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Boise State vs St. Marys (CA) Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 68-67
37-32 31-35
Position#101
Record7-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game69.7
Boise State 🏆
USA
vs
St. Marys (CA)
USA
Position#16
Record9-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game63.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Boise State v St. Marys (CA)
14 Dec 2025
BOIS68
ST. 67
14 Dec 2024
BOIS67
ST. 65
01 Dec 2023
BOIS63
ST. 60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Marys (CA) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii Pacific
#217
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
101-77
101
77
+24
H08/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H12/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H24/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H25/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
102-76
102
76
+26
A27/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A06/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-38
41-41
46-35
55-42
48-36
37-29
35-30
27-28
32-27
30-32
32-34
35-36
28-34
42-47
43-39
59-37
33-31
44-37
45-30
41-34
148.7Avg total
79.0Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.069.7148.7+9.370%
Season at home (8)76.469.1145.5+7.262%
Season away (2)89.572.0161.5+17.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.069.7148.7+9.370%
Last 5 (5)80.471.8152.2+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)101.077.0178.0+24.0100%
vs Similar (17)70.870.1140.9+0.853%
vs Weaker (12)78.263.0141.2+15.283%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H04/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H08/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H12/11
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
80-49
80
49
+31
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H20/11
NCAA
California Merced
#656
W
96-42
96
42
+54
H23/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A27/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
71-96
71
96
-25
A28/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-25
49-33
48-33
39-33
45-27
45-33
47-17
33-32
47-39
38-33
40-26
56-16
33-31
37-34
31-20
46-46
34-51
37-45
27-24
43-37
144.5Avg total
81.0Scored
63.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.063.5144.5+17.590%
Season at home (7)85.659.0144.6+26.6100%
Season away (3)70.374.0144.3-3.767%
Last 10 (10)81.063.5144.5+17.590%
Last 5 (5)76.866.0142.8+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.361.0123.3+1.367%
vs Similar (5)72.270.4142.6+1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)76.059.8135.8+16.395%
This opponent (Boise State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +8.1+8.1
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +8.1+8.1
Boise StateSt. Marys (CA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii Pacific
#217
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H08/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H24/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H25/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H11/12
NCAA
71.3Avg total
37.9Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.731.566.3+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.230.668.9+7.671%-
Last 30 away (13)30.232.762.8-2.554%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.471.3+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.669.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)46.035.081.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (17)32.433.666.0-1.347%-
vs Weaker (12)37.228.265.4+8.983%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H04/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H08/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H12/11
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
47-17
47
17
+30
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H20/11
NCAA
California Merced
#656
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H23/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A28/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A07/12
NCAA
68.0Avg total
38.7Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.028.563.5+6.483%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.228.465.6+8.888%-
Last 30 away (13)32.128.760.8+3.477%-
Last 10 (10)38.729.368.0+9.490%-
Last 5 (5)33.030.463.4+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.030.766.7+5.367%-
vs Similar (5)32.234.466.6-2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)35.227.062.2+8.390%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Boise State wins
0
St. Marys (CA) wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Boise State v St. Marys (CA)67-65 OT
02/12/23Boise State v St. Marys (CA)63-60
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25HDuquesne86-64
06/12/25AButler77-68
27/11/25AChaminade Silverswords102-76
25/11/25HNC State70-81
24/11/25HUSC67-70
19/11/25HWichita State62-59
15/11/25HMontana State62-58
12/11/25HUTRGV85-65
08/11/25HUtah Valley State101-77
04/11/25HHawaii Pacific78-79
St. Marys (CA)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ADavidson70-61
28/11/25AVanderbilt71-96
27/11/25HVirginia Tech77-66
27/11/25AWichita State70-65
23/11/25HCalifornia Merced96-42
20/11/25HArkansas State85-72
15/11/25HNorth Texas80-49
12/11/25HOhio90-60
08/11/25HChattanooga Mocs87-66
04/11/25HSt. Thomas (Minn.)84-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %70%62%100%
Points / game79.076.489.5
Allowed / game69.769.172.0
Point differential+9.3+7.2+17.5
Avg total148.7145.5161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %90%100%67%
Points / game81.085.670.3
Allowed / game63.559.074.0
Point differential+17.5+26.6-3.7
Avg total144.5144.6144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State109190%84.567.6+16.9
2 Colorado State119282%85.769.6+16.1
3 New Mexico119282%81.568.9+12.5
4 Wyoming108280%88.071.7+16.3
5 Nevada118373%77.472.9+4.5
6 Boise State107370%79.069.7+9.3
7 San Diego State85362%81.976.5+5.4
8 Grand Canyon106460%74.967.7+7.2
9 Fresno State116555%76.571.5+5.0
10 San Jose State115645%75.773.8+1.9
11 UNLV104640%80.982.6-1.7
12 Air Force113827%66.273.5-7.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga1110191%91.965.9+26.0
2 St. Marys (CA)109190%81.063.5+17.5
3 Seattle108280%83.365.3+18.0
4 Pacific118373%76.463.8+12.5
5 Santa Clara118373%80.670.5+10.2
6 Loyola Marymount107370%79.767.9+11.8
7 Portland117464%84.781.1+3.6
8 San Francisco116555%74.669.5+5.2
9 Oregon State116555%72.671.5+1.2
10 San Diego Toreros104640%74.475.8-1.4
11 Pepperdine114736%73.374.3-1.0
12 Washington State103730%76.779.6-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State373168
St. Marys (CA)323567
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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