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Bonn vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-42
25-11 17-7 17-18 27-6
Position#1
Record25-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game73.6
Bonn 🏆
Germany
vs
Bayreuth
Germany
Position#18
Record5-22
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game89.3
GermanyBBLRound 28
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bonn v Bayreuth
15 Apr 2023
BON86
BAR42
18 Mar 2022
BON86
BAR65
02 Mar 2021
BON76
BAR91
29 Mar 2020
BON v BAR
upcoming
14 Oct 2018
BON94
BAR84
19 Nov 2017
BON85
BAR82
25 Feb 2017
BON101
BAR94
17 Apr 2016
BON85
BAR69
02 Nov 2014
BON77
BAR59
15 Dec 2013
BON83
BAR71
10 Oct 2012
BON70
BAR78
12 Feb 2012
BON90
BAR62
18 Mar 2011
BON83
BAR55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Rytas
#13
W
99-72
99
72
+27
95avg 80
H08/03
Champions League
Wurzburg
#11
W
94-73
94
73
+21
99avg 80
H11/03
BBL
Manresa
#14
W
85-75
85
75
+10
80avg 80
H14/03
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
87-76
87
76
+11
86avg 80
A22/03
Champions League
Chemnitz
#12
W
81-79
81
79
+2
72avg 80
A26/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
91-75
91
75
+16
90avg 80
H29/03
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
76-66
76
66
+10
66avg 80
H01/04
BBL
Strasbourg
#10
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
H05/04
Champions League
Oldenburg
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
85avg 80
A08/04
BBL
Strasbourg
#10
W
76-66
76
66
+10
68avg 80
A11/04
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
15-22
33-13
25-22
27-21
27-24
23-15
17-13
23-17
25-23
21-22
16-13
25-18
19-16
21-17
22-25
20-24
22-22
22-24
17-9
18-24
23-17
21-19
29-15
20-16
25-21
13-14
18-15
25-22
17-18
16-20
18-17
20-14
15-25
21-16
31-21
18-17
23-11
23-20
12-18
158.7Avg total
85.2Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.373.6162.9+15.693%
Season at home (13)91.072.1163.1+18.9100%
Season away (14)87.675.1162.7+12.686%
Last 10 (10)85.273.5158.7+11.790%
Last 5 (5)81.272.0153.2+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)87.673.0160.6+14.593%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
64-80
64
80
-16
60avg 75
H05/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
74-86
74
86
-12
71avg 75
A11/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
94-108
94
108
-14
94avg 75
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
93-102
93
102
-9
87avg 75
A08/03
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 75
H12/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
no box
A17/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
80avg 75
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
95-84
95
84
+11
96avg 75
H02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 75
A05/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
89-101
89
101
-12
81avg 75
A08/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
12-25
11-18
20-14
18-22
15-17
16-22
25-25
27-31
16-25
24-22
27-30
27-32
22-20
22-27
22-23
25-17
27-29
10-19
17-15
19-23
25-24
19-14
15-17
20-20
22-24
13-18
30-13
31-22
21-23
19-23
24-16
20-14
24-22
17-14
12-28
19-25
27-24
22-27
21-25
172.5Avg total
83.5Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.289.3171.5-7.019%
Season at home (14)82.687.4170.0-4.936%
Season away (13)81.891.2173.1-9.40%
Last 10 (10)83.589.0172.5-5.520%
Last 5 (5)86.286.8173.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)81.989.1171.0-7.216%
vs Similar (4)76.586.2162.8-9.825%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
BonnBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#13
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/03
Champions League
Wurzburg
#11
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H11/03
BBL
Manresa
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H14/03
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A22/03
Champions League
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A26/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H29/03
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H01/04
BBL
Strasbourg
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H05/04
Champions League
Oldenburg
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A08/04
BBL
Strasbourg
#10
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A11/04
Champions League
82.0Avg total
43.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.536.381.8+9.283%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.635.783.4+11.993%-
Last 30 away (16)43.636.980.5+6.875%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.782.0+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.077.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)45.536.381.8+9.283%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H05/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A08/03
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H12/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A17/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A05/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A08/04
BBL
90.0Avg total
43.8Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.044.885.7-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.744.886.5-3.136%-
Last 30 away (16)40.344.885.1-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)43.846.290.0-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.289.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)42.044.986.9-2.836%-
vs Similar (4)35.244.579.8-9.20%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.2
55.6%
54.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.5
35.1%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.815.8
72.5%
75.8%15.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.315.5
51.2%
54.4%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.8
38.7%
35.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws23.917.7
74.1%
75.8%17.7
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
WWLWWWWWWW
Bayreuth
LLWWLLLLLL
#1
League position
#18
+17.1
Net rating
-8.9
116.6
Offensive rating
110.7
99.5
Defensive rating
119.6
54.3%
Effective FG%
54.5%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.4%
Turnover %
20.3%
36.5%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.41
35.1%
3-point %
38.7%
66.0%
Assist %
70.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 110.7Defence99.5 · 119.6Shooting54.3% · 54.5%3-point %35.1% · 38.7%Ball care17.4% · 20.3%Off. rebounds36.5% · 31.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Bonn   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bonn wins
5
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
29/01/23Bayreuth v Bonn71-94
18/03/22Bonn v Bayreuth86-65
22/12/21Bayreuth v Bonn71-96
02/03/21Bonn v Bayreuth76-91
19/11/20Bayreuth v Bonn83-77
24/11/19Bayreuth v Bonn82-79
21/04/19Bayreuth v Bonn84-78 OT
14/10/18Bonn v Bayreuth94-84
14/02/18Bayreuth v Bonn97-85
19/11/17Bonn v Bayreuth85-82
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/23AStrasbourg76-66
08/04/23AOldenburg87-76
05/04/23HStrasbourg76-77
01/04/23HHamburg76-66
29/03/23HLudwigsburg91-75
26/03/23AChemnitz81-79
22/03/23ABahcesehir Kol.87-76
14/03/23HManresa85-75
11/03/23HWurzburg94-73
08/03/23HRytas99-72
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/23ABasketball Braunschweig89-101
05/04/23ACrailsheim Merlins73-78
02/04/23HSyntainics MBC95-84
24/03/23HOldenburg85-75
17/03/23AWurzburg89-96 OT
12/03/23HBayern79-80
08/03/23ALudwigsburg93-102
14/02/23HLudwigsburg94-108
11/02/23AHamburg74-86
05/02/23HUlm64-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game89.391.087.6
Allowed / game73.672.175.1
Point differential+15.6+18.9+12.6
Avg total162.9163.1162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%77%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL19%
HomeLLLWW36%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %19%36%0%
Points / game82.282.681.8
Allowed / game89.387.491.2
Point differential-7.0-4.9-9.4
Avg total171.5170.0173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin2826293%88.577.1+11.4
2 Bonn2725293%89.373.6+15.6
3 Bayern2721678%81.474.0+7.5
4 Oldenburg27161159%85.082.8+2.2
5 Gottingen26151158%87.187.2-0.0
6 Ludwigsburg28161257%87.185.2+1.9
7 Ulm27151256%87.984.6+3.3
8 Wurzburg28141450%81.683.4-1.8
9 Bamberg29141548%87.787.4+0.2
10 Rostock28131546%83.287.5-4.3
11 Heidelberg28121643%87.290.0-2.8
12 Chemnitz27111641%82.783.0-0.4
13 Crailsheim Merlins28101836%85.989.6-3.8
14 Hamburg28101836%81.585.4-3.9
15 Syntainics MBC2791833%82.588.1-5.6
16 Basketball Braunschweig2781930%79.884.7-4.9
17 Frankfurt2772026%78.986.6-7.7
18 Bayreuth2752219%82.289.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn2517172786
Bayreuth11718642
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