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Boise State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 91-87 (OT)
39-28 40-51 12-8
Position#101
Record13-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#86
Record16-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Boise State v Nevada
03 Feb 2026
BOIS91
NEVA87
29 Jan 2025
BOIS66
NEVA56
05 Mar 2024
BOIS66
NEVA76
17 Jan 2023
BOIS77
NEVA62
10 Mar 2022
BOIS71
NEVA69
01 Mar 2022
BOIS73
NEVA67
11 Mar 2021
BOIS82
NEVA89
01 Feb 2020
BOIS73
NEVA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H31/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
68-93
68
93
-25
H11/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A21/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
96-54
96
54
+42
H24/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
89-58
89
58
+31
A28/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-19
41-34
29-50
50-29
27-37
31-38
23-46
45-47
39-40
37-36
39-30
40-43
38-18
43-47
48-29
48-25
36-33
53-25
41-43
28-43
155.0Avg total
79.4Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.172.8150.9+5.359%
Season at home (14)74.469.1143.6+5.364%
Season away (8)84.579.1163.6+5.450%
Last 10 (10)79.475.6155.0+3.850%
Last 5 (5)82.867.2150.0+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.872.5147.2+2.275%
vs Similar ◀ (18)74.072.9146.9+1.156%
vs Weaker (8)81.065.5146.5+15.575%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A31/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A15/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A17/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
87-54
87
54
+33
H21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
66-60 OT
66
60
+6
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-36
38-26
21-26
45-39
36-34
32-39
38-39
54-44
23-29
39-42
40-29
41-37
39-26
48-28
35-36
38-44
26-24
27-29
33-28
56-48
144.9Avg total
75.9Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.970.8147.7+6.073%
Season at home (15)78.270.1148.3+8.180%
Season away (7)74.072.3146.3+1.757%
Last 10 (10)75.969.0144.9+6.970%
Last 5 (5)79.267.2146.4+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.878.0148.8-7.20%
vs Similar ◀ (19)74.171.3145.3+2.863%
vs Weaker (6)80.363.5143.8+16.8100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +4.2+4.2
Boise StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
W
21-19
21
19
+2
H31/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A04/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H11/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
38-18
38
18
+20
A21/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H24/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A28/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A31/01
NCAA
68.6Avg total
34.1Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.067.4+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.632.668.2+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)33.033.466.4-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.568.6-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.430.671.0+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.833.064.8-1.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.833.767.5+0.244%-
vs Weaker (8)36.931.568.4+5.475%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A31/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A17/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H31/01
NCAA
63.5Avg total
32.8Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.632.466.0+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.531.567.0+4.163%-
Last 30 away (11)30.234.164.3-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)32.830.763.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.628.663.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.437.670.0-5.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)33.232.265.4+1.058%-
vs Weaker (6)35.728.864.5+6.867%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boise State wins
3
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
21/12/25Nevada v Boise State81-66
22/02/25Nevada v Boise State69-70
30/01/25Boise State v Nevada66-56
06/03/24Boise State v Nevada66-76
13/01/24Nevada v Boise State56-64
18/01/23Boise State v Nevada77-62
29/12/22Nevada v Boise State74-72
10/03/22Boise State v Nevada71-69
02/03/22Boise State v Nevada73-67
13/01/22Nevada v Boise State70-85
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AGrand Canyon69-86
28/01/26ASan Jose State89-58
24/01/26HAir Force96-54
21/01/26AWyoming81-65
17/01/26HColorado State79-73
14/01/26AUNLV85-89 OT
11/01/26HUtah State68-93
08/01/26HGrand Canyon58-75
04/01/26ASan Diego State107-110 OT
31/12/25HNew Mexico62-53
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HUNLV89-76
28/01/26HGrand Canyon66-60 OT
25/01/26ANew Mexico73-80
21/01/26HSan Jose State87-54
17/01/26AAir Force81-66
15/01/26AUtah State62-71
11/01/26HWyoming92-83
07/01/26HSan Diego State68-73
04/01/26AFresno State66-65
31/12/25AColorado State75-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %59%64%50%
Points / game78.174.484.5
Allowed / game72.869.179.1
Point differential+5.3+5.3+5.4
Avg total150.9143.6163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%29%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %9%0%25%
Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22157
Win %73%80%57%
Points / game76.978.274.0
Allowed / game70.870.172.3
Point differential+6.0+8.1+1.7
Avg total147.7148.3146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%40%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %9%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2118386%83.667.9+15.7
2 New Mexico2218482%81.568.0+13.5
3 Nevada2216673%76.970.8+6.0
4 San Diego State2115671%80.271.0+9.2
5 Grand Canyon2114767%74.568.2+6.3
6 Wyoming2213959%78.372.5+5.8
7 Boise State2213959%78.172.8+5.3
8 Colorado State22121055%75.670.9+4.8
9 Fresno State21101148%72.170.3+1.9
10 UNLV21101148%77.977.9+0.0
11 San Jose State2261627%70.177.0-6.8
12 Air Force2131814%61.377.2-15.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Boise State39401291
Nevada2851887
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