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BK Ogre vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 76-87
23-19 21-28 17-22 15-18
Position#5
Record6-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Parnu 🏆
Position#11
Record2-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2024
Meetings · BK Ogre v Parnu
10 Mar 2027
BK O v PAR
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
BK O71
PAR60
17 Nov 2024
BK O76
PAR87
20 Dec 2023
BK O93
PAR72
12 Mar 2023
BK O81
PAR68
10 Apr 2022
BK O77
PAR84
16 Feb 2022
BK O74
PAR71
08 Apr 2021
BK O77
PAR68
29 Sep 2018
BK O99
PAR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 78
H21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 78
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
95-75
95
75
+20
90avg 78
H05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
96-83
96
83
+13
97avg 78
A12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
86-66
86
66
+20
89avg 78
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
69-95
69
95
-26
55avg 78
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
71-88
71
88
-17
71avg 78
A26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 78
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
70-53
70
53
+17
64avg 78
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
92-88
92
88
+4
86avg 78
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
21-19
17-9
29-19
11-23
17-21
23-25
24-11
21-13
26-17
24-21
24-24
18-21
35-17
16-19
27-26
17-16
24-8
26-18
19-24
11-25
27-24
14-18
17-28
23-23
7-24
21-17
20-24
23-24
16-24
15-11
21-21
14-14
17-14
25-10
14-15
29-20
20-15
24-29
19-24
160.1Avg total
81.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.978.2160.1+3.760%
Season at home (4)85.077.5162.5+7.575%
Season away (6)79.878.7158.5+1.250%
Last 10 (10)81.978.2160.1+3.760%
Last 5 (5)75.480.8156.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.390.3164.7-16.00%
vs Similar (9)86.778.4165.1+8.278%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.075.9157.9+6.167%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
77-53
77
53
+24
72avg 69
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 69
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Liepaja
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
70avg 69
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 69
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
81avg 69
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Arges Pitesti
#19
W
73-70
73
70
+3
64avg 69
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
67avg 69
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
67-85
67
85
-18
54avg 69
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
74avg 69
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
59-83
59
83
-24
52avg 69
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-8
16-10
28-10
11-25
13-23
23-16
16-21
20-24
20-19
17-31
33-22
11-19
19-22
15-29
20-16
18-22
17-12
13-22
23-22
30-22
16-18
21-21
23-15
13-16
20-23
8-25
27-12
15-15
12-18
17-25
20-23
18-19
17-18
20-23
17-20
22-28
18-19
14-23
12-25
15-16
152.7Avg total
73.0Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.477.2154.6+0.240%
Season at home (3)80.374.0154.3+6.367%
Season away (2)73.082.0155.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)73.079.7152.7-6.730%
Last 5 (5)69.080.4149.4-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.981.4154.3-8.622%
vs Similar (6)74.574.3148.8+0.250%
vs Weaker (6)69.066.8135.8+2.250%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
BK OgreParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
78.9Avg total
40.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.281.7+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.838.382.1+5.557%-
Last 30 away (16)39.441.981.4-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.978.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.478.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.345.884.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (9)40.239.379.6+0.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.538.582.0+4.967%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Liepaja
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Arges Pitesti
#19
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
74.3Avg total
33.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.337.572.8-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.935.170.1-0.238%-
Last 30 away (14)35.640.275.9-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)33.840.574.3-6.710%-
Last 5 (5)32.642.675.2-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.641.878.4-5.217%-
vs Similar (6)33.331.765.0+1.750%-
vs Weaker (6)33.230.563.7+2.767%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.8
53.7%
51.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.5
32.8%
32.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.615.8
69.9%
70.6%15.8
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.8
52.4%
51.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.6
30.0%
32.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.613.8
78.4%
70.6%13.8
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
WWLLLWWWLW
Parnu
LLLLWWLLLW
#5
League position
#11
+4.4
Net rating
-9.3
107.6
Offensive rating
102.9
103.2
Defensive rating
112.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
49.2%
44.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.0%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.8%
3-point %
30.0%
63.3%
Assist %
68.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 102.9Defence103.2 · 112.1Shooting51.8% · 49.2%3-point %32.8% · 30.0%Ball care17.9% · 18.0%Off. rebounds31.4% · 28.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
BK Ogre wins
3
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Parnu v BK Ogre73-82
20/12/23BK Ogre v Parnu93-72
12/03/23BK Ogre v Parnu81-68
15/10/22Parnu v BK Ogre85-71
10/04/22BK Ogre v Parnu77-84
16/02/22BK Ogre v Parnu74-71
22/12/21Parnu v BK Ogre83-78
08/04/21BK Ogre v Parnu77-68
18/01/19Parnu v BK Ogre79-86
29/09/18BK Ogre v Parnu99-74
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24AValmiera Glass Via92-88
10/11/24AViimsi70-53
03/11/24AKeila Coolbet75-80
26/10/24ARigas Zelli71-88
19/10/24HBC Kalev/Cramo69-95
16/10/24HTal Tech86-66
12/10/24AKeila KK96-83
05/10/24HVentspils95-75
28/09/24ABK Liepaja75-80
21/09/24HLatvijas Universitate90-74
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24ASpojnia Stargard59-83
09/11/24ARigas Zelli76-89
06/11/24ACSM Oradea67-85
02/11/24AVEF Riga70-75
30/10/24HArges Pitesti73-70
26/10/24HValmiera Glass Via83-78
23/10/24HSpojnia Stargard72-89
19/10/24HBK Liepaja81-91
16/10/24HCSM Oradea72-84
12/10/24HLatvijas Universitate77-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW60%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game81.985.079.8
Allowed / game78.277.578.7
Point differential+3.7+7.5+1.2
Avg total160.1162.5158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game77.480.373.0
Allowed / game77.274.082.0
Point differential+0.2+6.3-9.0
Avg total154.6154.3155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga1110191%80.968.1+12.8
2 BC Kalev/Cramo76186%85.774.3+11.4
3 Valmiera Glass Via118373%84.575.5+9.0
4 Rigas Zelli107370%86.776.7+10.0
5 Tartu Ulikool85362%81.178.1+3.0
6 BK Ogre106460%81.978.2+3.7
7 Keila Coolbet74357%82.079.7+2.3
8 Tal Tech95456%80.086.0-6.0
9 Rapla94544%80.783.8-3.1
10 Parnu52340%77.477.2+0.2
11 Ventspils104640%89.689.5+0.1
12 BK Liepaja104640%76.580.1-3.6
13 Viimsi81712%65.582.4-16.9
14 Latvijas Universitate9090%70.482.7-12.2
15 Keila KK8080%75.492.4-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre2321171576
Parnu1928221887
← all games of the day
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