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Boise State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 63-53
23-25 40-28
Position#57
Record15-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game61.6
vs
Position#295
Record7-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game61.4
Allowed / game62.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Boise State v Fresno State
01 Feb 2025
BOIS82
FRES60
17 Feb 2024
BOIS90
FRES66
24 Jan 2023
BOIS63
FRES53
28 Dec 2021
BOIS65
FRES55
02 Mar 2021
BOIS64
FRES67
20 Jan 2021
BOIS73
FRES51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#290
W
91-50
91
50
+41
H14/12
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H18/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A22/12
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H07/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A12/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A15/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-28
49-22
31-24
46-33
36-34
22-39
27-30
45-44
41-29
26-35
45-30
37-29
–
–
41-33
44-35
42-36
35-26
37-31
35-41
142.6Avg total
77.2Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.261.6134.8+11.675%
Season at home (11)75.558.6134.2+16.991%
Season away (9)70.365.2135.6+5.156%
Last 10 (10)77.265.4142.6+11.870%
Last 5 (5)81.467.2148.6+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)69.364.6133.9+4.665%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)74.558.9133.5+15.692%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pacific
#242
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H18/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A31/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
57-79
57
79
-22
A07/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A11/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H15/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-38
43-38
23-24
30-35
27-27
29-21
38-25
20-28
26-33
28-34
36-32
35-35
23-35
34-44
30-36
34-38
26-20
22-31
37-33
39-30
124.6Avg total
60.9Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)61.462.9124.3-1.639%
Season at home (8)62.559.0121.5+3.562%
Season away (10)60.566.1126.6-5.620%
Last 10 (10)60.963.7124.6-2.840%
Last 5 (5)63.266.8130.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)63.964.6128.4-0.743%
vs Similar (17)57.262.2119.5-5.018%
vs Weaker (5)70.254.8125.0+15.4100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -2.0-2.0
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -2.0-2.0
Boise StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#290
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H14/12
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H18/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A22/12
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A15/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A21/01
NCAA
68.6Avg total
38.0Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.930.265.1+4.776%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.629.364.9+6.383%-
Last 30 away (11)33.731.765.5+2.064%-
Last 10 (9)38.030.668.6+7.489%-
Last 5 (5)41.231.873.0+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)33.030.963.9+2.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.229.466.6+7.892%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pacific
#242
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H18/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A31/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A07/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A11/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H15/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H21/01
NCAA
59.8Avg total
29.5Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.928.757.6+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.328.458.6+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)27.729.056.7-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)29.530.359.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)30.431.261.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.631.763.3-0.143%-
vs Similar (17)26.928.755.6-1.829%-
vs Weaker (5)31.223.855.0+7.4100%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Boise State wins
1
Fresno State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23ANew Mexico79-81 OT
18/01/23HNevada77-62
15/01/23AWyoming85-68
12/01/23AUNLV84-66
07/01/23HUtah State82-59
04/01/23HSan Jose State67-64
29/12/22ANevada72-74
22/12/22ASanta Clara58-73
18/12/22HOakland77-57
14/12/22HNew Orleans91-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HUNLV76-63
15/01/23HAir Force48-51
11/01/23ASan Jose State64-74
07/01/23AColorado State57-79
04/01/23HNew Mexico71-67
31/12/22AUtah State54-67
29/12/22HWyoming58-53
21/12/22ACSU Bakersfield56-48
18/12/22HSacramento State53-59
10/12/22APacific72-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %75%91%56%
Points / game73.275.570.3
Allowed / game61.658.665.2
Point differential+11.6+16.9+5.1
Avg total134.8134.2135.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%73%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW39%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%62%20%
Points / game61.462.560.5
Allowed / game62.959.066.1
Point differential-1.6+3.5-5.6
Avg total124.3121.5126.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico2118386%82.570.8+11.7
2 Utah State2016480%80.671.2+9.4
3 San Diego State1915479%75.166.3+8.8
4 Nevada2116576%74.066.7+7.3
5 Boise State2015575%73.261.6+11.6
6 UNLV1912763%75.968.3+7.6
7 Grand Canyon1912763%71.164.2+6.9
8 Air Force2012860%68.964.4+4.5
9 San Jose State2012860%67.866.7+1.1
10 Colorado State21101148%74.671.0+3.7
11 Fresno State1871139%61.462.9-1.6
12 Wyoming1961332%70.071.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State234063
Fresno State252853
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