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Boise State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 66-76
29-35 37-41
Position#70
Record21-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game66.6
vs
Nevada 🏆
USA
Position#25
Record24-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game66.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Boise State v Nevada
03 Feb 2026
BOIS91
NEVA87
29 Jan 2025
BOIS66
NEVA56
05 Mar 2024
BOIS66
NEVA76
17 Jan 2023
BOIS77
NEVA62
10 Mar 2022
BOIS71
NEVA69
01 Mar 2022
BOIS73
NEVA67
11 Mar 2021
BOIS82
NEVA89
01 Feb 2020
BOIS73
NEVA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#17
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
H27/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
94-56
94
56
+38
H03/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A07/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H18/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
82-50
82
50
+32
H21/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
92-72
92
72
+20
A25/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
79-48
79
48
+31
A28/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
37-39
41-38
45-40
41-27
53-29
30-37
32-38
30-41
31-39
48-33
42-33
38-16
44-34
51-36
41-36
28-26
51-22
35-33
54-46
151.3Avg total
81.9Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.466.6143.0+9.872%
Season at home (18)78.764.1142.8+14.783%
Season away (11)72.570.8143.4+1.755%
Last 10 (10)81.969.4151.3+12.570%
Last 5 (5)86.463.0149.4+23.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.060.0123.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)69.471.3140.7-1.950%
vs Weaker (12)83.361.3144.7+22.092%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#39
L
55-89
55
89
-34
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H03/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A07/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
H10/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H21/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
84-63
84
63
+21
A24/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-38
31-51
49-24
41-36
36-27
41-36
30-27
30-33
35-45
47-38
28-36
41-30
44-21
32-37
34-29
50-34
39-28
38-46
37-24
37-42
144.2Avg total
75.4Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.466.6143.0+9.980%
Season at home (16)78.762.9141.6+15.888%
Season away (14)73.970.7144.6+3.171%
Last 10 (10)75.468.8144.2+6.680%
Last 5 (5)76.065.4141.4+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.269.8140.0+0.362%
vs Weaker (17)81.264.1145.3+17.294%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +7.4+7.42nd half: +0.5+0.5
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +7.4+7.42nd half: +0.5+0.5
Boise StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#17
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H27/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A07/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
38-16
38
16
+22
H21/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A25/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A28/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/03
NCAA
70.5Avg total
38.1Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.232.069.2+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.629.367.8+9.383%-
Last 30 away (12)35.236.171.3-0.842%-
Last 10 (10)38.132.470.5+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)40.028.868.8+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.024.058.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.133.766.8-0.650%-
vs Weaker (12)41.830.272.0+11.583%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#39
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H03/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A07/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H10/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A18/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H21/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A28/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H02/03
NCAA
65.5Avg total
35.6Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.229.565.7+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.426.464.8+11.988%-
Last 30 away (14)33.832.966.7+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)35.629.965.5+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)36.427.664.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.830.862.5+1.054%-
vs Weaker (17)39.628.568.1+11.288%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boise State wins
4
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Nevada v Boise State56-64
18/01/23Boise State v Nevada77-62
29/12/22Nevada v Boise State74-72
10/03/22Boise State v Nevada71-69
02/03/22Boise State v Nevada73-67
13/01/22Nevada v Boise State70-85
11/03/21Boise State v Nevada82-89
07/02/21Nevada v Boise State73-62
06/02/21Nevada v Boise State74-72
02/02/20Boise State v Nevada73-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HNew Mexico89-79
28/02/24AAir Force79-48
25/02/24AWyoming92-72
21/02/24HSan Jose State82-50
18/02/24HFresno State90-66
11/02/24AUtah State61-80
07/02/24AColorado State62-75
03/02/24HAir Force94-56
01/02/24ANew Mexico86-78
27/01/24HUtah State84-90 OT
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HFresno State74-66
28/02/24AColorado State77-74
24/02/24ASan Jose State84-63
21/02/24HWyoming76-58
18/02/24AUNLV69-66
14/02/24HNew Mexico82-83
10/02/24HSan Diego State70-66 OT
07/02/24AUtah State77-63
03/02/24HSan Jose State90-60
29/01/24ANew Mexico55-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %72%83%55%
Points / game76.478.772.5
Allowed / game66.664.170.8
Point differential+9.8+14.7+1.7
Avg total143.0142.8143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %80%88%71%
Points / game76.478.773.9
Allowed / game66.662.970.7
Point differential+9.9+15.8+3.1
Avg total143.0141.6144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon3026487%79.967.2+12.7
2 Utah State2924583%79.369.1+10.2
3 Nevada3024680%76.466.6+9.9
4 San Diego State2922776%75.266.0+9.2
5 New Mexico2921872%82.671.7+10.9
6 Boise State2921872%76.466.6+9.8
7 Colorado State3021970%76.567.9+8.6
8 UNLV28181064%74.067.7+6.3
9 Wyoming30141647%72.475.3-2.9
10 Fresno State29111838%68.172.9-4.8
11 Air Force2992031%66.371.7-5.4
12 San Jose State3092130%69.974.7-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State293766
Nevada354176
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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