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Rapla vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 98-89 (OT)
21-24 25-13 20-21 17-25 15-6
Position#10
Record7-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game78.0
Rapla 🏆
vs
Position#11
Record9-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone (Rapla)
Other2023
Meetings · Rapla v BK Liepaja
31 Jan 2025
RAPL99
BK L111
30 Jan 2024
RAPL98
BK L89
07 Oct 2022
RAPL75
BK L71
11 Dec 2021
RAPL105
BK L69
26 Jan 2019
RAPL99
BK L96
10 Jan 2017
RAPL83
BK L71
04 Nov 2014
RAPL72
BK L76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
68avg 66
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
73avg 66
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
68-89
68
89
-21
58avg 66
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
61-71
61
71
-10
45avg 66
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 66
A15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
78avg 66
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
85-64
85
64
+21
88avg 66
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
61-66
61
66
-5
52avg 66
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 66
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
54-82
54
82
-28
45avg 66
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
13-22
17-16
26-25
20-15
24-18
13-23
25-20
18-27
12-28
16-14
22-20
15-22
11-17
13-12
22-20
21-17
30-22
18-19
17-17
12-21
20-22
22-14
26-22
21-19
20-19
17-13
27-13
12-11
11-18
21-19
17-18
25-24
19-20
21-20
21-30
11-27
18-26
12-11
13-18
151.5Avg total
73.4Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.078.0151.9-4.033%
Season at home (9)75.779.1154.8-3.433%
Season away (12)72.777.1149.8-4.433%
Last 10 (10)73.478.1151.5-4.740%
Last 5 (5)73.277.0150.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.582.2150.7-13.710%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.379.4155.8-3.133%
vs Weaker (8)79.468.8148.1+10.675%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Parnu
#8
W
75-65
75
65
+10
65avg 71
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
76avg 71
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
63-78
63
78
-15
59avg 71
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
60avg 71
A29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
96-74
96
74
+22
no box
A06/01
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#7
W
75-61
75
61
+14
61avg 71
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
64avg 71
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
H21/01
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
54avg 71
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
16-15
17-7
22-26
17-18
18-27
24-14
14-14
20-17
16-20
7-21
20-20
11-24
20-21
22-19
23-22
28-16
18-22
22-17
28-19
19-19
21-10
21-17
14-15
23-21
10-23
24-19
21-21
20-24
17-18
29-18
12-23
15-30
19-22
24-22
12-16
24-18
17-25
13-26
25-21
156.6Avg total
77.4Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.180.3159.4-1.347%
Season at home (11)81.876.8158.6+5.064%
Season away (8)75.285.1160.4-9.925%
Last 10 (10)77.479.2156.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)76.081.6157.6-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.184.9160.0-9.831%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.079.5163.5+4.570%
vs Weaker (4)85.069.0154.0+16.075%
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
RaplaBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
76.5Avg total
34.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.540.676.2-5.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.542.678.1-7.121%-
Last 30 away (16)35.638.974.5-3.450%-
Last 10 (10)34.841.776.5-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.841.475.2-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)29.944.374.2-14.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.741.078.7-3.333%-
vs Weaker (8)39.435.574.9+3.988%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A06/01
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H21/01
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#4
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H28/01
Latvian Cup
77.6Avg total
36.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.279.9-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.141.679.7-3.635%-
Last 30 away (13)39.540.780.2-1.246%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.777.6-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.079.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.642.778.3-7.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.242.784.9-0.540%-
vs Weaker (4)42.231.874.0+10.5100%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.3
50.9%
50.5%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.6
29.8%
32.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws14.39.0
62.9%
70.5%9.0
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.7
50.3%
50.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.7
30.3%
32.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.111.7
72.7%
70.5%11.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
LLLWWWLLWL
BK Liepaja
LLLLWWLLWW
#10
League position
#11
-6.3
Net rating
-3.3
97.2
Offensive rating
97.8
103.5
Defensive rating
101.1
48.5%
Effective FG%
48.4%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
20.4%
Turnover %
19.7%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.8%
3-point %
30.3%
67.4%
Assist %
56.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 97.8Defence103.5 · 101.1Shooting48.5% · 48.4%3-point %29.8% · 30.3%Ball care20.4% · 19.7%Off. rebounds32.4% · 27.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Rapla   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Rapla wins
3
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
02/11/23BK Liepaja v Rapla72-65
22/12/22BK Liepaja v Rapla69-71
07/10/22Rapla v BK Liepaja75-71
12/03/22BK Liepaja v Rapla61-63
11/12/21Rapla v BK Liepaja105-69
26/01/19Rapla v BK Liepaja99-96
28/10/18BK Liepaja v Rapla82-89
10/01/17Rapla v BK Liepaja83-71
25/10/16BK Liepaja v Rapla78-54
06/01/15BK Liepaja v Rapla87-68
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24ABC Kalev/Cramo54-82
20/01/24HKeila KK86-94
17/01/24AParnu61-66
06/01/24HViimsi85-64
22/12/23HTal Tech80-79
15/12/23AKeila KK86-75
09/12/23ATartu Ulikool61-71
05/12/23HRigas Zelli68-89
28/11/23ATallinna Kalev82-76
17/11/23HVEF Riga71-85
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HRigas Zelli79-90
24/01/24HVentspils70-90
21/01/24HBK Ogre78-83
14/01/24HTartu Ulikool78-84
10/01/24HBK Ogre75-61
06/01/24ABK Ogre96-74
29/12/23AVEF Riga76-86
22/12/23ATartu Ulikool63-78
12/12/23HRigas Zelli84-81 OT
07/12/23HParnu75-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game74.075.772.7
Allowed / game78.079.177.1
Point differential-4.0-3.4-4.4
Avg total151.9154.8149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%11%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %14%11%17%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL47%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %47%64%25%
Points / game79.181.875.2
Allowed / game80.376.885.1
Point differential-1.3+5.0-9.9
Avg total159.4158.6160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%45%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%9%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2221195%87.169.0+18.1
2 Prometey1917289%92.168.2+23.9
3 VEF Riga2116576%86.370.5+15.8
4 Tartu Ulikool1913668%77.770.1+7.6
5 Ventspils1913668%92.685.3+7.3
6 Rigas Zelli2215768%80.372.1+8.1
7 BK Ogre2011955%79.076.6+2.4
8 Tal Tech21101148%77.579.3-1.9
9 BK Liepaja1991047%79.180.3-1.3
10 Parnu2091145%77.078.0-0.9
11 Keila KK2281436%80.386.0-5.6
12 Rapla2171433%74.078.0-4.0
13 Viimsi2351822%67.385.3-18.0
14 Valmiera Glass Via1941521%74.585.3-10.8
15 Tallinna Kalev2031715%68.488.7-20.2
16 Latvijas Universitate2131814%67.785.8-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Rapla212520171598
BK Liepaja24132125689
← all games of the day
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