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Bonn vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-91
24-30 18-18 17-21 17-22
Position#13
Record7-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#10
Record6-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game86.9
GermanyBBLRound 20
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Bonn v Bayreuth
15 Apr 2023
BON86
BAR42
18 Mar 2022
BON86
BAR65
02 Mar 2021
BON76
BAR91
29 Mar 2020
BON v BAR
upcoming
14 Oct 2018
BON94
BAR84
19 Nov 2017
BON85
BAR82
25 Feb 2017
BON101
BAR94
17 Apr 2016
BON85
BAR69
02 Nov 2014
BON77
BAR59
15 Dec 2013
BON83
BAR71
10 Oct 2012
BON70
BAR78
12 Feb 2012
BON90
BAR62
18 Mar 2011
BON83
BAR55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#11
W
102-87
102
87
+15
101avg 75
H27/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
72-73
72
73
-1
66avg 75
A02/01
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
77-89
77
89
-12
no box
H09/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
no box
A15/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
74avg 75
H24/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
79-84
79
84
-5
66avg 75
A31/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
103-97
103
97
+6
99avg 75
A06/02
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
78-71
78
71
+7
80avg 75
A12/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
83-66
83
66
+17
no box
H14/02
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
94-89
94
89
+5
82avg 75
H27/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
24-19
28-22
26-28
22-13
19-22
19-15
12-23
28-20
16-20
18-16
15-33
13-23
19-21
26-26
26-14
13-16
17-26
27-21
27-30
17-26
19-18
19-17
24-23
25-15
19-15
25-30
34-37
19-21
16-19
23-13
20-18
20-19
21-17
28-11
14-19
23-25
25-23
15-12
31-29
170.6Avg total
86.4Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.284.2166.3-2.039%
Season at home (9)84.285.3169.6-1.144%
Season away (9)80.183.0163.1-2.933%
Last 10 (10)86.484.2170.6+2.250%
Last 5 (5)87.481.4168.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)79.588.7168.2-9.37%
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.385.8173.2+1.550%
vs Weaker (9)87.980.7168.6+7.278%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
66avg 77
H02/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
71avg 77
A09/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
71avg 77
A16/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
78-98
78
98
-20
71avg 77
H23/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
83-61
83
61
+22
80avg 77
A30/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
no box
A05/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
78avg 77
H10/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
64avg 77
A12/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
78avg 77
H14/02
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
92-97
92
97
-5
90avg 77
A27/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
23-19
15-24
14-21
15-17
20-17
18-15
20-31
19-17
16-19
21-27
21-19
21-24
22-25
19-26
16-23
17-15
23-15
22-25
21-6
25-17
21-24
21-27
19-18
20-17
14-21
30-27
16-17
20-21
18-26
14-21
16-12
16-20
26-22
19-26
21-23
19-22
21-24
28-25
24-26
165.0Avg total
79.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.086.9168.9-4.930%
Season at home (9)83.088.0171.0-5.022%
Season away (11)81.386.0167.3-4.736%
Last 10 (10)79.885.2165.0-5.420%
Last 5 (5)83.488.4171.8-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.189.2166.3-12.19%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.978.8160.6+3.162%
vs Weaker (11)93.593.3186.8+0.336%
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
BonnBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H27/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A02/01
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H09/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H24/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A31/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A06/02
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H14/02
BBL
Vechta
#18
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H27/02
BBL
79.5Avg total
39.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.081.5-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.339.982.2+2.469%-
Last 30 away (14)38.442.280.6-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.679.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.680.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.643.781.3-6.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.238.381.5+4.883%-
vs Weaker (9)43.438.381.8+5.167%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H02/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A09/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A16/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H23/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A30/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A05/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H10/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A12/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H14/02
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A27/02
BBL
80.1Avg total
39.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.843.385.1-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.442.985.4-0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)41.243.684.9-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.780.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.882.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.243.883.0-4.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.140.580.6-0.438%-
vs Weaker (11)45.644.890.5+0.855%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.0
52.1%
54.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.7
41.2%
37.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.415.7
77.0%
78.0%15.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.5
56.0%
54.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.7
38.3%
37.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws14.210.1
71.1%
78.0%10.1
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
WWWWLLLLLW
Bayreuth
LLLLWWLLLL
#13
League position
#10
+6.1
Net rating
-6.4
109.4
Offensive rating
104.6
103.3
Defensive rating
110.9
56.1%
Effective FG%
56.6%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
18.7%
Turnover %
21.1%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
41.2%
3-point %
38.3%
47.5%
Assist %
60.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 104.6Defence103.3 · 110.9Shooting56.1% · 56.6%3-point %41.2% · 38.3%Ball care18.7% · 21.1%Off. rebounds28.3% · 25.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Bonn   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bonn wins
6
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
19/11/20Bayreuth v Bonn83-77
24/11/19Bayreuth v Bonn82-79
21/04/19Bayreuth v Bonn84-78 OT
14/10/18Bonn v Bayreuth94-84
14/02/18Bayreuth v Bonn97-85
19/11/17Bonn v Bayreuth85-82
25/02/17Bonn v Bayreuth101-94
29/12/16Bayreuth v Bonn83-78
17/04/16Bonn v Bayreuth85-69
14/11/15Bayreuth v Bonn77-64
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21HVechta94-89
14/02/21HSyntainics MBC83-66
12/02/21AHamburg78-71
06/02/21ASyntainics MBC103-97
31/01/21AFrankfurt79-84
24/01/21HCrailsheim Merlins84-93
15/01/21AChemnitz92-93 OT
09/01/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg77-89
02/01/21AUlm72-73
27/12/20HGottingen102-87
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21AGiessen92-97
14/02/21HOldenburg82-91
12/02/21AAlba Berlin68-80
10/02/21HGottingen80-82
05/02/21AHamburg95-92 OT
30/01/21AChemnitz83-61
23/01/21HBayern78-98
16/01/21ACrailsheim Merlins77-82
09/01/21AOldenburg73-80
02/01/21HLudwigsburg70-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW39%
HomeWLLWW44%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%44%33%
Points / game82.284.280.1
Allowed / game84.285.383.0
Point differential-2.0-1.1-2.9
Avg total166.3169.6163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Bayreuth
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %30%22%36%
Points / game82.083.081.3
Allowed / game86.988.086.0
Point differential-4.8-5.0-4.7
Avg total168.9171.0167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%11%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg1918195%88.377.2+11.1
2 Alba Berlin1816289%85.774.1+11.6
3 Oldenburg2016480%93.083.8+9.3
4 Crailsheim Merlins2016480%88.783.0+5.7
5 Bayern1915479%87.577.4+10.2
6 Ulm2013765%88.178.2+9.9
7 Hamburg1810856%84.278.9+5.3
8 Bamberg21101148%82.580.7+1.9
9 Bonn1871139%82.284.2-2.0
10 Chemnitz1871139%81.488.4-7.1
11 Basketball Braunschweig1661038%85.189.8-4.7
12 Frankfurt2071335%76.681.8-5.2
13 s.Oliver Wurzburg1861233%79.886.3-6.4
14 Gottingen1961332%80.991.4-10.5
15 Bayreuth2061430%82.086.9-4.8
16 Syntainics MBC1851328%83.990.6-6.7
17 Giessen2041620%85.295.5-10.4
18 Vechta2031715%79.087.2-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn2418171776
Bayreuth3018212291
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