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Bonn vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 101-96
23-23 28-29 22-21 28-23
Position#2
Record15-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game82.0
Bonn 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#8
Record12-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game83.4
GermanyBBLRound 23
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Bonn v Crailsheim Merlins
29 Oct 2023
BON90
CME68
02 Mar 2023
BON101
CME83
05 Mar 2022
BON101
CME96
24 Jan 2021
BON84
CME93
12 Oct 2019
BON82
CME114
11 Nov 2018
BON89
CME87
24 Jan 2016
BON101
CME93
18 Jan 2015
BON79
CME76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
115-90
115
90
+25
115avg 78
H26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
89-83
89
83
+6
84avg 78
H29/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
76-81
76
81
-5
73avg 78
A02/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
80-92
80
92
-12
83avg 78
H09/01
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
81-100
81
100
-19
61avg 78
A16/01
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
95-81
95
81
+14
85avg 78
H23/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
W
89-65
89
65
+24
87avg 78
A30/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
61avg 78
H06/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-77
95
77
+18
89avg 78
A13/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
90-93
90
93
-3
75avg 78
A16/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
25-28
36-18
25-25
29-19
24-21
20-27
16-16
26-9
21-28
11-21
18-23
20-28
18-24
22-22
20-18
21-20
21-29
21-29
18-22
27-21
25-18
16-20
27-22
17-11
21-23
25-14
26-17
24-22
19-29
17-19
17-19
28-29
25-18
19-15
23-15
21-24
18-25
28-19
23-25
173.8Avg total
88.7Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)87.882.0169.8+5.768%
Season at home (11)86.079.6165.6+6.482%
Season away (11)89.584.5174.0+5.155%
Last 10 (10)88.785.1173.8+3.650%
Last 5 (5)89.281.0170.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.592.2171.7-12.717%
vs Similar (6)81.085.7166.7-4.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.978.6168.5+11.482%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#14
L
91-100
91
100
-9
no box
A07/01
BBL
Kyiv Basket
#21
L
71-73
71
73
-2
no box
A12/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#11
W
97-86
97
86
+11
100avg 79
H22/01
BBL
Antwerp Giants
#23
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
A02/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Kyiv Basket
#21
W
82-62
82
62
+20
no box
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#4
L
70-79
70
79
-9
no box
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
74-106
74
106
-32
63avg 79
A13/02
BBL
Giessen
#18
W
87-81
87
81
+6
74avg 79
H15/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A19/02
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
H20/02
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
25-41
28-17
23-25
16-20
23-16
19-14
13-23
31-17
22-24
19-14
25-31
17-15
31-21
20-18
11-15
28-8
11-15
16-14
27-25
24-25
19-17
13-20
14-17
17-25
22-22
17-34
18-25
22-29
19-19
30-18
16-15
19-21
27-15
11-21
28-14
22-15
21-24
15-25
18-22
162.5Avg total
81.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.283.4170.6+3.863%
Season at home (10)87.179.1166.2+8.090%
Season away (9)87.388.1175.4-0.833%
Last 10 (10)81.281.3162.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)78.484.6163.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.677.5157.1+2.175%
vs Similar (10)84.183.1167.2+1.060%
vs Weaker (12)83.175.0158.1+8.158%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
BonnCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H29/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A02/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H09/01
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A16/01
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H23/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A30/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H06/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A13/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A16/02
BBL
90.4Avg total
45.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.184.3+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.939.782.6+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)43.742.686.4+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.944.590.4+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.089.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.047.788.7-6.717%-
vs Similar (6)38.343.281.5-4.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.138.684.7+7.582%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#14
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A07/01
BBL
Kyiv Basket
#21
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A12/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H22/01
BBL
Antwerp Giants
#23
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A02/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Kyiv Basket
#21
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A13/02
BBL
Giessen
#18
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A19/02
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H20/02
German Cup
83.7Avg total
43.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.482.5+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.639.681.2+1.947%-
Last 30 away (13)45.139.284.2+5.977%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.683.7+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.484.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.137.980.0+4.275%-
vs Similar (10)45.142.887.9+2.350%-
vs Weaker (12)42.137.779.8+4.458%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.420.4
59.3%
54.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.7
33.2%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.014.8
77.9%
73.1%14.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.4
57.3%
54.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.8
38.9%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.514.9
80.5%
73.1%14.9
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
LWLWWLLLWW
Crailsheim Merlins
LWWLLWWWLL
#2
League position
#8
+4.5
Net rating
+1.9
117.2
Offensive rating
115.7
112.7
Defensive rating
113.8
54.7%
Effective FG%
57.7%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.5%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.2%
3-point %
38.9%
59.8%
Assist %
59.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 115.7Defence112.7 · 113.8Shooting54.7% · 57.7%3-point %33.2% · 38.9%Ball care17.1% · 15.5%Off. rebounds35.3% · 22.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Bonn   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bonn wins
6
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/22As.Oliver Wurzburg90-93
13/02/22ABasketball Braunschweig95-77
06/02/22HAlba Berlin77-89
30/01/22AOldenburg89-65
23/01/22HBamberg95-81
16/01/22ABayern81-100
09/01/22HHamburg80-92
02/01/22ACrailsheim Merlins76-81
29/12/21HBasketball Braunschweig89-83
26/12/21HSyntainics MBC115-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/22HAlba Berlin76-86
19/02/22ABasketball Braunschweig85-71
15/02/22HGiessen87-81
13/02/22AAlba Berlin74-106
11/02/22AReggiana70-79
08/02/22HKyiv Basket82-62
02/02/22AAntwerp Giants79-69
22/01/22HOldenburg97-86
12/01/22AKyiv Basket71-73
07/01/22AHeidelberg91-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeWWLWL82%
AwayLLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%82%55%
Points / game87.886.089.5
Allowed / game82.079.684.5
Point differential+5.7+6.4+5.1
Avg total169.8165.6174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%36%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW63%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %63%90%33%
Points / game87.287.187.3
Allowed / game83.479.188.1
Point differential+3.8+8.0-0.8
Avg total170.6166.2175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2217577%81.173.2+7.9
2 Alba Berlin1914574%85.373.0+12.3
3 Chemnitz2115671%79.376.8+2.5
4 Ulm2316770%83.679.7+3.9
5 Bonn2215768%87.882.0+5.7
6 Ludwigsburg2114767%79.775.1+4.6
7 Crailsheim Merlins1912763%87.283.4+3.8
8 Gottingen1911858%81.281.4-0.2
9 Hamburg22121055%85.083.0+2.0
10 Bayreuth21111052%81.284.5-3.2
11 Bamberg2091145%85.387.3-2.0
12 Basketball Braunschweig2191243%85.786.0-0.3
13 Heidelberg2171433%78.181.6-3.4
14 Syntainics MBC2061430%84.291.8-7.7
15 Frankfurt2051525%74.283.5-9.3
16 Oldenburg2251723%83.888.2-4.4
17 s.Oliver Wurzburg2251723%80.988.6-7.7
18 Giessen1941521%80.485.3-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn23282228101
Crailsheim Merlins2329212396
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