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Boise State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 73-67
41-35 32-32
Position#31
Record23-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game60.2
vs
Position#257
Record12-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Boise State v Nevada
03 Feb 2026
BOIS91
NEVA87
29 Jan 2025
BOIS66
NEVA56
05 Mar 2024
BOIS66
NEVA76
17 Jan 2023
BOIS77
NEVA62
10 Mar 2022
BOIS71
NEVA69
01 Mar 2022
BOIS73
NEVA67
11 Mar 2021
BOIS82
NEVA89
01 Feb 2020
BOIS73
NEVA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#45
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H26/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
W
68-63 OT
68
63
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H05/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
H13/02
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
85-59
85
59
+26
A17/02
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H23/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-24
35-38
29-25
24-28
28-28
37-44
40-26
36-34
29-36
40-27
37-39
30-28
45-31
40-28
29-30
39-27
30-20
28-37
47-41
39-35
136.0Avg total
71.4Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)69.160.2129.3+8.979%
Season at home (16)69.761.1130.8+8.675%
Season away (13)68.359.2127.5+9.285%
Last 10 (10)71.464.6136.0+6.880%
Last 5 (5)74.265.2139.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.059.0115.0-3.00%
vs Similar (17)65.962.2128.1+3.871%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)72.257.5129.6+14.791%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#170
L
49-78
49
78
-29
H30/01
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A02/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A05/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A06/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H09/02
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A12/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H16/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
90-60
90
60
+30
A18/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H23/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-45
22-33
26-42
32-27
24-33
32-40
27-28
36-37
31-36
41-46
32-37
53-35
39-43
42-29
43-25
47-35
26-23
28-39
26-42
35-32
137.6Avg total
66.9Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.473.7146.1-1.244%
Season at home (15)74.871.5146.3+3.360%
Season away (12)69.576.4145.9-6.925%
Last 10 (10)66.970.7137.6-3.830%
Last 5 (5)74.268.0142.2+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)68.578.3146.8-9.721%
vs Similar (6)79.269.2148.3+10.083%
vs Weaker (4)81.266.5147.8+14.8100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +1.5+1.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +1.5+1.5
Boise StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#45
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H26/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H05/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H13/02
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A17/02
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H23/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A27/02
NCAA
64.4Avg total
34.4Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.827.759.5+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.828.159.9+3.859%-
Last 30 away (13)31.827.259.1+4.654%-
Last 10 (10)34.430.064.4+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.632.269.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.031.057.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (17)30.429.359.7+1.141%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)33.725.459.1+8.482%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#170
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H30/01
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A02/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A05/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A06/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H09/02
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A12/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A18/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H23/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A27/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
30.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.336.370.5-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.636.270.8-1.744%-
Last 30 away (14)33.936.370.2-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)30.135.465.5-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)33.234.067.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.638.070.6-5.426%-
vs Similar (6)35.034.069.0+1.067%-
vs Weaker (4)37.831.869.5+6.075%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Boise State wins
4
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
13/01/22Nevada v Boise State70-85
11/03/21Boise State v Nevada82-89
07/02/21Nevada v Boise State73-62
06/02/21Nevada v Boise State74-72
02/02/20Boise State v Nevada73-64
04/01/20Nevada v Boise State83-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/22AUNLV86-76
23/02/22HSan Diego State58-57
19/02/22HUtah State68-57
17/02/22AAir Force85-59
13/02/22HColorado State74-77 OT
12/02/22HUNLV69-63
05/02/22HSan Jose State76-60
04/02/22AWyoming65-72
29/01/22AFresno State68-63 OT
26/01/22HWyoming65-62
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/22AWyoming61-74
23/02/22HUNLV54-62
18/02/22ASan Jose State90-60
16/02/22HSan Jose State81-72
12/02/22AUtah State85-72
09/02/22HColorado State72-82
06/02/22ASan Diego State63-65
05/02/22AFresno State56-73
02/02/22AUNLV58-69
30/01/22HUtah State49-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW79%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWLWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %79%75%85%
Points / game69.169.768.3
Allowed / game60.261.159.2
Point differential+8.9+8.6+9.2
Avg total129.3130.8127.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%44%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)60% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %10%12%8%
Nevada
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL44%
HomeWLLWL60%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game72.474.869.5
Allowed / game73.771.576.4
Point differential-1.2+3.3-6.9
Avg total146.1146.3145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colorado State2723485%75.266.3+8.9
2 Boise State2923679%69.160.2+8.9
3 Wyoming2923679%74.665.8+8.8
4 Grand Canyon2720774%71.361.0+10.3
5 San Diego State2619773%65.857.3+8.6
6 Fresno State28181064%65.257.8+7.4
7 UNLV29171259%70.765.8+4.9
8 Utah State30161453%73.967.6+6.2
9 Nevada27121544%72.473.7-1.2
10 New Mexico30121840%74.375.5-1.2
11 Air Force27101737%59.265.9-6.7
12 San Jose State2882029%65.072.9-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State413273
Nevada353267
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