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Bayreuth vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 79-80
25-17 27-29 10-19 17-15
Position#18
Record3-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game90.3
Bayreuth
Germany
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record15-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game76.6
GermanyBBLRound 23
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bayreuth v Bayern
12 Mar 2023
BAR79
BAY80
31 Oct 2021
BAR78
BAY87
23 Jan 2021
BAR78
BAY98
08 Mar 2020
BAR75
BAY91
27 Jan 2019
BAR90
BAY93
22 Dec 2017
BAR77
BAY86
29 Apr 2017
BAR74
BAY72
19 Mar 2016
BAR69
BAY92
22 Feb 2015
BAR64
BAY83
08 Feb 2014
BAR51
BAY75
28 Oct 2012
BAR54
BAY73
21 Apr 2012
BAR59
BAY68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 72
H26/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
73-95
73
95
-22
68avg 72
H29/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
83-99
83
99
-16
76avg 72
H08/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
no box
A15/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
83-92
83
92
-9
71avg 72
H20/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
67avg 72
H29/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
64-80
64
80
-16
60avg 72
H05/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
74-86
74
86
-12
71avg 72
A11/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
94-108
94
108
-14
94avg 72
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
93-102
93
102
-9
87avg 72
A08/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
19-19
25-15
24-22
17-31
16-22
13-22
27-20
31-24
22-26
16-24
14-25
11-20
25-28
20-19
27-16
13-21
23-18
23-25
24-28
18-22
15-20
16-37
22-15
21-23
12-25
11-18
20-14
18-22
15-17
16-22
25-25
27-31
16-25
24-22
27-30
27-32
22-20
22-27
22-23
177.7Avg total
82.8Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.490.3171.7-8.914%
Season at home (11)81.589.5171.1-8.027%
Season away (10)81.391.1172.4-9.80%
Last 10 (10)82.894.9177.7-12.110%
Last 5 (5)79.294.0173.2-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)79.389.4168.8-10.18%
vs Similar (5)76.685.6162.2-9.020%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
58avg 72
H09/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
79-58
79
58
+21
74avg 72
A12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 72
H14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H18/02
German Cup
Oldenburg
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
no box
H19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
70avg 72
A23/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 72
A04/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
76-72
76
72
+4
62avg 72
H07/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
74-102
74
102
-28
67avg 72
A09/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
14-20
12-21
26-22
23-7
19-21
21-18
16-12
19-35
15-18
23-16
13-20
21-17
19-21
20-13
23-26
24-16
19-19
22-19
25-24
18-18
26-21
23-22
15-29
19-23
22-15
11-18
35-24
16-17
27-26
13-7
20-21
21-19
17-17
15-14
23-22
12-26
23-29
30-26
9-21
158.7Avg total
78.8Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.176.6158.8+5.571%
Season at home (11)84.777.0161.7+7.773%
Season away (10)79.376.2155.5+3.170%
Last 10 (10)78.879.9158.7-1.160%
Last 5 (5)79.083.0162.0-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.581.0156.5-5.518%
vs Similar (9)81.178.2159.3+2.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.178.5163.6+6.680%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
BayreuthBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H08/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A15/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H20/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H29/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H05/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A08/03
BBL
86.8Avg total
39.2Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.544.483.9-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.444.383.7-4.927%-
Last 30 away (15)39.744.484.1-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.247.686.8-8.410%-
Last 5 (5)38.247.485.6-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.944.584.4-4.629%-
vs Similar (5)38.244.082.2-5.820%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H09/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/02
German Cup
Oldenburg
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A23/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A04/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A09/03
Euroleague
79.7Avg total
39.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.681.3+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.239.781.9+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)39.241.580.7-2.327%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.479.7-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.282.4-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.341.879.1-4.518%-
vs Similar (9)40.238.178.3+2.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.941.586.4+3.470%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.4
51.4%
54.4%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws25.318.4
72.7%
75.8%18.4
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.716.5
46.2%
54.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.3
35.5%
35.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.011.4
76.0%
75.8%11.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
LLLLLLLLLW
Bayern
LWWWLWWLWL
#18
League position
#3
-15.6
Net rating
-4.5
109.3
Offensive rating
108.9
124.9
Defensive rating
113.4
53.3%
Effective FG%
49.4%
59.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
19.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.0%
3-point %
35.5%
68.9%
Assist %
51.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 108.9Defence124.9 · 113.4Shooting53.3% · 49.4%3-point %37.0% · 35.5%Ball care19.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds30.5% · 35.4%Free throws0.43 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayreuth wins
9
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
04/12/22Bayern v Bayreuth80-63
06/11/22Bayern v Bayreuth81-68
30/01/22Bayern v Bayreuth83-60
31/10/21Bayreuth v Bayern78-87
06/04/21Bayern v Bayreuth83-62
23/01/21Bayreuth v Bayern78-98
18/10/20Bayern v Bayreuth89-95
08/03/20Bayreuth v Bayern75-91
17/11/19Bayern v Bayreuth91-79
27/01/19Bayreuth v Bayern90-93
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/23ALudwigsburg93-102
14/02/23HLudwigsburg94-108
11/02/23AHamburg74-86
05/02/23HUlm64-80
29/01/23HBonn71-94
20/01/23HRostock83-92
15/01/23AHeidelberg101-107 OT
08/01/23HWurzburg83-99
29/12/22HGottingen73-95
26/12/22HBamberg92-86
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23AOlympiacos74-102
07/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne76-72
04/03/23AAlba Berlin76-71
02/03/23HCrvena zvezda87-80
23/02/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-90
19/02/23HOldenburg90-78
18/02/23HAlba Berlin83-77
14/02/23HHamburg70-89
12/02/23AChemnitz79-58
09/02/23HPartizan71-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %14%27%0%
Points / game81.481.581.3
Allowed / game90.389.591.1
Point differential-8.9-8.0-9.8
Avg total171.7171.1172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%9%10%
Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWLWLL73%
AwayWLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%73%70%
Points / game82.184.779.3
Allowed / game76.677.076.2
Point differential+5.5+7.7+3.1
Avg total158.8161.7155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2321291%90.273.6+16.7
2 Alba Berlin2119290%90.680.1+10.5
3 Bayern2115671%82.176.6+5.5
4 Ludwigsburg2215768%90.285.1+5.1
5 Oldenburg2114767%85.582.3+3.2
6 Gottingen2113862%86.585.2+1.2
7 Ulm22121055%87.985.3+2.5
8 Bamberg23121152%87.586.3+1.1
9 Wurzburg23111248%83.184.0-0.9
10 Chemnitz21101148%84.383.7+0.6
11 Rostock22101245%84.489.2-4.8
12 Syntainics MBC2291341%83.988.2-4.3
13 Hamburg2381535%82.685.6-3.0
14 Heidelberg2381535%86.191.2-5.1
15 Crailsheim Merlins2271532%87.391.8-4.5
16 Basketball Braunschweig2261627%79.184.8-5.6
17 Frankfurt2351822%78.887.6-8.8
18 Bayreuth2131814%81.490.3-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth2527101779
Bayern1729191580
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