Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 07 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 84-46

15-13 21-12 20-4 28-17

Position#11

Record19-20

FormLLLWL

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game80.0

Estudiantes 🏆

Boca Juniors

Position#18

Record18-23

FormLLWLW

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game80.4

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Estudiantes v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weber Bahia

68-70

-2

A10/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

69-73

-4

H13/02

Liga A

Manresa

#16

86-57

+29

H14/02

ACB

Ferro

#15

78-84

-6

H17/02

Liga A

Sionista

#20

67-57

+10

H22/02

Liga A

Baskonia

77-107

107

-30

A28/02

ACB

Sionista

#20

64-72

-8

A29/02

Liga A

Olimpico

73-84

-11

A02/03

Liga A

Quimsa

75-72 OT

A04/03

Liga A

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

82-84

-2

A05/03

ACB

21-13

13-16

19-16

15-25

10-23

11-12

23-18

25-20

24-20

18-16

23-6

21-15

19-12

14-19

25-25

20-28

25-17

12-11

16-15

14-14

19-35

25-24

15-24

18-24

17-12

18-25

11-21

18-14

21-21

15-22

18-18

19-23

16-10

9-16

18-19

21-19

15-22

21-20

17-24

29-18

149.9Avg total

73.9Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	74.1	80.0	154.1	-5.9	49%
Season at home (19)	77.7	76.6	154.4	+1.1	68%
Season away (20)	70.7	83.2	153.8	-12.5	30%
Last 10 (10)	73.9	76.0	149.9	-2.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	83.8	158.0	-9.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	77.6	84.0	161.6	-6.4	44%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	72.8	74.9	147.7	-2.2	38%
vs Weaker (1)	85.0	90.0	175.0	-5.0	0%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

#17

85-89

-4

A31/01

Liga A

Sionista

#20

78-80

-2

H07/02

Liga A

Regatas

72-80

-8

H08/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

89-69

+20

H13/02

Liga A

Regatas

89-99

-10

A18/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

79-80

-1

A20/02

Liga A

La Union

61-70

-9

A22/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

97-92 OT

H25/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

83-88

-5

H28/02

Liga A

Atenas

#14

71-64

H29/02

Liga A

15-23

24-25

25-17

21-24

27-20

17-13

18-28

16-19

21-19

18-27

17-9

16-25

25-18

19-11

26-20

19-20

23-20

19-19

20-29

27-31

21-21

16-17

27-19

15-23

16-22

10-17

13-14

22-17

14-25

18-23

30-14

19-19

21-29

14-12

25-25

23-22

17-22

11-12

20-14

23-16

161.5Avg total

80.4Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (41)	80.1	80.4	160.5	-0.3	44%
Season at home (22)	84.8	79.0	163.8	+5.9	59%
Season away (19)	74.6	82.2	156.8	-7.5	26%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	81.1	161.5	-0.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	78.8	157.0	-0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	78.2	85.7	163.8	-7.5	33%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	80.5	79.2	159.8	+1.3	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	16.8	19.8	36.6	-3.0	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.5	37.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.7	21.2	38.9	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	18.8	38.5	+1.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.9	41.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.8	41.6	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.2	19.5	35.7	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.0	17.3	36.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.1	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	18.1	33.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.4	39.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.4	19.9	39.2	-0.5	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	16.2	17.8	34.0	-1.5	31%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	27.0	47.0	-7.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	18.8	36.2	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.3	18.9	35.2	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	17.6	34.2	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	16.2	30.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.5	21.7	39.2	-4.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	17.5	18.0	35.5	-0.6	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weber Bahia

34-29

A10/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

21-35

-14

H13/02

Liga A

Manresa

#16

42-36

H14/02

ACB

Ferro

#15

33-31

H17/02

Liga A

Sionista

#20

37-28

H22/02

Liga A

Baskonia

44-59

-15

A28/02

ACB

Sionista

#20

35-37

-2

A29/02

Liga A

Olimpico

36-43

-7

A02/03

Liga A

Quimsa

25-26

-1

A04/03

Liga A

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

36-42

-6

A05/03

ACB

70.9Avg total

34.3Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	38.5	74.2	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.2	35.8	74.0	+2.3	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	34.2	40.2	74.4	-6.1	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	36.6	70.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	41.4	76.6	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	37.1	41.1	78.1	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	34.2	34.8	69.0	-0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	45.0	80.0	-10.0	0%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

#17

39-48

-9

A31/01

Liga A

Sionista

#20

44-33

+11

H07/02

Liga A

Regatas

39-46

-7

H08/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

44-29

+15

H13/02

Liga A

Regatas

42-39

A18/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

37-38

-1

A20/02

Liga A

La Union

26-39

-13

A22/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

32-48

-16

H25/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

35-41

-6

H28/02

Liga A

Atenas

#14

28-34

-6

H29/02

Liga A

76.1Avg total

36.6Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	38.6	74.8	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	37.4	75.6	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.9	39.9	73.9	-6.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	39.5	76.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	40.0	71.6	-8.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.7	41.2	74.8	-7.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	36.9	37.9	74.8	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.9	18.9	40.8	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.6	22.2	39.7	-4.6	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	21.2	37.0	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.4	22.3	40.8	-3.9	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.7	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.4	19.9	43.2	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	20.1	41.4	+1.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.9	41.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	17.2	40.2	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	23.8	21.5	45.3	+2.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	71%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.3	21.2	41.4	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	21.4	20.1	41.6	+1.3	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	31%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	25.0	49.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.3	39.8	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	19.2	39.6	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.6	41.7	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	41.5	81.2	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.3	38.8	81.2	+3.5	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	37.8	43.3	81.2	-5.5	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	38.6	77.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	40.8	77.6	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	39.9	42.4	82.3	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.5	40.2	78.7	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	50.0	45.0	95.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	40.3	82.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.7	39.1	82.8	+4.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	41.7	81.4	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	40.5	82.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	36.6	80.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.8	42.7	84.5	-0.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	41.8	39.8	81.5	+2.0	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
22/01/16	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	70-61
06/04/15	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	69-89
09/03/15	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	84-86
10/02/14	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	62-57
02/02/14	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	93-57

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/16	A	MoraBanc Andorra	82-84
04/03/16	A	Quimsa	75-72 OT
02/03/16	A	Olimpico	73-84
29/02/16	A	Sionista	64-72
28/02/16	A	Baskonia	77-107
22/02/16	H	Sionista	67-57
17/02/16	H	Ferro	78-84
14/02/16	H	Manresa	86-57
13/02/16	H	San Martin	69-73
10/02/16	A	Weber Bahia	68-70

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/02/16	H	Atenas	71-64
28/02/16	H	San Martin	83-88
25/02/16	H	Gimnasia	97-92 OT
22/02/16	A	La Union	61-70
20/02/16	A	San Martin	79-80
18/02/16	A	Regatas	89-99
13/02/16	H	Instituto de Cordoba	89-69
08/02/16	H	Regatas	72-80
07/02/16	H	Sionista	78-80
31/01/16	A	Quilmes	85-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	49%
Home	WWLLW	68%
Away	LLLLW	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	19	20
Win %	49%	68%	30%
Points / game	74.1	77.7	70.7
Allowed / game	80.0	76.6	83.2
Point differential	-5.9	+1.1	-12.5
Avg total	154.1	154.4	153.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	26%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (12)	71% (7)	80% (5)
Overtime %	5%	5%	5%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	44%
Home	LWWLW	59%
Away	LLLLL	26%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	41	22	19
Win %	44%	59%	26%
Points / game	80.1	84.8	74.6
Allowed / game	80.4	79.0	82.2
Point differential	-0.3	+5.9	-7.5
Avg total	160.5	163.8	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	32%	5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (16)	33% (9)	43% (7)
Overtime %	17%	23%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	40	28	12	70%	82.3	75.7	+6.6
2	Gimnasia	38	23	15	61%	82.8	76.6	+6.2
3	Penarol	39	23	16	59%	83.3	82.1	+1.2
4	Quimsa	36	21	15	58%	81.1	77.9	+3.1
5	San Lorenzo	42	24	18	57%	84.2	80.1	+4.1
6	Libertad	42	24	18	57%	82.4	78.9	+3.5
7	San Martin	40	22	18	55%	85.8	83.8	+2.0
8	Obras Sanitarias	40	22	18	55%	83.9	83.0	+0.9
9	La Union	41	22	19	54%	79.9	79.0	+0.9
10	Regatas	39	19	20	49%	80.7	79.6	+1.1
11	Estudiantes	39	19	20	49%	74.1	80.0	-5.9
12	Instituto de Cordoba	42	19	23	45%	75.7	76.3	-0.5
13	Ferro	42	19	23	45%	76.7	79.0	-2.4
14	Weber Bahia	38	17	21	45%	74.1	78.4	-4.3
15	Boca Juniors	41	18	23	44%	80.1	80.4	-0.3
16	Quilmes	40	16	24	40%	79.7	81.6	-2.0
17	Lanus	40	16	24	40%	79.8	82.8	-3.0
18	Atenas	43	17	26	40%	76.0	78.9	-2.9
19	Argentino	38	15	23	39%	77.8	81.3	-3.5
20	Sionista	38	15	23	39%	75.9	81.1	-5.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	15	21	20	28	84
Boca Juniors	13	12	4	17	46

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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