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Boise State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 65-55
35-25 30-30
Position#31
Record9-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game58.5
vs
Position#130
Record10-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game54.9
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Boise State v Fresno State
01 Feb 2025
BOIS82
FRES60
17 Feb 2024
BOIS90
FRES66
24 Jan 2023
BOIS63
FRES53
28 Dec 2021
BOIS65
FRES55
02 Mar 2021
BOIS64
FRES67
20 Jan 2021
BOIS73
FRES51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#137
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A19/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A21/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#321
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H27/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
H01/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H04/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
74-48
74
48
+26
A08/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#322
W
97-60
97
60
+37
H11/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H15/12
NCAA
Montana Tech
#483
W
88-57
88
57
+31
H19/12
NCAA
Washington State
#144
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-28
39-34
21-27
39-23
19-22
20-24
35-39
38-34
27-26
36-32
38-21
36-27
36-23
61-37
27-30
45-30
41-23
47-34
19-24
39-28
129.4Avg total
71.5Scored
57.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)69.458.5127.8+10.969%
Season at home (8)72.261.2133.5+11.062%
Season away (5)64.854.0118.8+10.880%
Last 10 (10)71.557.9129.4+13.680%
Last 5 (5)77.855.4133.2+22.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.059.0115.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)68.768.4137.1+0.250%
vs Weaker (15)72.062.2134.2+9.867%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#343
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H23/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H25/11
NCAA
California
#281
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A29/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H02/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H05/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A09/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#125
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H12/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
W
83-48
83
48
+35
H18/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A22/12
NCAA
Weber State
#106
W
69-43
69
43
+26
A23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-27
37-36
27-25
32-27
21-28
36-37
33-20
30-23
39-17
22-26
31-24
32-47
26-21
37-34
50-29
33-19
23-22
27-33
44-18
25-25
117.6Avg total
63.8Scored
53.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)66.554.9121.5+11.677%
Season at home (9)69.653.3122.9+16.2100%
Season away (4)59.858.5118.2+1.225%
Last 10 (10)63.853.8117.6+10.070%
Last 5 (5)65.654.4120.0+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)57.369.9127.2-12.611%
vs Similar ◀ (6)64.758.8123.5+5.867%
vs Weaker (14)69.158.9128.0+10.186%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: +9.7+9.72nd half: +0.4+0.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: +9.7+9.72nd half: +0.4+0.4
Boise StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#137
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A19/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A21/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#321
L
19-22
19
22
-3
H27/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H01/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H04/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A08/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#322
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H11/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H15/12
NCAA
Montana Tech
#483
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H19/12
NCAA
Washington State
#144
L
19-24
19
24
-5
A23/12
NCAA
56.9Avg total
30.6Scored
26.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.531.063.5+1.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.431.965.4+1.541%-
Last 30 away (13)31.429.861.2+1.638%-
Last 10 (10)30.626.356.9+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.224.256.4+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.031.057.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)28.732.160.8-3.417%-
vs Weaker (15)34.529.964.4+4.553%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#343
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H23/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H25/11
NCAA
California
#281
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A29/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H02/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H05/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A09/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#125
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H12/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
W
23-22
23
22
+1
A22/12
NCAA
Weber State
#106
W
44-18
44
18
+26
A23/12
NCAA
55.8Avg total
32.7Scored
23.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.027.059.0+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.126.158.2+6.065%-
Last 30 away (13)31.828.259.9+3.669%-
Last 10 (10)32.723.155.8+9.690%-
Last 5 (5)34.822.857.6+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)28.030.858.8-2.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.325.058.3+8.3100%-
vs Weaker (14)33.225.959.1+7.371%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Boise State wins
1
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
03/03/21Boise State v Fresno State64-67
21/01/21Boise State v Fresno State73-51
26/01/20Fresno State v Boise State53-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/21AWashington State58-52
19/12/21HMontana Tech88-57
15/12/21HSanta Clara72-60
11/12/21HPrairie View A&M97-60
08/12/21ACS Northridge74-48
04/12/21HTulsa63-58
01/12/21HSt. Louis Billikens82-86 OT
27/11/21HCSU Bakersfield39-46
21/11/21AOle Miss60-50
19/11/21ATemple82-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/21AWeber State69-43
22/12/21AUtah Utes50-55
18/12/21HCal Poly83-48
12/12/21HUC Irvine63-55
09/12/21ASan Francisco63-71
05/12/21HCS Northridge61-43
02/12/21HSan Diego Toreros63-43
29/11/21ACalifornia57-65
25/11/21HSanta Clara59-52
23/11/21HPepperdine70-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %69%62%80%
Points / game69.472.264.8
Allowed / game58.561.254.0
Point differential+10.9+11.0+10.8
Avg total127.8133.5118.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %8%12%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %77%100%25%
Points / game66.569.659.8
Allowed / game54.953.358.5
Point differential+11.6+16.2+1.2
Avg total121.5122.9118.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colorado State10100100%83.467.0+16.4
2 Wyoming1311285%77.563.1+14.5
3 Grand Canyon1210283%72.257.8+14.4
4 Fresno State1310377%66.554.9+11.6
5 San Diego State118373%64.758.5+6.3
6 Boise State139469%69.458.5+10.9
7 Utah State139469%79.569.6+9.9
8 Air Force117464%59.860.4-0.5
9 UNLV138562%71.566.6+4.9
10 Nevada106460%79.274.4+4.8
11 San Jose State116555%68.870.9-2.1
12 New Mexico137654%79.576.9+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State353065
Fresno State253055
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