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Bonn vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-93
13-16 17-26 27-21 27-30
Position#13
Record3-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#5
Record11-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game80.1
GermanyBBLRound 14
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Bonn v Crailsheim Merlins
29 Oct 2023
BON90
CME68
02 Mar 2023
BON101
CME83
05 Mar 2022
BON101
CME96
24 Jan 2021
BON84
CME93
12 Oct 2019
BON82
CME114
11 Nov 2018
BON89
CME87
24 Jan 2016
BON101
CME93
18 Jan 2015
BON79
CME76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
L
74-97
74
97
-23
60avg 72
A22/11
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
63-93
63
93
-30
49avg 72
H03/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
92-97
92
97
-5
89avg 72
H06/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
80-69
80
69
+11
77avg 72
A11/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
56avg 72
A19/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
81-68
81
68
+13
79avg 72
H23/12
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
102-87
102
87
+15
101avg 72
H27/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
72-73
72
73
-1
66avg 72
A02/01
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
77-89
77
89
-12
no box
H09/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
no box
A15/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
13-23
12-30
24-19
28-23
11-12
15-30
9-28
20-16
27-30
25-19
20-32
26-24
14-19
19-13
21-13
20-14
21-13
7-24
18-29
31-16
18-13
21-17
11-22
24-18
24-19
28-22
26-28
22-13
19-22
19-15
12-23
28-20
16-20
18-16
15-33
13-23
19-21
26-26
26-14
164.5Avg total
79.9Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.884.6164.4-4.825%
Season at home (6)82.886.7169.5-3.833%
Season away (6)76.882.5159.3-5.717%
Last 10 (10)79.984.6164.5-4.730%
Last 5 (5)84.882.0166.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.989.2169.1-9.20%
vs Similar (7)89.385.1174.4+4.157%
vs Weaker (7)85.982.3168.1+3.657%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
82avg 83
A06/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
88-76
88
76
+12
no box
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
94-80
94
80
+14
97avg 83
H12/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
108-75
108
75
+33
109avg 83
A20/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
76-64
76
64
+12
61avg 83
H22/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
98-81
98
81
+17
87avg 83
A27/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 83
H29/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
86-80
86
80
+6
75avg 83
A03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
72-89
72
89
-17
65avg 83
A10/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
82-77
82
77
+5
79avg 83
H16/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
25-25
22-25
23-23
19-14
20-18
22-23
27-21
23-19
16-13
29-30
26-18
30-10
30-23
19-20
29-22
11-15
23-19
19-17
23-13
31-22
17-30
27-7
23-22
19-16
22-17
26-36
19-15
22-18
21-21
24-21
19-20
15-26
20-27
13-18
24-18
17-19
19-16
27-21
19-21
168.1Avg total
87.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.680.1168.7+8.585%
Season at home (7)88.079.0167.0+9.0100%
Season away (6)89.381.3170.7+8.067%
Last 10 (10)87.880.3168.1+7.580%
Last 5 (5)84.882.2167.0+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.889.1172.9-5.344%
vs Similar (9)83.385.2168.6-1.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.078.7167.7+10.392%
This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
BonnCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A22/11
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H03/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H06/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A19/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H23/12
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H27/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A02/01
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H09/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/01
BBL
80.3Avg total
41.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.483.4+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.239.884.0+4.581%-
Last 30 away (14)39.443.382.6-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.480.3+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.079.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.243.482.6-4.244%-
vs Similar (7)45.639.084.6+6.686%-
vs Weaker (7)44.739.384.0+5.471%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A06/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H12/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
60-33
60
33
+27
A20/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H22/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/12
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H29/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A10/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H16/01
BBL
81.0Avg total
41.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.184.8+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.639.581.2+2.165%-
Last 30 away (13)44.145.589.6-1.531%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.281.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.483.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.844.084.8-3.233%-
vs Similar (9)41.744.386.0-2.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.939.184.0+5.858%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.7
50.1%
54.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.1
38.5%
37.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
78.0%12.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.6
53.0%
54.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.6
39.1%
37.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws23.618.0
76.3%
78.0%18.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
LLLWWLWLLL
Crailsheim Merlins
WLWWWWWWWL
#13
League position
#5
-6.7
Net rating
+10.0
107.1
Offensive rating
116.1
113.8
Defensive rating
106.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
55.5%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
38.5%
3-point %
39.1%
58.6%
Assist %
61.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 116.1Defence113.8 · 106.1Shooting53.4% · 55.5%3-point %38.5% · 39.1%Ball care18.1% · 18.8%Off. rebounds26.4% · 34.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Bonn   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bonn wins
3
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/21AChemnitz92-93 OT
09/01/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg77-89
02/01/21AUlm72-73
27/12/20HGottingen102-87
23/12/20HGiessen81-68
19/12/20ABamberg66-80
11/12/20AVechta80-69
06/12/20HOldenburg92-97
03/12/20HHamburg63-93
22/11/20AAlba Berlin74-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/21HBayreuth82-77
10/01/21AHamburg72-89
03/01/21As.Oliver Wurzburg86-80
29/12/20HUlm86-84
27/12/20AVechta98-81
22/12/20HFrankfurt76-64
20/12/20ABasketball Braunschweig108-75
12/12/20HOldenburg94-80
09/12/20HChemnitz88-76
06/12/20ALudwigsburg88-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL25%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game79.882.876.8
Allowed / game84.686.782.5
Point differential-4.8-3.8-5.7
Avg total164.4169.5159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%100%67%
Points / game88.688.089.3
Allowed / game80.179.081.3
Point differential+8.5+9.0+8.0
Avg total168.7167.0170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg1413193%89.478.6+10.8
2 Alba Berlin109190%84.175.6+8.5
3 Oldenburg1412286%92.081.9+10.1
4 Crailsheim Merlins1311285%88.680.1+8.5
5 Bayern1210283%87.375.6+11.8
6 Hamburg139469%84.877.5+7.4
7 Ulm127558%85.479.4+6.0
8 s.Oliver Wurzburg125742%78.282.5-4.2
9 Basketball Braunschweig104640%87.191.8-4.7
10 Bamberg135838%80.581.5-1.1
11 Syntainics MBC135838%84.887.9-3.2
12 Frankfurt135838%77.882.2-4.4
13 Chemnitz124833%84.890.2-5.4
14 Bayreuth1441029%81.588.2-6.7
15 Bonn123925%79.884.6-4.8
16 Gottingen1331023%81.792.8-11.2
17 Vechta1431121%81.186.8-5.6
18 Giessen1421214%84.495.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn1317272784
Crailsheim Merlins1626213093
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