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Boise State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 71-69
38-33 33-36
Position#31
Record24-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game60.8
Boise State 🏆
USA
vs
Nevada
USA
Position#257
Record13-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Boise State v Nevada
03 Feb 2026
BOIS91
NEVA87
29 Jan 2025
BOIS66
NEVA56
05 Mar 2024
BOIS66
NEVA76
17 Jan 2023
BOIS77
NEVA62
10 Mar 2022
BOIS71
NEVA69
01 Mar 2022
BOIS73
NEVA67
11 Mar 2021
BOIS82
NEVA89
01 Feb 2020
BOIS73
NEVA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#45
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H05/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
H13/02
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
85-59
85
59
+26
A17/02
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H23/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A27/02
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-28
37-44
40-26
36-34
29-36
40-27
37-39
30-28
45-31
40-28
29-30
39-27
30-20
28-37
47-41
39-35
41-35
32-32
36-41
32-30
138.1Avg total
72.2Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)69.260.8129.9+8.477%
Season at home (17)69.961.4131.3+8.576%
Season away (14)68.360.0128.3+8.379%
Last 10 (10)72.265.9138.1+6.370%
Last 5 (5)70.665.6136.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)65.563.1128.5+2.465%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)72.258.2130.5+14.092%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#52
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A06/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H09/02
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A12/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H16/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
90-60
90
60
+30
A18/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H23/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A27/02
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A02/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H06/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-28
36-37
31-36
41-46
32-37
53-35
39-43
42-29
43-25
47-35
26-23
28-39
26-42
35-32
35-41
32-32
33-36
45-43
34-35
45-37
144.1Avg total
73.0Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)72.773.8146.4-1.143%
Season at home (17)75.271.9147.2+3.359%
Season away (13)69.376.2145.5-6.823%
Last 10 (10)73.071.1144.1+1.940%
Last 5 (5)67.872.0139.8-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)66.877.7144.5-10.811%
vs Similar (7)79.169.6148.7+9.686%
vs Weaker (4)81.266.5147.8+14.8100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +3.9+3.9
Boise StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#45
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H05/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H13/02
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A17/02
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H23/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A27/02
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/03
NCAA
68.9Avg total
36.2Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.328.360.6+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.428.460.8+4.062%-
Last 30 away (14)32.128.260.4+3.950%-
Last 10 (10)36.232.768.9+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.470.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)30.330.160.4+0.235%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)34.326.260.5+8.283%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#52
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A06/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H09/02
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A12/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A18/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H23/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A27/02
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A02/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H06/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H09/03
NCAA
67.2Avg total
32.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.735.869.5-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.335.770.0-1.441%-
Last 30 away (13)32.835.968.8-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)32.634.667.2-2.020%-
Last 5 (5)30.835.466.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.637.468.9-5.822%-
vs Similar (7)34.934.169.0+0.757%-
vs Weaker (4)37.831.869.5+6.075%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Boise State wins
4
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
02/03/22Boise State v Nevada73-67
13/01/22Nevada v Boise State70-85
11/03/21Boise State v Nevada82-89
07/02/21Nevada v Boise State73-62
06/02/21Nevada v Boise State74-72
02/02/20Boise State v Nevada73-64
04/01/20Nevada v Boise State83-66
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/22AColorado State68-71
02/03/22HNevada73-67
27/02/22AUNLV86-76
23/02/22HSan Diego State58-57
19/02/22HUtah State68-57
17/02/22AAir Force85-59
13/02/22HColorado State74-77 OT
12/02/22HUNLV69-63
05/02/22HSan Jose State76-60
04/02/22AWyoming65-72
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/22HNew Mexico79-72
06/03/22HSan Diego State78-79
02/03/22ABoise State67-73
27/02/22AWyoming61-74
23/02/22HUNLV54-62
18/02/22ASan Jose State90-60
16/02/22HSan Jose State81-72
12/02/22AUtah State85-72
09/02/22HColorado State72-82
06/02/22ASan Diego State63-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWLWWW76%
AwayWLWWL79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %77%76%79%
Points / game69.269.968.3
Allowed / game60.861.460.0
Point differential+8.4+8.5+8.3
Avg total129.9131.3128.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%41%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %10%12%7%
Nevada
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeLWLLW59%
AwayLWWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %43%59%23%
Points / game72.775.269.3
Allowed / game73.871.976.2
Point differential-1.1+3.3-6.8
Avg total146.4147.2145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colorado State2824486%75.066.4+8.7
2 Boise State3124777%69.260.8+8.4
3 Wyoming3124777%73.865.7+8.1
4 Grand Canyon2922776%71.160.6+10.6
5 San Diego State2821775%66.358.2+8.0
6 Fresno State31191261%65.358.7+6.6
7 UNLV31181358%70.365.8+4.5
8 Utah State32181456%74.266.8+7.4
9 Nevada30131743%72.773.8-1.1
10 New Mexico32131941%74.275.3-1.1
11 Air Force29111838%59.066.0-7.0
12 San Jose State3182326%64.372.3-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State383371
Nevada333669
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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