25
13-26
25-21
24-21
13-25
21-20
25-17
14-24
10-26
23-20
18-20
15-26
26-31
28-21
20-19
164.8Avg total
79.5Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.082.0162.0-2.043%
Season at home (11)81.876.8158.6+5.064%
Season away (10)78.087.6165.6-9.620%
Last 10 (10)79.585.3164.8-5.820%
Last 5 (5)78.493.0171.4-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.286.4161.6-11.221%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.882.5167.3+2.358%
vs Weaker (4)85.069.0154.0+16.075%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
ParnuBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A19/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
80.6Avg total
41.9Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.276.1-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.137.474.6-0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)38.638.977.5-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.780.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.283.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.141.277.3-5.140%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.638.074.6-1.442%-
vs Weaker (8)42.134.977.0+7.275%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A06/01
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H21/01
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#4
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#10
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
24-50
24
50
-26
A02/02
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
81.0Avg total
36.4Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.742.681.2-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.941.980.7-3.033%-
Last 30 away (15)38.543.381.7-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)36.444.681.0-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.449.685.0-14.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.144.379.4-9.214%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.744.285.8-2.533%-
vs Weaker (4)42.231.874.0+10.5100%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.4
56.5%
50.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.1
36.5%
32.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.313.0
71.0%
70.5%13.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.3
51.5%
50.5%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.7
29.1%
32.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
70.5%14.0
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
WWLWWWLWLL
BK Liepaja
LLLLLLLWWL
#8
League position
#11
+10.7
Net rating
-2.3
112.1
Offensive rating
101.0
101.4
Defensive rating
103.3
55.7%
Effective FG%
48.3%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.5%
3-point %
29.1%
66.2%
Assist %
55.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 101.0Defence101.4 · 103.3Shooting55.7% · 48.3%3-point %36.5% · 29.1%Ball care17.1% · 18.8%Off. rebounds28.0% · 29.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Parnu   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Parnu wins
5
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
07/12/23BK Liepaja v Parnu75-65
11/03/23BK Liepaja v Parnu102-98 OT
10/12/22Parnu v BK Liepaja90-58
05/03/22BK Liepaja v Parnu84-70
06/10/21Parnu v BK Liepaja79-68
27/01/19Parnu v BK Liepaja96-83
13/10/18BK Liepaja v Parnu62-93
11/01/17Parnu v BK Liepaja93-75
16/11/16BK Liepaja v Parnu90-76
25/01/14Parnu v BK Liepaja59-75
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24HLatvijas Universitate93-63
03/02/24HTal Tech92-70
30/01/24ABC Kalev/Cramo77-78
26/01/24AKeila KK93-88
21/01/24AViimsi87-76
17/01/24HRapla66-61
13/01/24HVEF Riga78-88
23/12/23HTallinna Kalev104-63
20/12/23ABK Ogre72-93
19/12/23AVentspils84-91
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24AKeila KK89-97
02/02/24ARigas Zelli65-90
30/01/24ARapla89-98 OT
28/01/24HRigas Zelli79-90
24/01/24HVentspils70-90
21/01/24HBK Ogre78-83
14/01/24HTartu Ulikool78-84
10/01/24HBK Ogre75-61
06/01/24ABK Ogre96-74
29/12/23AVEF Riga76-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW48%
HomeWLWWW55%
AwayLLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%55%42%
Points / game78.478.178.7
Allowed / game77.073.180.5
Point differential+1.4+5.0-1.8
Avg total155.3151.2159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%45%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%64%20%
Points / game80.081.878.0
Allowed / game82.076.887.6
Point differential-2.0+5.0-9.6
Avg total162.0158.6165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%9%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2423196%87.069.8+17.2
2 Prometey2119290%91.868.5+23.2
3 VEF Riga2217577%86.070.7+15.3
4 Tartu Ulikool2316770%78.070.6+7.4
5 Ventspils2215768%92.284.6+7.5
6 Rigas Zelli2315865%80.873.3+7.4
7 BK Ogre2112957%79.575.6+3.9
8 Parnu23111248%78.477.0+1.4
9 Tal Tech24111346%77.480.0-2.6
10 BK Liepaja2191243%80.082.0-2.0
11 Keila KK2491538%81.086.3-5.4
12 Rapla2281436%75.078.5-3.4
13 Viimsi2451921%67.285.5-18.3
14 Valmiera Glass Via2041620%73.884.5-10.7
15 Tallinna Kalev2231914%68.889.3-20.5
16 Latvijas Universitate2432112%67.886.3-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu2025231583
BK Liepaja2115222179
← all games of the day
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