Gimnasia vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 May 2024

Tip-off: 23:30

Final 90-85

28-27 11-15 29-16 22-27

Position#9

Record21-14

FormWWWLW

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game79.5

Gimnasia 🏆

Boca Juniors

Position#4

Record22-13

FormWLWWW

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game75.3

Liga A

Other2023-24

Meetings · Gimnasia v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gimnasia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gimnasia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormGimnasia

Date

Competition

Obera TC

#12

85-82

78avg 68

H28/03

Liga A

Ferro

#13

87-83

77avg 68

H31/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

83-71

+12

70avg 68

H04/04

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

89-79

+10

88avg 68

H08/04

Liga A

Penarol

#11

79-86

-7

64avg 68

H27/04

Liga A

Regatas

#10

79-63

+16

70avg 68

H01/05

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

78-68

+10

75avg 68

H04/05

Liga A

Platense

102-69

102

+33

106avg 68

A09/05

Liga A

Zarate

#15

69-78

-9

64avg 68

A11/05

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

91-73

+18

83avg 68

A12/05

Liga A

23-18

25-24

23-23

14-17

25-20

16-17

25-22

21-24

15-12

20-16

23-30

25-13

22-16

20-20

23-26

24-17

21-15

19-25

19-21

20-25

18-13

12-23

23-11

26-16

19-21

22-11

20-16

17-20

26-9

17-24

32-11

27-25

19-14

13-19

15-16

22-29

24-28

21-13

25-18

21-14

159.4Avg total

84.2Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	82.8	79.5	162.3	+3.3	60%
Season at home (18)	84.9	74.6	159.5	+10.3	83%
Season away (17)	80.6	84.8	165.4	-4.2	35%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	75.2	159.4	+9.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	70.2	154.0	+13.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	84.5	88.0	172.5	-3.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	81.2	73.9	155.1	+7.3	73%
vs Weaker (12)	84.4	82.9	167.3	+1.5	58%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormJuniors

Date

Competition

La Union

#16

81-83

-2

70avg 75

A29/03

Liga A

Ferro

#13

70-69

60avg 75

A04/04

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

77-82

-5

67avg 75

A07/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

85-87

-2

84avg 75

A10/04

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

95-79

+16

94avg 75

H20/04

Liga A

Penarol

#11

87-83

78avg 75

H30/04

Liga A

Regatas

#10

76-78

-2

62avg 75

H02/05

Liga A

San Lorenzo

79-74 OT

75avg 75

A05/05

Liga A

Argentino

#17

89-52

+37

96avg 75

H08/05

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

81-73

76avg 75

H14/05

Liga A

21-22

24-24

17-19

19-18

15-16

18-21

15-20

22-12

18-29

21-16

18-23

20-14

19-24

23-19

14-17

29-27

22-21

23-20

28-19

22-19

20-20

12-22

24-21

31-20

14-18

19-20

26-15

17-25

15-20

15-6

21-16

13-22

17-14

20-11

27-16

25-11

17-8

28-25

20-21

16-19

158.0Avg total

82.0Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	81.6	75.3	156.9	+6.3	63%
Season at home (19)	82.9	73.9	156.9	+9.0	68%
Season away (16)	80.1	76.9	156.9	+3.2	56%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	76.0	158.0	+6.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	72.0	154.4	+10.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.7	71.3	145.0	+2.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	73.5	76.3	149.8	-2.8	33%
vs Weaker (21)	82.1	75.7	157.8	+6.4	62%

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GimnasiaBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.2	39.8	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	16.6	37.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	24.5	43.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.7	17.7	37.5	+2.0	53%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.0	32.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.3	19.6	40.0	+0.7	52%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.8	39.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	26.0	52.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.4	37.5	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.8	35.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.2	20.5	39.7	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.5	57%	-

GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obera TC

#12

48-42

H28/03

Liga A

Ferro

#13

41-37

H31/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

35-28

H04/04

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

42-36

H08/04

Liga A

Penarol

#11

40-40

H27/04

Liga A

Regatas

#10

30-36

-6

H01/05

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

41-32

H04/05

Liga A

Platense

43-33

+10

A09/05

Liga A

Zarate

#15

32-33

-1

A11/05

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

45-41

A12/05

Liga A

75.5Avg total

39.7Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	38.2	78.5	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	37.6	77.8	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	38.9	79.4	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	35.8	75.5	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	35.0	73.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.0	50.5	95.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.5	37.0	75.5	+1.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	42.2	37.7	79.9	+4.6	67%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#16

45-46

-1

A29/03

Liga A

Ferro

#13

33-37

-4

A04/04

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

39-45

-6

A07/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

42-43

-1

A10/04

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

45-41

H20/04

Liga A

Penarol

#11

32-42

-10

H30/04

Liga A

Regatas

#10

33-38

-5

H02/05

Liga A

San Lorenzo

30-26

A05/05

Liga A

Argentino

#17

37-25

+12

H08/05

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

45-33

+12

H14/05

Liga A

75.7Avg total

38.1Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	38.5	77.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.4	38.4	77.8	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.2	38.6	76.8	-0.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	37.6	75.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	32.8	68.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.7	39.0	73.7	-4.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	38.7	42.0	80.7	-3.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (21)	39.6	37.4	77.0	+2.2	52%	-

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.3	19.5	43.8	+4.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	14.4	37.4	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.5	18.4	40.9	+4.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.2	22.1	43.2	-0.9	42%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.5	36.9	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	16.8	37.6	+4.1	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	18.5	36.1	-1.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.7	39.7	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	17.8	41.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	16.3	15.7	32.0	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.1	38.4	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	22.7	42.1	-3.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.8	18.1	35.9	-0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	17.3	39.3	+4.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.6	52%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	40.3	82.0	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.6	37.6	82.2	+6.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	43.4	81.7	-5.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	39.4	83.9	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	35.2	80.8	+10.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.5	37.5	77.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	42.7	36.9	79.5	+5.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.2	44.5	85.7	-3.3	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	36.0	75.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.5	35.5	78.0	+6.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.4	36.6	72.0	-1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	37.4	79.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	37.2	81.2	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.0	32.3	71.3	+6.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	34.8	34.3	69.2	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	40.8	37.0	77.8	+3.8	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Gimnasiatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 71.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.3	16.0	51.1%	53.8%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.7	9.5	31.0%	32.9%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	14.2	11.2	78.8%	71.7%	11.2

They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	18.0	47.6%	53.8%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	7.2	29.1%	32.9%	21.5
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.3	75.4%	71.7%	15.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	18.0	47.6%	53.8%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	7.2	29.1%	32.9%	21.5
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.3	75.4%	71.7%	15.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gimnasia wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
21/10/23	Boca Juniors v Gimnasia	82-83
26/03/23	Gimnasia v Boca Juniors	77-87
25/01/23	Boca Juniors v Gimnasia	82-72
07/03/22	Gimnasia v Boca Juniors	89-86 OT
25/01/22	Boca Juniors v Gimnasia	63-76
29/09/21	Boca Juniors v Gimnasia	78-60
22/04/21	Gimnasia v Boca Juniors	70-78
20/04/21	Boca Juniors v Gimnasia	79-70
16/01/21	Gimnasia v Boca Juniors	87-74
11/11/20	Boca Juniors v Gimnasia	66-98

Gimnasialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/05/24	A	Obras Sanitarias	91-73
11/05/24	A	Zarate	69-78
09/05/24	A	Platense	102-69
04/05/24	H	Riachuelo	78-68
01/05/24	H	Regatas	79-63
27/04/24	H	Penarol	79-86
08/04/24	H	Independiente de Oliva	89-79
04/04/24	H	Instituto de Cordoba	83-71
31/03/24	H	Ferro	87-83
28/03/24	H	Obera TC	85-82

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/05/24	H	Independiente de Oliva	81-73
08/05/24	H	Argentino	89-52
05/05/24	A	San Lorenzo	79-74 OT
02/05/24	H	Regatas	76-78
30/04/24	H	Penarol	87-83
20/04/24	H	Union De Santa Fe	95-79
10/04/24	A	Instituto de Cordoba	85-87
07/04/24	A	Riachuelo	77-82
04/04/24	A	Ferro	70-69
29/03/24	A	La Union	81-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gimnasia

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	60%
Home	WWLWW	83%
Away	WLWLW	35%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	18	17
Win %	60%	83%	35%
Points / game	82.8	84.9	80.6
Allowed / game	79.5	74.6	84.8
Point differential	+3.3	+10.3	-4.2
Avg total	162.3	159.5	165.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	50%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	58% (12)	60% (5)	57% (7)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	63%
Home	WWLWW	68%
Away	LWLLW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	19	16
Win %	63%	68%	56%
Points / game	81.6	82.9	80.1
Allowed / game	75.3	73.9	76.9
Point differential	+6.3	+9.0	+3.2
Avg total	156.9	156.9	156.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	53%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	25% (4)	43% (7)
Overtime %	11%	11%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	36	30	6	83%	85.3	78.4	+6.9
2	Instituto de Cordoba	37	26	11	70%	80.7	75.7	+5.1
3	Olimpico	35	23	12	66%	83.9	76.0	+7.9
4	Boca Juniors	35	22	13	63%	81.6	75.3	+6.3
5	San Martin	36	22	14	61%	76.3	72.4	+3.8
6	Gimnasia	35	21	14	60%	82.8	79.5	+3.3
7	Platense	35	21	14	60%	79.2	78.2	+1.0
8	Obras Sanitarias	35	21	14	60%	85.3	85.4	-0.1
9	San Lorenzo	36	21	15	58%	75.4	72.8	+2.6
10	Obera TC	36	19	17	53%	80.0	80.3	-0.3
11	Regatas	37	18	19	49%	77.1	76.6	+0.6
12	Penarol	37	17	20	46%	78.8	80.5	-1.8
13	Ferro	36	16	20	44%	77.6	80.5	-2.9
14	Zarate	36	15	21	42%	72.0	76.8	-4.8
15	Riachuelo	37	15	22	41%	80.9	82.2	-1.4
16	La Union	36	12	24	33%	77.7	81.2	-3.4
17	Independiente de Oliva	36	12	24	33%	78.5	81.9	-3.5
18	Union De Santa Fe	37	10	27	27%	79.6	86.2	-6.6
19	Argentino	37	10	27	27%	73.6	80.6	-7.0
20	Comunicaciones Mercedes	35	9	26	26%	79.4	84.5	-5.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gimnasia	28	11	29	22	90
Boca Juniors	27	15	16	27	85

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Gimnasia vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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