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Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game123.4
Allowed / game110.0
vs
Position#20
Record4-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game116.6
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Boston Celtics v New Orleans Pelicans
21 Mar 2027
BOS v NOP
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
BOS144
NOP118
12 Jan 2025
BOS120
NOP119
29 Jan 2024
BOS118
NOP112
11 Jan 2023
BOS125
NOP114
17 Jan 2022
BOS104
NOP92
29 Mar 2021
BOS109
NOP115
11 Jan 2020
BOS140
NOP105
10 Dec 2018
BOS113
NOP100
16 Jan 2018
BOS113
NOP116
07 Jan 2017
BOS117
NOP108
06 Apr 2016
BOS104
NOP97
12 Jan 2015
BOS108
NOP100
03 Jan 2014
BOS92
NOP95
16 Jan 2013
BOS78
NOP90
31 Dec 2010
BOS81
NOP83
01 Nov 2009
BOS97
NOP87
12 Dec 2008
BOS94
NOP82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
New Orleans Pelicans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
100-109
100
109
-9
H02/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
124-113
124
113
+11
A08/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
144-106
144
106
+38
H11/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
114-93
114
93
+21
H14/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
125-120 OT
125
120
+5
A16/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
113-121
113
121
-8
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
107-103
107
103
+4
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
134-99
134
99
+35
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
125-111
125
111
+14
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
31-23
25-33
25-21
32-29
39-33
28-34
25-17
24-20
39-22
41-27
40-37
28-20
26-24
31-33
29-16
34-28
24-32
26-34
31-21
28-27
30-18
30-37
25-39
26-27
24-22
33-24
24-30
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
231.0Avg total
121.1Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)123.4110.0233.4+13.489%
Season at home (6)124.8106.0230.8+18.8100%
Season away (3)120.7118.0238.7+2.767%
Last 10 (10)121.1109.9231.0+11.280%
Last 5 (5)120.8111.6232.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)113.0105.5218.5+7.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)117.3107.7225.0+9.673%
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Orleans PelicansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
126-132
126
132
-6
A13/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
116-110
116
110
+6
A07/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
L
118-128
118
128
-10
A08/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
101-97
101
97
+4
A15/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
107-106
107
106
+1
H17/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
120-123
120
123
-3
H22/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
119-120
119
120
-1
A24/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
135-141 OT
135
141
-6
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
91-104
91
104
-13
H29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
132-120
132
120
+12
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-34
35-39
31-24
36-35
28-34
24-33
38-26
26-17
36-33
28-40
32-20
22-35
24-18
32-27
19-18
26-34
23-17
33-34
25-19
26-36
31-38
35-18
26-30
28-37
28-31
24-31
38-24
29-34
38-24
35-33
35-32
18-37
18-37
27-20
28-22
18-25
24-30
39-31
39-27
30-32
234.6Avg total
116.5Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)115.4116.6232.0-1.144%
Season at home (4)112.5113.2225.8-0.850%
Season away (5)117.8119.2237.0-1.440%
Last 10 (10)116.5118.1234.6-1.640%
Last 5 (5)119.4121.6241.0-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)112.0119.5231.5-7.520%
vs Similar (11)118.0117.7235.7+0.345%
vs Weaker (4)129.0119.5248.5+9.575%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -6.3-6.3
Boston CelticsNew Orleans Pelicans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H02/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A08/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H11/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H14/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A16/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
112.5Avg total
60.4Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.152.5111.5+6.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.152.3110.4+5.856%-
Last 30 away (12)60.552.8113.2+7.867%-
Last 10 (10)60.452.1112.5+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)61.651.6113.2+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)55.054.2109.2+0.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)59.752.2111.9+7.565%-
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Orleans PelicansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A13/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A07/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A08/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A15/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H17/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H22/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A24/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H30/10
NBA
118.8Avg total
58.6Scored
60.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.360.9119.3-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.758.2116.8+0.569%-
Last 30 away (17)58.163.1121.1-5.029%-
Last 10 (10)58.660.2118.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)59.858.6118.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)55.362.2117.5-6.927%-
vs Similar (11)59.759.2118.9+0.555%-
vs Weaker (4)65.861.0126.8+4.8100%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.126.4
53.8%
54.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.415.6
35.1%
34.9%46.8
🏀 Free throws25.018.3
73.2%
76.2%18.3
They take 93.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Orleans Pelicanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Orleans Pelicans: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.833.1
53.6%
54.0%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.3
32.2%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws31.124.5
78.8%
76.2%24.5
They take 93.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWWWL
New Orleans Pelicans
WLLLLWWLWL
#1
League position
#20
+7.6
Net rating
-1.9
105.3
Offensive rating
105.0
97.7
Defensive rating
106.9
53.3%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
13.0%
Turnover %
13.7%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
38.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.1%
3-point %
32.2%
65.2%
Assist %
55.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 105.0Defence97.7 · 106.9Shooting53.3% · 51.8%3-point %35.1% · 32.2%Ball care13.0% · 13.7%Off. rebounds21.7% · 38.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ New Orleans Pelicans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99
23/10/26HNew York Knicks107-103
20/10/26ADetroit Pistons113-121
16/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers125-120 OT
14/10/26HCharlotte Hornets114-93
11/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers144-106
08/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers124-113
02/05/26HPhiladelphia 76ers100-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HSacramento Kings132-120
29/10/26HDenver Nuggets91-104
25/10/26ADenver Nuggets135-141 OT
24/10/26AUtah Jazz119-120
22/10/26HIndiana Pacers120-123
17/10/26HWashington Wizards107-106
15/10/26ADallas Mavericks101-97
08/10/26AMiami Heat118-128
07/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder116-110
13/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves126-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game123.4124.8120.7
Allowed / game110.0106.0118.0
Point differential+13.4+18.8+2.7
Avg total233.4230.8238.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %22%17%33%
New Orleans Pelicans
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game115.4112.5117.8
Allowed / game116.6113.2119.2
Point differential-1.1-0.8-1.4
Avg total232.0225.8237.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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