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Boston College vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-103
40-47 37-56
Position#298
Record7-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#58
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston College winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CollegeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#18
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A08/11
NCAA
Temple
#180
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H16/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#294
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H19/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
82-52
82
52
+30
H25/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
76-74 OT
76
74
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H27/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H29/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
51-73
51
73
-22
H04/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A07/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
20-33
35-47
46-41
26-28
38-31
44-30
43-24
39-28
29-26
35-38
26-26
37-35
44-42
39-46
19-36
32-37
35-38
31-34
35-30
38-39
140.2Avg total
70.3Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.269.0139.2+1.264%
Season at home (9)72.367.4139.8+4.978%
Season away (2)60.576.0136.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)70.369.9140.2+0.460%
Last 5 (5)67.272.6139.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)67.676.1143.7-8.633%
vs Similar (17)72.168.8140.9+3.353%
vs Weaker (3)72.365.3137.7+7.0100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#245
W
102-73
102
73
+29
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A16/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
110-69
110
69
+41
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H23/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A28/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
101-72
101
72
+29
H04/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
51-29
51-44
41-35
40-33
33-36
37-45
51-46
59-23
38-33
41-51
45-32
34-45
27-31
50-29
49-39
52-33
30-28
33-23
27-33
47-31
153.5Avg total
83.6Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.769.2153.9+15.582%
Season at home (8)88.267.9156.1+20.488%
Season away (3)75.372.7148.0+2.767%
Last 10 (10)83.669.9153.5+13.780%
Last 5 (5)78.864.8143.6+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)75.073.5148.5+1.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)81.770.5152.2+11.276%
This opponent (Boston College) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +8.7+8.7
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +8.7+8.7
Boston CollegeSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boston CollegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#18
L
20-33
20
33
-13
A08/11
NCAA
Temple
#180
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H16/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#294
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H25/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H26/11
NCAA
Boise State
#55
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H27/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H29/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
19-36
19
36
-17
H04/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H15/12
NCAA
66.2Avg total
33.5Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.134.068.1+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.234.169.2+1.153%-
Last 30 away (13)32.634.066.6-1.431%-
Last 10 (10)33.532.766.2+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)31.834.466.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.436.369.8-2.933%-
vs Similar (17)34.533.167.6+1.447%-
vs Weaker (3)34.333.768.0+0.733%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#245
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A27/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A28/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H14/12
NCAA
73.4Avg total
39.2Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.933.571.4+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.432.872.1+6.682%-
Last 30 away (13)36.134.470.5+1.746%-
Last 10 (10)39.234.273.4+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)35.632.668.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)37.233.871.0+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.733.070.7+4.671%-
This opponent (Boston College) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Boston College wins
0
SMU Mustangs wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HStonehill73-69
07/12/24AWake Forest66-72
04/12/24HSouth Carolina51-73
29/11/24HDartmouth83-88
27/11/24HBoise State63-61
26/11/24HMissouri State76-74 OT
25/11/24HOld Dominion82-52
19/11/24HLoyola Maryland82-61
16/11/24HTemple72-69
08/11/24AVCU Rams55-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HLSU74-64
07/12/24HVirginia63-51
04/12/24HAlabama State101-72
28/11/24AWashington State77-60
27/11/24ACalifornia Baptist79-77
23/11/24HMississippi St.79-84
19/11/24HPrairie View A&M110-69
16/11/24AButler70-81
12/11/24HNC Greensboro81-68
08/11/24HFlorida A&M102-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston College
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW64%
HomeWWLLW78%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %64%78%0%
Points / game70.272.360.5
Allowed / game69.067.476.0
Point differential+1.2+4.9-15.5
Avg total139.2139.8136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)80% (5)-
Overtime %9%11%0%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %82%88%67%
Points / game84.788.275.3
Allowed / game69.267.972.7
Point differential+15.5+20.4+2.7
Avg total153.9156.1148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%88%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke119282%78.658.7+19.9
2 SMU Mustangs119282%84.769.2+15.5
3 Pittsburgh119282%81.667.0+14.6
4 Stanford119282%79.669.4+10.3
5 Clemson129375%78.366.8+11.5
6 Florida State129375%78.467.4+11.0
7 Wake Forest129375%68.064.2+3.8
8 NC State117464%73.166.0+7.1
9 California117464%81.576.3+5.3
10 Boston College117464%70.269.0+1.2
11 North Carolina116555%86.579.7+6.8
12 Louisville116555%76.970.9+6.0
13 Notre Dame116555%74.570.0+4.5
14 Virginia116555%61.560.5+0.9
15 Syracuse105550%79.379.5-0.2
16 Georgia Tech115645%76.574.5+2.0
17 Virginia Tech115645%71.270.4+0.8
18 Miami (FL)114736%79.173.6+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boston College403777
SMU Mustangs4756103
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