PythiaBasketballBETA
Borac Mozzart host Slovan Bratislava on 16 November 2026 in the ABA League, with the model designating Borac Mozzart as the favourite and predicting a 60% chance of a home win versus 40% for the visitors; the projected score is 86-83 and the total is 169.2 points. Across the season both clubs are evenly matched at 3-3, with Borac Mozzart averaging 84.7 points and allowing 90.2, while Slovan Bratislava scores 82.2 and concedes 84.5, placing them 10th and 9th respectively. At home Borac has a 1-2 record, scoring 82.3 and conceding 86.3, and in their last five games they have won three and lost two, including a 95-87 victory over FMP Beograd and a 71-85 loss to Cedevita Olimpija. Slovan Bratislava, on the road, is 2-3, scoring 85.4 and allowing 88.6, and in their last five they have won four and lost one, highlighted by an 88-75 win over BC Komarno and a 78-75 home win over Nitra Blue Wings. The model assigns a 5% probability that the game will go into overtime, and the home team's line is 86-83. The match will be played at Borac Mozzart's home venue.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 84.7 | 90.2 | 174.8 | -5.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (3) | 82.3 | 86.3 | 168.7 | -4.0 | 33% |
| Season away (3) | 87.0 | 94.0 | 181.0 | -7.0 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.7 | 85.7 | 171.4 | +0.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.4 | 90.8 | 176.2 | -5.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 81.3 | 92.7 | 174.0 | -11.3 | 17% |
| vs Similar ◀ (18) | 81.6 | 86.0 | 167.6 | -4.4 | 39% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 89.3 | 75.8 | 165.2 | +13.5 | 67% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 82.2 | 84.5 | 166.7 | -2.3 | 50% |
| Season at home (1) | 66.0 | 64.0 | 130.0 | +2.0 | 100% |
| Season away (5) | 85.4 | 88.6 | 174.0 | -3.2 | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.2 | 76.4 | 158.6 | +5.8 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.2 | 73.8 | 155.0 | +7.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 72.6 | 87.4 | 160.0 | -14.9 | 14% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 82.4 | 75.8 | 158.2 | +6.6 | 70% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 78.0 | 65.4 | 143.4 | +12.6 | 77% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.2 | 44.9 | 87.1 | -2.7 | 30% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.5 | 44.6 | 88.1 | -1.1 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.9 | 45.2 | 86.1 | -4.3 | 20% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.7 | 46.4 | 91.1 | -1.7 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.6 | 49.8 | 96.4 | -3.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 40.2 | 48.2 | 88.3 | -8.0 | 17% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (18) | 41.2 | 44.8 | 85.9 | -3.6 | 28% | - |
| vs Weaker (6) | 47.3 | 42.0 | 89.3 | +5.3 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (29) | 40.9 | 37.6 | 78.5 | +3.3 | 59% | - |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 42.2 | 33.8 | 76.0 | +8.5 | 75% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 39.9 | 40.3 | 80.2 | -0.4 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.4 | 38.9 | 80.3 | +2.5 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.6 | 35.2 | 78.8 | +8.4 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 37.9 | 43.0 | 80.9 | -5.1 | 43% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 41.8 | 38.7 | 80.5 | +3.1 | 60% | - |
| vs Weaker (12) | 41.9 | 33.5 | 75.4 | +8.4 | 67% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.7 | 20.5 | 57.4% | 41.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.6 | 8.4 | 33.1% | 25.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 26.5 | 17.6 | 73.2% | 17.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 29.1 | 18.4 | 57.4% | 36.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.8 | 11.8 | 33.1% | 35.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.9 | 12.8 | 73.2% | 12.8 |
Borac Mozzart
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Cedevita Olimpija | 71-85 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Buducnost | 72-105 |
| 23/10/26 | H | FMP Beograd | 95-87 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Cibona | 95-94 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Igokea | 94-83 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Siroki Brijeg | 81-87 |
| 10/05/26 | A | TFT Skopje | 97-65 |
| 07/05/26 | H | TFT Skopje | 97-61 |
| 26/04/26 | H | Mega Basket | 89-98 |
| 18/04/26 | A | Spartak Subotica | 66-92 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Nitra Blue Wings | 78-75 |
| 09/11/26 | A | Crvena zvezda | 80-91 |
| 06/11/26 | A | BC Komarno | 88-75 |
| 01/11/26 | H | KK Krka Novo mesto | 66-64 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Inter Basket | 94-64 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Iskra Svit | 96-77 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Siroki Brijeg | 98-91 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Buducnost | 70-82 |
| 14/10/26 | H | MBK Handlova | 62-63 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Cibona | 90-82 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLL | 50% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | WWL | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Points / game | 84.7 | 82.3 | 87.0 |
| Allowed / game | 90.2 | 86.3 | 94.0 |
| Point differential | -5.5 | -4.0 | -7.0 |
| Avg total | 174.8 | 168.7 | 181.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWL | 50% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LWLWL | 40% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 1 | 5 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 40% |
| Points / game | 82.2 | 66.0 | 85.4 |
| Allowed / game | 84.5 | 64.0 | 88.6 |
| Point differential | -2.3 | +2.0 | -3.2 |
| Avg total | 166.7 | 130.0 | 174.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dubai | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 94.2 | 81.7 | +12.5 |
| 2 |  Partizan | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 88.0 | 77.0 | +11.0 |
| 3 |  Crvena zvezda | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 93.2 | 83.5 | +9.7 |
| 4 |  Buducnost | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 89.4 | 81.9 | +7.6 |
| 5 |  Cedevita Olimpija | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 85.5 | 80.0 | +5.5 |
| 6 |  Spartak Subotica | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 84.3 | 80.5 | +3.8 |
| 7 |  KK Bosna | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 90.5 | 87.3 | +3.2 |
| 8 |  Siroki Brijeg | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 85.9 | 85.0 | +0.9 |
| 9 | Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 82.2 | 84.5 | -2.3 |
| 10 | Borac Mozzart | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 84.7 | 90.2 | -5.5 |
| 11 |  Igokea | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 85.9 | 85.6 | +0.3 |
| 12 |  Cluj-Napoca | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 85.7 | 86.3 | -0.6 |
| 13 |  Zadar | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 75.1 | 75.9 | -0.7 |
| 14 |  Cibona | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.0 | 88.1 | -2.1 |
| 15 |  Vienna Basket | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 80.5 | 83.2 | -2.7 |
| 16 |  Mega Basket | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 82.3 | 92.7 | -10.3 |
| 17 |  FMP Beograd | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 79.9 | 83.1 | -3.3 |
| 18 |  Perspektiva Ilirija | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 75.3 | 79.6 | -4.3 |
| 19 |  KK Krka Novo mesto | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 74.0 | 83.6 | -9.6 |
| 20 |  Studentski Centar | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 81.0 | 93.8 | -12.8 |
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