Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 70-61

9-8 17-17 20-24 24-12

Position#18

Record13-14

FormLLWWL

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game80.5

Boca Juniors 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#11

Record13-13

FormWLWLW

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game82.2

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#16

63-88

-25

A28/11

Liga A

Libertad

85-69

+16

H13/12

Liga A

Penarol

96-79

+17

H14/12

Liga A

Olimpico

54-73

-19

A18/12

Liga A

Quimsa

77-91

-14

A20/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

99-101 OT

101

-2

H08/01

Liga A

Olimpico

85-88

-3

H12/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

96-77

+19

H14/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

68-59

A18/01

Liga A

Atenas

#14

61-84

-23

A20/01

Liga A

15-26

13-20

16-22

19-20

18-20

17-20

30-19

20-10

20-19

19-21

24-23

33-16

15-15

17-24

16-19

6-15

14-28

22-18

26-22

15-23

18-19

18-17

21-24

29-26

16-9

23-27

25-26

21-26

32-17

21-13

24-22

19-25

19-12

15-12

22-19

12-16

14-23

12-18

21-20

14-23

159.3Avg total

78.4Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	80.4	80.5	161.0	-0.1	48%
Season at home (14)	87.6	80.4	168.0	+7.1	57%
Season away (13)	72.8	80.6	153.4	-7.8	38%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	80.9	159.3	-2.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	81.8	163.6	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	76.0	85.9	161.9	-9.9	20%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	82.2	78.7	160.9	+3.5	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Libertad

70-95

-25

A19/12

Liga A

Bilbao

91-85

A19/12

ACB

Fuenlabrada

71-85

-14

A22/12

ACB

Real Betis

#11

102-76

102

+26

H27/12

ACB

Barcelona

67-89

-22

A03/01

ACB

Gimnasia

82-70

+12

H10/01

Liga A

Gipuzkoa

#18

85-90

-5

H10/01

ACB

San Lorenzo

80-76

H12/01

Liga A

Murcia

70-83

-13

A17/01

ACB

Penarol

85-81

H20/01

Liga A

11-21

18-18

18-28

23-28

16-19

24-23

18-24

33-19

20-26

29-19

11-20

20-17

31-13

29-19

22-27

18-28

15-18

14-23

20-20

25-14

29-23

12-25

16-8

15-18

20-27

26-20

24-25

23-19

21-17

19-20

17-20

11-13

25-22

16-22

18-26

17-15

23-30

25-18

20-18

163.3Avg total

80.3Scored

83.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	74.5	82.2	156.7	-7.7	50%
Season at home (14)	78.6	78.4	157.0	+0.3	71%
Season away (12)	69.7	86.8	156.4	-17.1	25%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	83.0	163.3	-2.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	80.0	160.4	+0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	76.4	87.1	163.6	-10.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	76.5	80.5	156.9	-4.0	45%
vs Weaker (1)	85.0	90.0	175.0	-5.0	0%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.3	37.6	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	19.9	37.1	-2.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.7	35%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.5	37.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	20.1	36.6	-3.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.8	34.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.8	19.2	36.9	-1.4	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-2.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.1	40.6	+0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.1	19.4	35.6	-3.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.4	35.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.4	21.9	39.3	-4.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	18.6	35.4	-1.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.0	44.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	23.8	47.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.5	15.8	34.4	+2.7	64%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	27.0	47.0	-7.0	0%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#16

28-46

-18

A28/11

Liga A

Libertad

35-40

-5

H13/12

Liga A

Penarol

39-40

-1

H14/12

Liga A

Olimpico

32-39

-7

A18/12

Liga A

Quimsa

36-46

-10

A20/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

36-36

H08/01

Liga A

Olimpico

39-36

H12/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

53-30

+23

H14/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

34-24

+10

A18/01

Liga A

Atenas

#14

26-41

-15

A20/01

Liga A

73.6Avg total

35.8Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	39.1	75.8	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	38.9	78.6	+0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.3	39.4	72.6	-6.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	37.8	73.6	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	33.4	71.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.3	41.7	77.0	-6.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	37.4	37.9	75.2	-0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Libertad

29-39

-10

A19/12

Liga A

Bilbao

40-42

-2

A19/12

ACB

Fuenlabrada

49-45

A22/12

ACB

Real Betis

#11

51-30

+21

H27/12

ACB

Barcelona

33-46

-13

A03/01

ACB

Gimnasia

54-37

+17

H10/01

Liga A

Gipuzkoa

#18

35-45

-10

H10/01

ACB

San Lorenzo

44-36

H12/01

Liga A

Murcia

36-35

A17/01

ACB

Penarol

40-45

-5

H20/01

Liga A

81.1Avg total

41.1Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	39.0	75.3	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.9	39.3	78.2	-0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.3	38.7	72.0	-5.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	40.0	81.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.6	81.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	36.2	40.6	76.8	-4.4	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	36.6	35.9	72.5	+0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	45.0	80.0	-10.0	0%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.9	41.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	19.1	42.0	+3.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.6	44.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.2	44.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.8	19.1	40.8	+2.7	70%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	23.0	41.2	-4.7	17%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	22.6	42.1	-3.2	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	23.4	40.2	-6.5	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.9	40.7	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.6	22.6	40.1	-5.0	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.6	23.9	42.5	-5.3	18%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.6	39.1	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	20.2	38.9	-1.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.2	42.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.3	22.6	41.9	-3.3	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.5	18.1	37.6	+1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.1	41.5	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	21.2	22.1	43.3	-0.9	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	25.0	49.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	39.5	80.6	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	38.2	81.2	+4.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	41.0	79.9	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	41.6	82.9	-0.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	45.4	87.0	-3.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.7	44.2	84.9	-3.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	41.2	37.2	78.5	+4.0	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	44.0	82.8	-5.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	42.8	83.4	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.8	45.4	82.1	-8.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	43.0	82.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	40.4	79.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	38.8	44.7	83.4	-5.9	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	37.9	42.7	80.6	-4.8	27%	-
vs Weaker (1)	50.0	45.0	95.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
06/04/15	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	69-89
09/03/15	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	84-86
10/02/14	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	62-57
02/02/14	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	93-57

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/16	A	Atenas	61-84
18/01/16	A	Instituto de Cordoba	68-59
14/01/16	H	Weber Bahia	96-77
12/01/16	H	Olimpico	85-88
08/01/16	H	Obras Sanitarias	99-101 OT
20/12/15	A	Quimsa	77-91
18/12/15	A	Olimpico	54-73
14/12/15	H	Penarol	96-79
13/12/15	H	Libertad	85-69
28/11/15	A	Argentino	63-88

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/16	H	Penarol	85-81
17/01/16	A	Murcia	70-83
12/01/16	H	San Lorenzo	80-76
10/01/16	H	Gipuzkoa	85-90
10/01/16	H	Gimnasia	82-70
03/01/16	A	Barcelona	67-89
27/12/15	H	Real Betis	102-76
22/12/15	A	Fuenlabrada	71-85
19/12/15	A	Bilbao	91-85
19/12/15	A	Libertad	70-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	48%
Home	WWLLW	57%
Away	LLLWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	48%	57%	38%
Points / game	80.4	87.6	72.8
Allowed / game	80.5	80.4	80.6
Point differential	-0.1	+7.1	-7.8
Avg total	161.0	168.0	153.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	43%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	20% (5)	75% (4)
Overtime %	22%	29%	15%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	50%
Home	WLWWW	71%
Away	LLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	50%	71%	25%
Points / game	74.5	78.6	69.7
Allowed / game	82.2	78.4	86.8
Point differential	-7.7	+0.3	-17.1
Avg total	156.7	157.0	156.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	21%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	83% (6)	100% (1)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	28	21	7	75%	82.7	76.9	+5.9
2	Obras Sanitarias	26	17	9	65%	86.3	83.6	+2.7
3	Gimnasia	28	17	11	61%	82.8	76.5	+6.3
4	San Lorenzo	30	18	12	60%	85.6	80.5	+5.1
5	Regatas	25	15	10	60%	81.4	78.2	+3.2
6	Penarol	28	16	12	57%	81.7	81.0	+0.7
7	Libertad	30	17	13	57%	81.6	78.4	+3.2
8	La Union	29	16	13	55%	81.4	79.8	+1.6
9	San Martin	26	14	12	54%	88.4	83.8	+4.6
10	Quimsa	27	14	13	52%	80.3	77.9	+2.4
11	Estudiantes	26	13	13	50%	74.5	82.2	-7.7
12	Boca Juniors	27	13	14	48%	80.4	80.5	-0.1
13	Weber Bahia	28	13	15	46%	74.8	79.4	-4.6
14	Lanus	27	12	15	44%	80.2	80.6	-0.3
15	Ferro	28	12	16	43%	75.9	78.8	-3.0
16	Instituto de Cordoba	30	12	18	40%	75.4	76.5	-1.1
17	Sionista	27	10	17	37%	77.6	82.0	-4.3
18	Atenas	30	10	20	33%	75.7	79.9	-4.2
19	Quilmes	28	9	19	32%	77.9	82.8	-4.9
20	Argentino	28	9	19	32%	76.8	82.2	-5.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	9	17	20	24	70
Estudiantes	8	17	24	12	61

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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