PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Boise State vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 67-70
32-34 35-36
Position#101
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game67.6
Boise State
USA
vs
USC 🏆
USA
Position#153
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game80.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
80-57
80
57
+23
A05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H08/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A13/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A15/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A15/03
NCAA
Hawaii Pacific
#217
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
101-77
101
77
+24
H08/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H12/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-21
42-36
34-34
39-49
28-33
34-19
28-34
44-35
22-32
34-37
37-38
41-41
46-35
55-42
48-36
37-29
35-30
27-28
32-27
30-32
139.9Avg total
73.1Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.667.6145.2+10.080%
Season at home (5)77.667.6145.2+10.080%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.166.8139.9+6.370%
Last 5 (5)77.667.6145.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)101.077.0178.0+24.0100%
vs Similar (15)69.269.5138.7-0.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)76.360.6136.9+15.693%
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#172
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H27/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H06/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A09/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
A13/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A14/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H04/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
114-83
114
83
+31
H09/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H15/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-52
44-35
34-39
27-43
47-35
45-26
27-39
36-51
41-30
32-43
35-35
36-41
37-31
57-33
55-37
59-46
40-26
47-41
29-29
39-39
167.3Avg total
86.8Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)100.580.0180.5+20.5100%
Season at home (4)100.580.0180.5+20.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.880.5167.3+6.360%
Last 5 (5)94.679.2173.8+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.577.9154.4-1.441%
vs Similar (10)83.478.8162.2+4.650%
vs Weaker (3)97.068.3165.3+28.7100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +2.4+2.4
Boise StateUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H08/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A13/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A15/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A15/03
NCAA
Hawaii Pacific
#217
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H08/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H19/11
NCAA
66.8Avg total
34.8Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.830.564.3+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.929.867.8+8.182%-
Last 30 away (13)28.431.559.8-3.146%-
Last 10 (10)34.832.066.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.633.272.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.035.081.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (15)31.733.565.3-1.847%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)35.127.062.1+8.186%-
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#172
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H27/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H06/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A09/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A13/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H04/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H21/11
NCAA
73.6Avg total
38.3Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.434.972.3+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.233.572.8+5.771%-
Last 30 away (13)35.036.871.8-1.815%-
Last 10 (10)38.335.373.6+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.231.670.8+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.235.869.9-1.635%-
vs Similar (10)38.834.373.1+4.550%-
vs Weaker (3)51.032.383.3+18.7100%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Boise State wins
0
USC wins
No previous meetings.
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HWichita State62-59
15/11/25HMontana State62-58
12/11/25HUTRGV85-65
08/11/25HUtah Valley State101-77
04/11/25HHawaii Pacific78-79
15/03/25AColorado State56-69
15/03/25ANew Mexico72-69
13/03/25ASan Diego State62-52
08/03/25HColorado State73-83
05/03/25AAir Force80-57
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25HTroy107-106 OT
15/11/25HIllinois State87-67
09/11/25HManhattan114-83
04/11/25HCal Poly94-64
14/03/25APurdue71-76
13/03/25ARutgers97-89 OT
09/03/25AUCLA63-90
06/03/25HWashington92-61
01/03/25AOregon61-82
27/02/25HOhio State82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW80%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %80%80%-
Points / game77.677.6-
Allowed / game67.667.6-
Point differential+10.0+10.0-
Avg total145.2145.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%-
USC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game100.5100.5-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential+20.5+20.5-
Avg total180.5180.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State660100%89.765.0+24.7
2 Wyoming65183%84.770.5+14.2
3 Colorado State54180%89.873.4+16.4
4 Boise State54180%77.667.6+10.0
5 Fresno State75271%78.469.4+9.0
6 San Diego State32167%85.770.0+15.7
7 New Mexico64267%75.369.3+6.0
8 Nevada64267%78.774.2+4.5
9 UNLV53260%93.284.0+9.2
10 Grand Canyon53260%81.674.0+7.6
11 Air Force73443%70.173.9-3.7
12 San Jose State52340%79.874.0+5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa550100%90.262.6+27.6
2 Indiana550100%88.262.4+25.8
3 USC440100%100.580.0+20.5
4 Ohio State550100%88.468.8+19.6
5 Michigan440100%89.871.5+18.2
6 Purdue660100%86.569.0+17.5
7 Nebraska660100%87.770.8+16.8
8 Michigan State550100%79.063.4+15.6
9 Oregon440100%74.266.5+7.8
10 Illinois65183%95.869.2+26.7
11 UCLA65183%77.860.3+17.5
12 Northwestern65183%82.366.8+15.5
13 Penn State65183%79.268.0+11.2
14 Wisconsin54180%88.671.6+17.0
15 Washington54180%85.472.0+13.4
16 Maryland54180%82.273.4+8.8
17 Minnesota64267%74.264.8+9.3
18 Rutgers64267%71.868.0+3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State323567
USC343670
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.