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Bonn vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 94-73
27-21 27-24 23-15 17-13
Position#1
Record20-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game73.6
Bonn 🏆
Germany
vs
Wurzburg
Germany
Position#11
Record11-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game83.6
GermanyBBLRound 23
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bonn v Wurzburg
12 Apr 2027
BON v WUR
upcoming
27 May 2026
BON66
WUR63
18 May 2026
BON88
WUR81
16 May 2026
BON54
WUR69
27 Sep 2025
BON61
WUR72
26 Dec 2024
BON81
WUR90
05 May 2024
BON91
WUR100
11 Mar 2023
BON94
WUR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
74-68
74
68
+6
66avg 81
H25/01
Champions League
Bayreuth
#18
W
94-71
94
71
+23
92avg 81
A29/01
BBL
Manresa
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
85avg 81
A01/02
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
77-73
77
73
+4
73avg 81
A05/02
BBL
Rytas
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
86avg 81
A08/02
Champions League
Rostock
#8
W
77-62
77
62
+15
69avg 81
A12/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
91-57
91
57
+34
99avg 81
H15/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
101-83
101
83
+18
96avg 81
H02/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
88-61
88
61
+27
84avg 81
A05/03
BBL
Rytas
#13
W
99-72
99
72
+27
95avg 81
H08/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-10
23-22
20-16
11-20
22-18
20-15
37-16
15-22
23-22
18-11
27-18
19-18
27-15
12-21
22-19
16-18
28-16
26-23
12-20
20-20
26-20
20-14
13-5
18-23
28-8
28-12
18-19
17-18
32-22
30-22
17-13
22-26
18-18
26-14
18-17
26-12
26-15
15-22
33-13
25-22
156.9Avg total
87.4Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)90.073.6163.6+16.591%
Season at home (10)92.272.3164.5+19.9100%
Season away (12)88.274.7162.9+13.683%
Last 10 (10)87.469.5156.9+17.9100%
Last 5 (5)91.267.0158.2+24.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)88.372.9161.3+15.493%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 73
H04/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
99-83
99
83
+16
95avg 73
A08/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-84
91
84
+7
78avg 73
A14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
63avg 73
H23/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
66avg 73
A28/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
66avg 73
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
90-56
90
56
+34
83avg 73
H06/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
83-98
83
98
-15
75avg 73
A12/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
90-71
90
71
+19
88avg 73
H15/02
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
62-82
62
82
-20
55avg 73
H03/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
24-23
19-24
11-15
24-31
26-22
24-16
25-14
29-13
20-23
19-23
23-25
21-19
24-22
14-20
17-18
24-17
19-26
22-21
17-29
19-22
29-17
11-13
18-22
25-18
24-15
10-19
31-4
21-30
20-23
26-20
16-25
23-23
24-17
19-14
24-17
20-12
11-27
12-20
19-23
162.2Avg total
82.3Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.683.6167.2+0.050%
Season at home (12)84.281.7165.8+2.550%
Season away (10)82.985.9168.8-3.050%
Last 10 (10)82.379.9162.2+2.450%
Last 5 (5)80.476.2156.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.383.5158.8-8.233%
vs Similar (15)85.983.7169.5+2.253%
vs Weaker (1)99.083.0182.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +8.6+8.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +8.6+8.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
BonnWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H25/01
Champions League
Bayreuth
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A29/01
BBL
Manresa
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A01/02
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/02
BBL
Rytas
#13
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A08/02
Champions League
Rostock
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A12/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
56-20
56
20
+36
H15/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H02/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A05/03
BBL
Rytas
#13
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/03
Champions League
80.8Avg total
46.8Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.536.081.5+9.590%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.433.781.1+13.7100%-
Last 30 away (17)44.137.881.9+6.482%-
Last 10 (10)46.834.080.8+12.8100%-
Last 5 (5)49.833.483.2+16.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)45.435.781.1+9.790%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H04/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A08/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H23/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H06/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A12/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H15/02
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H03/03
BBL
86.3Avg total
44.6Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)43.042.985.9+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.541.084.5+2.569%-
Last 30 away (10)42.245.487.6-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)44.641.786.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.884.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.243.083.2-2.850%-
vs Similar (15)43.542.285.7+1.360%-
vs Weaker (1)50.053.0103.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.8
57.0%
54.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.0
36.3%
35.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.911.8
74.2%
75.8%11.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.4
53.1%
54.4%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.47.8
40.2%
35.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws15.511.3
72.9%
75.8%11.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
WWWWWWWWWW
Wurzburg
LWLWWLLWWL
#1
League position
#11
+24.9
Net rating
+3.9
121.4
Offensive rating
113.4
96.5
Defensive rating
109.5
55.8%
Effective FG%
55.3%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.7%
42.1%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.3%
3-point %
40.2%
64.2%
Assist %
48.1%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence121.4 · 113.4Defence96.5 · 109.5Shooting55.8% · 55.3%3-point %36.3% · 40.2%Ball care18.2% · 17.7%Off. rebounds42.1% · 32.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)100% · 50%
■ Bonn   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bonn wins
0
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
01/10/22Wurzburg v Bonn71-96
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/23HRytas99-72
05/03/23AFrankfurt88-61
02/03/23HCrailsheim Merlins101-83
15/02/23HSyntainics MBC91-57
12/02/23ARostock77-62
08/02/23ARytas86-79
05/02/23ABayern77-73
01/02/23AManresa87-69
29/01/23ABayreuth94-71
25/01/23HBahcesehir Kol.74-68
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23HUlm62-82
15/02/23HHeidelberg90-71
12/02/23ASyntainics MBC83-98
06/02/23HHamburg90-56
03/02/23HChemnitz77-74
28/01/23AHeidelberg82-93
23/01/23HAlba Berlin76-79
14/01/23AUlm91-84
08/01/23ABayreuth99-83
04/01/23HBamberg73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %91%100%83%
Points / game90.092.288.2
Allowed / game73.672.374.7
Point differential+16.5+19.9+13.6
Avg total163.6164.5162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%70%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game83.684.282.9
Allowed / game83.681.785.9
Point differential+0.0+2.5-3.0
Avg total167.2165.8168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2220291%90.073.6+16.5
2 Alba Berlin2119290%90.680.1+10.5
3 Bayern2115671%82.176.6+5.5
4 Ludwigsburg2215768%90.285.1+5.1
5 Oldenburg2114767%85.582.3+3.2
6 Gottingen2113862%86.585.2+1.2
7 Ulm22121055%87.985.3+2.5
8 Bamberg22111150%87.086.0+1.0
9 Wurzburg22111150%83.683.6+0.0
10 Chemnitz21101148%84.383.7+0.6
11 Rostock22101245%84.489.2-4.8
12 Syntainics MBC2191243%83.487.7-4.3
13 Hamburg2381535%82.685.6-3.0
14 Heidelberg2381535%86.191.2-5.1
15 Crailsheim Merlins2271532%87.391.8-4.5
16 Basketball Braunschweig2261627%79.184.8-5.6
17 Frankfurt2351822%78.887.6-8.8
18 Bayreuth2131814%81.490.3-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn2727231794
Wurzburg2124151373
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