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Boise State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 82-60
44-26 38-34
Position#55
Record14-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game66.9
vs
Position#358
Record5-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game81.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Boise State v Fresno State
01 Feb 2025
BOIS82
FRES60
17 Feb 2024
BOIS90
FRES66
24 Jan 2023
BOIS63
FRES53
28 Dec 2021
BOIS65
FRES55
02 Mar 2021
BOIS64
FRES67
20 Jan 2021
BOIS73
FRES51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H21/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A28/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A01/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H04/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A12/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
96-55
96
55
+41
H15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A18/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-31
45-28
28-35
45-36
25-19
42-39
32-33
36-43
43-24
38-35
38-34
41-47
50-21
46-34
21-48
44-36
29-38
43-37
28-24
38-32
141.8Avg total
74.4Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.166.9144.0+10.267%
Season at home (13)80.562.1142.6+18.585%
Season away (8)71.674.8146.4-3.138%
Last 10 (10)74.467.4141.8+7.060%
Last 5 (5)75.670.2145.8+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)72.675.8148.5-3.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)79.559.9139.4+19.688%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#179
L
69-86
69
86
-17
H21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A29/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H01/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A05/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A08/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
66-77 OT
66
77
-11
H12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A20/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
72-83 OT
72
83
-11
A29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-36
34-50
30-48
47-39
36-53
53-50
42-39
41-50
26-49
38-42
31-30
33-34
41-24
33-41
27-45
40-50
31-33
33-36
30-31
37-36
157.0Avg total
72.5Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.481.6154.0-9.224%
Season at home (10)73.677.5151.1-3.940%
Season away (11)71.485.4156.7-14.09%
Last 10 (10)72.584.5157.0-12.010%
Last 5 (5)68.677.8146.4-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)68.382.2150.5-13.98%
vs Similar (4)78.270.5148.8+7.8100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -5.9-5.92nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -3.9-3.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -5.9-5.92nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -3.9-3.9
Boise StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H21/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A28/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
25-19
25
19
+6
A01/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H04/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A12/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
50-21
50
21
+29
H15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A18/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H30/01
NCAA
63.3Avg total
32.6Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.130.465.5+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.828.565.4+8.374%-
Last 30 away (11)32.133.765.8-1.655%-
Last 10 (10)32.630.763.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)33.233.066.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)31.534.866.2-3.346%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)37.127.064.1+10.181%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#179
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A29/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H01/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A05/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A08/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A20/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H26/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A29/01
NCAA
71.7Avg total
32.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.138.069.1-6.920%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.635.667.3-4.029%-
Last 30 away (16)30.640.170.8-9.512%-
Last 10 (10)32.938.871.7-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)32.032.664.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)30.038.768.6-8.715%-
vs Similar (4)38.534.072.5+4.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boise State wins
1
Fresno State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25HNevada66-56
23/01/25AColorado State72-75
18/01/25ANew Mexico65-84
15/01/25HWyoming96-55
12/01/25AUtah State79-81
08/01/25HUNLV81-59
04/01/25HSan Diego State68-76
01/01/25AWyoming67-58
28/12/24ASan Jose State73-71
21/12/24HAir Force77-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/25AWyoming72-83 OT
26/01/25HColorado State64-69
20/01/25ANew Mexico67-95
18/01/25HAir Force74-65
12/01/25HNevada66-77 OT
08/01/25AColorado State64-91
05/01/25AUtah State83-89
01/01/25HNew Mexico89-103
29/12/24AUNLV77-87
21/12/24HCalifornia Baptist69-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW67%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %67%85%38%
Points / game77.180.571.6
Allowed / game66.962.174.8
Point differential+10.2+18.5-3.1
Avg total144.0142.6146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%77%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %24%40%9%
Points / game72.473.671.4
Allowed / game81.677.585.4
Point differential-9.2-3.9-14.0
Avg total154.0151.1156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %14%20%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2119290%82.467.7+14.7
2 New Mexico2117481%83.472.4+11.0
3 Grand Canyon2116576%79.768.4+11.3
4 San Diego State1914574%72.163.0+9.1
5 Boise State2114767%77.166.9+10.2
6 Colorado State2114767%74.167.8+6.3
7 Nevada21111052%72.568.0+4.4
8 UNLV21111052%71.270.6+0.7
9 Wyoming21111052%69.270.9-1.7
10 San Jose State22101245%74.372.2+2.0
11 Fresno State2151624%72.481.6-9.2
12 Air Force2131814%63.371.5-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State443882
Fresno State263460
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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