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Bonn vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 101-83
32-22 30-22 17-13 22-26
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game73.8
Bonn 🏆
Germany
vs
Crailsheim Merlins
Germany
Position#14
Record7-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game91.2
GermanyBBLRound 29
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bonn v Crailsheim Merlins
29 Oct 2023
BON90
CME68
02 Mar 2023
BON101
CME83
05 Mar 2022
BON101
CME96
24 Jan 2021
BON84
CME93
12 Oct 2019
BON82
CME114
11 Nov 2018
BON89
CME87
24 Jan 2016
BON101
CME93
18 Jan 2015
BON79
CME76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
99-71
99
71
+28
98avg 80
H06/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
62avg 80
A15/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
108-79
108
79
+29
105avg 80
H21/01
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
74-68
74
68
+6
66avg 80
H25/01
Champions League
Bayreuth
#18
W
94-71
94
71
+23
92avg 80
A29/01
BBL
Manresa
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
85avg 80
A01/02
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
77-73
77
73
+4
73avg 80
A05/02
BBL
Rytas
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
86avg 80
A08/02
Champions League
Rostock
#8
W
77-62
77
62
+15
69avg 80
A12/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
91-57
91
57
+34
99avg 80
H15/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
32-18
26-22
19-16
23-20
21-28
19-14
13-19
30-29
31-12
22-17
25-21
20-10
23-22
20-16
11-20
22-18
20-15
37-16
15-22
23-22
18-11
27-18
19-18
27-15
12-21
22-19
16-18
28-16
26-23
12-20
20-20
26-20
20-14
13-5
18-23
28-8
28-12
18-19
17-18
157.9Avg total
86.9Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)89.673.8163.3+15.890%
Season at home (9)91.271.1162.3+20.1100%
Season away (11)88.375.9164.2+12.482%
Last 10 (10)86.971.0157.9+15.990%
Last 5 (5)83.668.0151.6+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)87.573.6161.1+13.990%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
W
88-72
88
72
+16
82avg 77
A15/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
no box
A18/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
106-87
106
87
+19
103avg 77
H21/01
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
102-97
102
97
+5
no box
A25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
69avg 77
A28/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
H01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#12
L
79-82
79
82
-3
73avg 77
H05/02
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
95-97
95
97
-2
no box
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#7
L
79-92
79
92
-13
70avg 77
A11/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
73avg 77
H14/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
24-20
13-15
23-18
16-22
14-19
15-20
33-29
26-9
22-30
22-26
36-22
33-27
27-20
20-20
22-30
25-16
12-32
26-27
14-25
13-21
28-18
17-18
18-22
20-23
22-27
16-14
21-18
14-26
23-24
24-15
34-32
18-24
24-25
18-22
19-21
16-16
24-27
19-23
26-25
175.2Avg total
86.5Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.591.2178.8-3.735%
Season at home (10)91.691.7183.3-0.140%
Season away (10)83.590.8174.3-7.330%
Last 10 (10)86.588.7175.2-2.230%
Last 5 (5)82.888.2171.0-5.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)84.394.8179.1-10.411%
vs Similar (14)90.690.1180.7+0.450%
vs Weaker (6)83.876.2160.0+7.767%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
BonnCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H06/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A15/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H21/01
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H25/01
Champions League
Bayreuth
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A29/01
BBL
Manresa
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A01/02
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/02
BBL
Rytas
#13
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A08/02
Champions League
Rostock
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A12/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
56-20
56
20
+36
H15/02
BBL
82.9Avg total
48.0Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.336.581.8+8.883%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.234.580.7+11.685%-
Last 30 away (17)44.637.982.6+6.782%-
Last 10 (10)48.034.982.9+13.190%-
Last 5 (5)47.232.479.6+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)45.236.281.3+9.083%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A15/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H21/01
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A28/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H05/02
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A11/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/02
BBL
87.4Avg total
42.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.543.186.6+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.941.084.9+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)43.145.488.5-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.944.587.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.446.286.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.646.786.2-7.122%-
vs Similar (14)45.944.590.4+1.457%-
vs Weaker (6)44.335.379.7+9.083%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.3
57.0%
54.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.3
36.8%
35.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws15.111.4
75.5%
75.8%11.4
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.3
53.9%
54.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.3
37.7%
35.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.314.9
81.4%
75.8%14.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
WWWWWWWWLW
Crailsheim Merlins
LLLLLLWWLW
#1
League position
#14
+22.0
Net rating
-2.1
120.2
Offensive rating
114.7
98.2
Defensive rating
116.8
56.2%
Effective FG%
55.1%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
39.7%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.8%
3-point %
37.7%
66.1%
Assist %
59.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence120.2 · 114.7Defence98.2 · 116.8Shooting56.2% · 55.1%3-point %36.8% · 37.7%Ball care17.4% · 15.7%Off. rebounds39.7% · 27.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Bonn   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bonn wins
5
Crailsheim Merlins wins
DateGameScore
17/12/22Crailsheim Merlins v Bonn83-99
05/03/22Bonn v Crailsheim Merlins101-96
02/01/22Crailsheim Merlins v Bonn81-76
07/04/21Crailsheim Merlins v Bonn91-88
24/01/21Bonn v Crailsheim Merlins84-93
01/02/20Crailsheim Merlins v Bonn85-66
12/10/19Bonn v Crailsheim Merlins82-114
10/03/19Crailsheim Merlins v Bonn87-88
11/11/18Bonn v Crailsheim Merlins89-87
24/01/16Bonn v Crailsheim Merlins101-93
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23HSyntainics MBC91-57
12/02/23ARostock77-62
08/02/23ARytas86-79
05/02/23ABayern77-73
01/02/23AManresa87-69
29/01/23ABayreuth94-71
25/01/23HBahcesehir Kol.74-68
21/01/23HOldenburg108-79
15/01/23AAlba Berlin76-81
06/01/23HRostock99-71
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/23HAlba Berlin85-91
11/02/23AGottingen79-92
08/02/23HGaziantep95-97
05/02/23HChemnitz79-82
01/02/23HBC Kalev/Cramo76-79
28/01/23AAlba Berlin77-100
25/01/23ADen Bosch102-97
21/01/23HLudwigsburg106-87
18/01/23ABC Kalev/Cramo78-90
15/01/23AFrankfurt88-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %90%100%82%
Points / game89.691.288.3
Allowed / game73.871.175.9
Point differential+15.8+20.1+12.4
Avg total163.3162.3164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%40%30%
Points / game87.591.683.5
Allowed / game91.291.790.8
Point differential-3.7-0.1-7.3
Avg total178.8183.3174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1918195%91.179.8+11.3
2 Bonn2018290%89.673.8+15.8
3 Bayern2014670%82.576.9+5.5
4 Oldenburg2013765%85.082.1+3.0
5 Gottingen2013765%87.185.3+1.8
6 Ludwigsburg1912763%88.885.0+3.8
7 Chemnitz1910953%84.682.8+1.7
8 Wurzburg21111052%84.683.7+1.0
9 Ulm20101050%87.886.8+1.1
10 Bamberg21101148%86.986.1+0.8
11 Rostock21101148%84.788.6-3.9
12 Syntainics MBC2081240%82.588.2-5.7
13 Hamburg2181338%82.885.6-2.8
14 Crailsheim Merlins2071335%87.591.2-3.7
15 Heidelberg2171433%86.291.1-4.9
16 Basketball Braunschweig2151624%79.085.3-6.4
17 Frankfurt2151624%79.687.2-7.6
18 Bayreuth2031715%80.889.7-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn32301722101
Crailsheim Merlins2222132683
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