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Crailsheim Merlins vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-73
14-20 22-24 14-17 28-12
Position#14
Record9-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game90.6
Crailsheim Merlins 🏆
Germany
vs
Bayreuth
Germany
Position#18
Record5-20
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game89.2
GermanyBBLRound 22
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Bayreuth
03 Jan 2027
CME v BAR
upcoming
08 Feb 2026
CME89
BAR58
12 Apr 2025
CME84
BAR81
05 Apr 2023
CME78
BAR73
16 Apr 2022
CME90
BAR85
16 Jan 2021
CME82
BAR77
06 Oct 2019
CME83
BAR76
13 Feb 2019
CME97
BAR90
19 Dec 2015
CME73
BAR70
27 Feb 2015
CME88
BAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
L
79-82
79
82
-3
73avg 79
H05/02
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
95-97
95
97
-2
no box
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#7
L
79-92
79
92
-13
70avg 79
A11/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
73avg 79
H14/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
80avg 79
A02/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 79
A05/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 79
A12/03
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 79
H18/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
72avg 79
A26/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
93-88
93
88
+5
91avg 79
H01/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
22-27
16-14
21-18
14-26
23-24
24-15
34-32
18-24
24-25
18-22
19-21
16-16
24-27
19-23
26-25
22-32
22-30
13-17
26-22
22-27
21-20
16-24
27-23
15-21
17-19
22-20
25-26
22-14
10-23
15-22
29-9
30-22
16-23
21-24
15-24
30-21
21-23
23-27
19-17
172.9Avg total
83.7Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)86.590.6177.1-4.035%
Season at home (12)90.489.4179.8+1.050%
Season away (14)83.291.6174.8-8.421%
Last 10 (10)83.789.2172.9-5.520%
Last 5 (5)83.285.8169.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)84.393.5177.7-9.218%
vs Similar (17)89.589.9179.5-0.447%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)97.580.0177.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
83-92
83
92
-9
71avg 74
H20/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
67avg 74
H29/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
64-80
64
80
-16
60avg 74
H05/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
74-86
74
86
-12
71avg 74
A11/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
94-108
94
108
-14
94avg 74
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
93-102
93
102
-9
87avg 74
A08/03
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 74
H12/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
no box
A17/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
80avg 74
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
95-84
95
84
+11
96avg 74
H02/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
23-18
23-25
24-28
18-22
15-20
16-37
22-15
21-23
12-25
11-18
20-14
18-22
15-17
16-22
25-25
27-31
16-25
24-22
27-30
27-32
22-20
22-27
22-23
25-17
27-29
10-19
17-15
19-23
25-24
19-14
15-17
20-20
22-24
13-18
30-13
31-22
21-23
19-23
24-16
172.4Avg total
82.7Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.389.2171.6-6.920%
Season at home (14)82.687.4170.0-4.936%
Season away (11)82.091.5173.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)82.789.7172.4-7.020%
Last 5 (5)88.287.4175.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)81.888.8170.6-7.016%
vs Similar (4)76.586.2162.8-9.825%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.0+3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.0+3.0
Crailsheim MerlinsBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H05/02
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A11/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A02/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/03
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H18/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A26/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H01/04
BBL
87.6Avg total
40.9Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.744.888.4-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.044.088.0+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)43.445.488.8-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.946.787.6-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.683.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.547.086.5-7.518%-
vs Similar (17)45.444.289.6+1.259%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)51.537.088.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H20/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H29/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H05/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A08/03
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H12/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A17/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H02/04
BBL
87.5Avg total
41.7Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.444.985.3-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.044.885.8-3.831%-
Last 30 away (14)39.645.184.7-5.421%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.887.5-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)47.846.894.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)41.345.186.4-3.832%-
vs Similar (4)35.244.579.8-9.20%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.316.9
55.8%
54.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.5
35.1%
35.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.815.4
81.9%
75.8%15.4
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.617.1
54.1%
54.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.9
35.9%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws24.518.0
73.5%
75.8%18.0
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
WLWLLLLLLL
Bayreuth
WWLLLLLLLL
#14
League position
#18
-10.9
Net rating
-8.8
109.8
Offensive rating
110.7
120.6
Defensive rating
119.5
54.2%
Effective FG%
54.0%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
18.4%
Turnover %
19.8%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.41
35.1%
3-point %
35.9%
59.5%
Assist %
70.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 110.7Defence120.6 · 119.5Shooting54.2% · 54.0%3-point %35.1% · 35.9%Ball care18.4% · 19.8%Off. rebounds25.8% · 32.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Crailsheim Merlins wins
4
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
23/10/22Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins99-77
16/04/22Crailsheim Merlins v Bayreuth90-85
23/10/21Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins74-86
05/03/21Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins97-78
16/01/21Crailsheim Merlins v Bayreuth82-77
12/11/20Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins77-81
06/10/19Crailsheim Merlins v Bayreuth83-76
13/02/19Crailsheim Merlins v Bayreuth97-90
29/12/18Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins102-85
06/02/16Bayreuth v Crailsheim Merlins78-70
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23HBasketball Braunschweig93-88
26/03/23AHeidelberg82-93
18/03/23HUlm76-68
12/03/23ARostock79-86
05/03/23AOldenburg86-94
02/03/23ABonn83-101
14/02/23HAlba Berlin85-91
11/02/23AGottingen79-92
08/02/23HGaziantep95-97
05/02/23HChemnitz79-82
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23HSyntainics MBC95-84
24/03/23HOldenburg85-75
17/03/23AWurzburg89-96 OT
12/03/23HBayern79-80
08/03/23ALudwigsburg93-102
14/02/23HLudwigsburg94-108
11/02/23AHamburg74-86
05/02/23HUlm64-80
29/01/23HBonn71-94
20/01/23HRostock83-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW35%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %35%50%21%
Points / game86.590.483.2
Allowed / game90.689.491.6
Point differential-4.0+1.0-8.4
Avg total177.1179.8174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW20%
HomeLLLWW36%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %20%36%0%
Points / game82.382.682.0
Allowed / game89.287.491.5
Point differential-6.9-4.9-9.5
Avg total171.6170.0173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%7%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2624292%89.373.5+15.8
2 Alba Berlin2523292%89.478.6+10.8
3 Bayern2620677%82.074.9+7.1
4 Oldenburg2516964%84.981.7+3.2
5 Gottingen24141058%86.786.6+0.1
6 Ludwigsburg26151158%87.885.7+2.2
7 Ulm26141254%87.084.9+2.1
8 Wurzburg26141254%84.284.3-0.1
9 Rostock26131350%83.887.5-3.7
10 Bamberg27131448%87.487.1+0.3
11 Chemnitz25101540%83.483.8-0.3
12 Heidelberg26101638%86.790.2-3.4
13 Hamburg27101737%81.784.4-2.7
14 Crailsheim Merlins2691735%86.590.6-4.0
15 Syntainics MBC2691735%82.988.5-5.7
16 Basketball Braunschweig2671927%79.084.5-5.5
17 Frankfurt2662023%78.287.0-8.8
18 Bayreuth2552020%82.389.2-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1422142878
Bayreuth2024171273
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