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Parnu vs Keila Coolbet Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 72-87
15-16 17-18 27-23 13-30
Position#11
Record4-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#12
Record6-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2024
Meetings · Parnu v Keila Coolbet
07 Feb 2027
PAR v KEIL
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
PAR98
KEIL82
21 Dec 2024
PAR72
KEIL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila Coolbet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
74avg 70
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
59-83
59
83
-24
52avg 70
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
84avg 70
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
74-80
74
80
-6
63avg 70
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
91-94
91
94
-3
89avg 70
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 70
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
94-71
94
71
+23
92avg 70
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
87avg 70
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
62-75
62
75
-13
58avg 70
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
51-87
51
87
-36
36avg 70
H18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
20-23
17-20
22-28
18-19
14-23
12-25
15-16
19-23
28-21
22-17
18-15
19-21
8-14
29-23
18-22
20-21
22-25
23-27
26-21
22-17
19-17
24-24
13-22
21-20
22-18
30-24
21-9
13-28
24-17
26-27
22-13
11-22
19-19
10-13
22-21
11-25
11-20
14-17
15-25
159.4Avg total
76.4Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.280.3158.5-2.231%
Season at home (7)72.377.7150.0-5.429%
Season away (6)85.083.3168.3+1.733%
Last 10 (10)76.483.0159.4-6.620%
Last 5 (5)75.481.6157.0-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)73.881.5155.2-7.820%
vs Similar (4)80.067.8147.8+12.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)67.767.7135.3+0.033%
This opponent (Keila Coolbet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila CoolbetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCoolbet
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#3
L
58-84
58
84
-26
44avg 69
A31/10
ENBL
BK Ogre
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
71avg 69
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
89-93
89
93
-4
76avg 69
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Brno
#11
L
91-94
91
94
-3
80avg 69
H12/11
ENBL
Ventspils
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
75avg 69
H27/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Fyllingen
#16
W
91-73
91
73
+18
86avg 69
A04/12
ENBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
55-94
55
94
-39
43avg 69
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
73avg 69
H11/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
81-102
81
102
-21
76avg 69
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
75-90
75
90
-15
59avg 69
A17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
13-18
19-20
12-20
24-23
24-16
11-15
21-21
23-17
22-29
16-21
28-26
19-26
25-29
22-18
25-21
18-21
26-20
23-16
15-18
24-18
28-18
17-18
22-19
14-21
18-35
13-21
10-17
18-27
22-20
16-6
24-24
26-23
22-21
20-26
13-32
19-29
19-16
18-21
19-24
163.9Avg total
78.2Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.983.0161.9-4.150%
Season at home (6)81.579.3160.8+2.283%
Season away (6)76.386.7163.0-10.317%
Last 10 (10)78.285.7163.9-7.540%
Last 5 (5)76.487.2163.6-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.186.6161.7-11.525%
vs Similar (1)91.073.0164.0+18.0100%
vs Weaker (3)81.072.3153.3+8.7100%
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.3-3.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.3-3.3
ParnuKeila Coolbet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
22-45
22
45
-23
H18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
76.9Avg total
35.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.238.372.5-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.835.768.4-2.938%-
Last 30 away (14)35.941.277.1-5.329%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.176.9-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.675.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.642.077.6-6.420%-
vs Similar (4)33.029.562.5+3.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)30.531.762.2-1.250%-
This opponent (Keila Coolbet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila CoolbetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#3
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A31/10
ENBL
BK Ogre
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Brno
#11
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H12/11
ENBL
Ventspils
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H27/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Fyllingen
#16
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A04/12
ENBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H11/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
87.1Avg total
41.8Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)39.542.481.9-2.938%-
Last 30 at home (8)41.042.483.4-1.450%-
Last 30 away (8)38.042.580.5-4.525%-
Last 10 (10)41.845.387.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.687.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.244.483.7-5.233%-
vs Similar (1)52.036.088.0+16.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)36.336.773.0-0.333%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.6
50.3%
51.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.6
34.8%
32.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.114.2
70.6%
70.6%14.2
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila Coolbettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila Coolbet: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.4
47.0%
51.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.9
30.4%
32.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.315.5
69.5%
70.6%15.5
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LLLWLLLWLL
Keila Coolbet
LLWLWWLLWL
#11
League position
#12
-9.7
Net rating
-9.9
104.2
Offensive rating
98.7
113.9
Defensive rating
108.5
51.1%
Effective FG%
46.4%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.1%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.8%
3-point %
30.4%
70.6%
Assist %
61.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 98.7Defence113.9 · 108.5Shooting51.1% · 46.4%3-point %34.8% · 30.4%Ball care18.7% · 19.1%Off. rebounds28.0% · 31.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Parnu   ■ Keila Coolbet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Parnu wins
0
Keila Coolbet wins
No previous meetings.
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HRigas Zelli51-87
14/12/24HBC Kalev/Cramo62-75
10/12/24AVentspils92-95 OT
07/12/24ATal Tech94-71
03/12/24HRapla78-80
30/11/24ATartu Ulikool91-94
28/11/24HViimsi74-80
17/11/24ABK Ogre87-76
13/11/24ASpojnia Stargard59-83
09/11/24ARigas Zelli76-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24ABK Liepaja75-90
13/12/24HTartu Ulikool81-102
11/12/24HRapla80-77
07/12/24AVEF Riga55-94
04/12/24AFyllingen91-73
27/11/24HVentspils82-75
12/11/24HBrno91-94
08/11/24AValmiera Glass Via89-93
03/11/24HBK Ogre80-75
31/10/24ABamberg58-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game78.272.385.0
Allowed / game80.377.783.3
Point differential-2.2-5.4+1.7
Avg total158.5150.0168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%14%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Keila Coolbet
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%83%17%
Points / game78.981.576.3
Allowed / game83.079.386.7
Point differential-4.1+2.2-10.3
Avg total161.9160.8163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga1513287%81.868.9+12.9
2 Rigas Zelli1714382%84.569.2+15.3
3 BC Kalev/Cramo129375%87.772.2+15.4
4 Tartu Ulikool139469%83.778.8+4.9
5 Valmiera Glass Via1611569%82.975.4+7.5
6 BK Ogre159660%80.176.7+3.4
7 BK Liepaja147750%80.180.3-0.1
8 Keila Coolbet126650%78.983.0-4.1
9 Rapla157847%78.882.2-3.4
10 Tal Tech167944%78.284.4-6.2
11 Ventspils146843%89.188.9+0.2
12 Parnu134931%78.280.3-2.2
13 Viimsi1431121%71.083.9-12.9
14 Keila KK131128%71.691.8-20.2
15 Latvijas Universitate151147%69.783.5-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1517271372
Keila Coolbet1618233087
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