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Bonn vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-68
18-25 29-14 20-11 23-18
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game82.8
Bonn 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#17
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game99.5
GermanyBBLRound 5· Telekom Dome
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bonn v Crailsheim Merlins
29 Oct 2023
BON90
CME68
02 Mar 2023
BON101
CME83
05 Mar 2022
BON101
CME96
24 Jan 2021
BON84
CME93
12 Oct 2019
BON82
CME114
11 Nov 2018
BON89
CME87
24 Jan 2016
BON101
CME93
18 Jan 2015
BON79
CME76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
57avg 83
A16/06
BBL
Al Manama
#6
W
105-50
105
50
+55
110avg 83
H21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
W
111-50
111
50
+61
112avg 83
A23/09
Intercontinental Cup
Franca
#1
L
69-70
69
70
-1
57avg 83
A24/09
Intercontinental Cup
Vechta
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 83
A01/10
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 83
H04/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
100-73
100
73
+27
101avg 83
H09/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#14
W
80-79
80
79
+1
69avg 83
A14/10
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
86avg 83
A21/10
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
W
91-73
91
73
+18
88avg 83
A25/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
18-22
18-8
11-23
26-16
24-6
34-11
21-17
30-16
33-11
23-14
25-9
13-18
21-16
16-24
19-12
25-28
18-15
19-24
17-17
19-23
9-16
21-28
27-21
25-20
20-14
29-19
26-20
13-22
21-24
21-16
25-17
22-11
23-26
30-26
16-23
24-14
25-20
19-12
23-27
159.9Avg total
87.2Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.582.8169.2+3.850%
Season at home (2)88.080.5168.5+7.550%
Season away (2)85.085.0170.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)87.272.7159.9+14.560%
Last 5 (5)87.679.8167.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)79.779.0158.7+0.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)87.972.3160.2+15.681%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
53avg 77
H23/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
66-77
66
77
-11
58avg 77
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
101-92
101
92
+9
99avg 77
H29/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
84-83
84
83
+1
79avg 77
H05/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
69-79
69
79
-10
64avg 77
A07/05
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 77
A23/09
German Cup
Rostock
#15
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 77
H29/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
75-110
75
110
-35
61avg 77
A02/10
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
no box
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
62-97
62
97
-35
48avg 77
H22/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-13
19-15
24-22
14-28
18-17
12-21
16-15
20-24
26-18
29-18
26-28
20-28
17-23
27-24
18-20
22-16
20-17
19-17
12-28
18-17
17-26
18-16
14-20
24-17
19-23
20-12
25-23
21-23
14-30
26-29
18-30
17-21
17-26
27-13
21-21
25-30
17-29
15-25
15-11
15-32
167.4Avg total
78.8Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.599.5181.0-18.025%
Season at home (2)73.589.0162.5-15.550%
Season away (2)89.5110.0199.5-20.50%
Last 10 (10)78.888.6167.4-9.830%
Last 5 (5)79.895.4175.2-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)83.492.9176.3-9.621%
vs Similar (14)82.985.4168.4-2.536%
vs Weaker (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -4.0-4.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -4.0-4.0
BonnCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/06
BBL
Al Manama
#6
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
W
63-27
63
27
+36
A23/09
Intercontinental Cup
Franca
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A24/09
Intercontinental Cup
Vechta
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A01/10
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H04/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H09/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#14
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/10
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A21/10
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A25/10
Champions League
79.1Avg total
43.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.835.778.6+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.234.476.6+7.880%-
Last 30 away (15)43.537.180.5+6.467%-
Last 10 (10)43.235.979.1+7.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.078.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)43.037.080.0+6.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.235.278.3+8.077%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H23/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H29/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A07/05
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/09
German Cup
Rostock
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H29/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A02/10
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H22/10
BBL
80.1Avg total
38.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.284.2-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.241.682.8-0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)40.944.685.5-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.280.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.045.883.8-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.144.683.7-5.436%-
vs Similar (14)43.841.885.6+2.057%-
vs Weaker (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.6
57.2%
54.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.1
32.3%
35.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.814.5
81.5%
76.0%14.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.0
49.6%
54.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.5
35.8%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.913.6
68.3%
76.0%13.6
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
WWWWLLLWWL
Crailsheim Merlins
LLLWLLWWLL
#7
League position
#17
+18.5
Net rating
-11.9
116.1
Offensive rating
101.8
97.6
Defensive rating
113.7
53.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.1%
Turnover %
20.0%
42.1%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.3%
3-point %
35.8%
60.3%
Assist %
55.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 101.8Defence97.6 · 113.7Shooting53.1% · 51.4%3-point %32.3% · 35.8%Ball care18.1% · 20.0%Off. rebounds42.1% · 26.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Bonn   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bonn wins
5
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23ABursaspor91-73
21/10/23ALudwigsburg91-86
14/10/23ALudwigsburg80-79
09/10/23HSyntainics MBC100-73
04/10/23HTubingen76-88
01/10/23AVechta79-84
24/09/23AFranca69-70
23/09/23AZhejiang Chouzhou111-50
21/09/23HAl Manama105-50
16/06/23AUlm70-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HBayern62-97
07/10/23AGottingen104-110 OT
02/10/23AAlba Berlin75-110
29/09/23HRostock85-81
23/09/23AGiessen73-79
07/05/23ASyntainics MBC69-79
05/05/23HFrankfurt84-83
29/04/23HBamberg101-92
25/04/23AHamburg66-77
23/04/23HBayern69-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game86.588.085.0
Allowed / game82.880.585.0
Point differential+3.8+7.5+0.0
Avg total169.2168.5170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game81.573.589.5
Allowed / game99.589.0110.0
Point differential-18.0-15.5-20.5
Avg total181.0162.5199.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern54180%87.473.8+13.6
2 Chemnitz54180%86.275.6+10.6
3 Vechta54180%93.083.6+9.4
4 Oldenburg54180%88.282.6+5.6
5 Ulm54180%90.686.8+3.8
6 Alba Berlin43175%96.584.0+12.5
7 Ludwigsburg42250%85.577.0+8.5
8 Bonn42250%86.582.8+3.8
9 Rostock42250%100.098.8+1.2
10 Wurzburg42250%74.074.8-0.8
11 Gottingen21150%86.590.5-4.0
12 Basketball Braunschweig52340%84.686.0-1.4
13 Hamburg52340%78.084.8-6.8
14 Bamberg41325%83.897.0-13.2
15 Crailsheim Merlins41325%81.599.5-18.0
16 Heidelberg51420%88.895.2-6.4
17 Tubingen51420%86.296.0-9.8
18 Syntainics MBC5050%77.689.8-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn1829202390
Crailsheim Merlins2514111868
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