Botafogo vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2020

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 84-78

16-29 18-9 23-16 27-24

Position#9

Record8-12

FormLLLLW

Points / game77.7

Allowed / game80.3

Botafogo 🏆

Brasilia

Position#13

Record6-13

FormLWLLL

Points / game75.4

Allowed / game84.3

NBBRound 15

Other2019-20

Meetings · Botafogo v Brasilia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brasilia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Botafogo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

74-64

+10

A12/12

South American League

Corinthians Paulista

74-70

A13/12

South American League

Sao Jose

#14

93-75

+18

H18/12

NBB

Mogi

69-79

-10

H21/12

NBB

Pinheiros

98-92

A27/12

NBB

Paulistano

#11

72-73

-1

A16/01

NBB

Sao Paulo

68-83

-15

A18/01

NBB

Minas

84-86

-2

H28/01

NBB

Unifacisa

#10

76-81

-5

H30/01

NBB

Cearense

#15

86-72

+14

H01/02

NBB

27-15

21-20

17-11

9-18

21-12

20-13

17-19

16-26

24-21

22-22

22-19

25-13

14-23

18-15

19-19

18-22

25-25

24-26

22-21

27-20

15-15

21-19

23-24

13-15

16-14

18-17

14-20

20-32

17-20

25-22

22-23

20-21

25-17

12-23

22-21

17-20

27-20

21-17

13-21

25-14

156.9Avg total

79.4Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	77.7	80.3	157.9	-2.6	40%
Season at home (9)	81.4	79.2	160.7	+2.2	44%
Season away (11)	74.5	81.2	155.7	-6.6	36%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	77.5	156.9	+1.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	79.0	156.2	-1.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	74.0	81.3	155.3	-7.3	29%
vs Similar (11)	78.3	74.9	153.2	+3.4	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	74.4	70.8	145.2	+3.6	80%

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mogi

84-93

-9

A02/12

NBB

Cearense

#15

56-91

-35

A06/12

NBB

Unifacisa

#10

72-91

-19

A08/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

85-73

+12

H19/12

NBB

Pinheiros

79-86

-7

H21/12

NBB

Minas

60-90

-30

A29/12

NBB

Pato

#16

76-73

H13/01

NBB

Rio Claro

87-92

-5

H20/01

NBB

Flamengo

77-94

-17

A25/01

NBB

Mogi

70-86

-16

H05/02

NBB

20-31

18-20

33-17

13-25

11-27

13-22

24-26

8-16

18-21

15-19

24-24

15-27

17-23

13-14

26-20

29-16

23-19

21-16

26-29

9-22

17-24

15-18

10-29

18-19

14-20

20-14

23-22

19-17

22-21

19-27

18-16

28-28

19-22

16-32

20-15

22-25

23-18

15-28

15-15

17-25

161.5Avg total

74.6Scored

86.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	75.4	84.3	159.7	-8.9	32%
Season at home (9)	76.7	81.8	158.4	-5.1	33%
Season away (10)	74.2	86.6	160.8	-12.4	30%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	86.9	161.5	-12.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	87.0	161.0	-13.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	74.8	85.2	160.0	-10.4	25%
vs Similar (5)	81.0	75.4	156.4	+5.6	100%
vs Weaker (1)	94.0	78.0	172.0	+16.0	100%

This opponent (Botafogo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BotafogoBrasilia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.1	20.8	38.8	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	36%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.3	19.4	37.6	-1.1	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	18.6	16.2	34.8	+2.4	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.6	40.2	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.8	22.2	40.0	-4.5	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	22.6	41.0	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.8	22.0	39.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	26.0	54.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.1	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.8	18.1	35.8	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.7	19.9	37.6	-2.1	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.4	18.2	37.5	+1.2	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	19.2	36.0	-2.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.8	19.3	35.1	-3.5	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	23.8	40.8	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.2	20.1	36.2	-3.9	17%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	10.0	32.0	+12.0	100%	-

BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

48-35

+13

A12/12

South American League

Corinthians Paulista

41-25

+16

A13/12

South American League

Sao Jose

#14

46-43

H18/12

NBB

Mogi

32-38

-6

H21/12

NBB

Pinheiros

49-51

-2

A27/12

NBB

Paulistano

#11

36-34

A16/01

NBB

Sao Paulo

34-31

A18/01

NBB

Minas

42-42

H28/01

NBB

Unifacisa

#10

37-40

-3

H30/01

NBB

Cearense

#15

48-37

+11

H01/02

NBB

78.9Avg total

41.3Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	38.3	75.2	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.5	41.3	78.8	-3.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.5	36.0	72.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	37.6	78.9	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	36.8	76.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	36.2	39.9	76.1	-3.7	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.6	37.5	75.2	+0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	37.4	35.4	72.8	+2.0	80%	-

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mogi

38-51

-13

A02/12

NBB

Cearense

#15

24-49

-25

A06/12

NBB

Unifacisa

#10

33-40

-7

A08/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

30-37

-7

H19/12

NBB

Pinheiros

44-35

H21/12

NBB

Minas

32-42

-10

A29/12

NBB

Pato

#16

34-34

H13/01

NBB

Rio Claro

41-48

-7

H20/01

NBB

Flamengo

35-54

-19

A25/01

NBB

Mogi

38-46

-8

H05/02

NBB

78.5Avg total

34.9Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	40.7	76.2	-5.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.0	39.7	77.7	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	33.5	41.5	75.1	-8.0	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	43.6	78.5	-8.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	44.8	80.8	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	33.9	42.1	76.0	-8.2	17%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.0	35.2	75.2	+4.8	80%	-
vs Weaker (1)	50.0	36.0	86.0	+14.0	100%	-

This opponent (Botafogo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+0.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.4	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.1	64%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	18.2	14.8	33.0	+3.4	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	21.9	41.6	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.1	42%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	21.3	39.9	-2.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.6	22.1	40.7	-3.4	21%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+2.9	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.1	19.5	41.5	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	22.0	39.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.7	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	38.9	77.6	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.1	37.5	77.6	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.6	39.9	77.6	-2.3	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	39.9	78.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	42.2	80.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.8	41.4	79.1	-3.6	21%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.6	37.4	78.0	+3.3	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	37.0	35.4	72.4	+1.6	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	41.8	82.4	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.8	41.4	83.2	+0.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.6	42.2	81.8	-2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	43.3	83.0	-3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	42.2	80.2	-4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	40.3	42.2	82.5	-1.8	42%	-
vs Similar (5)	41.0	40.2	81.2	+0.8	80%	-
vs Weaker (1)	44.0	42.0	86.0	+2.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Botafogo wins

Brasilia wins

Date	Game	Score
16/10/19	Brasilia v Botafogo	78-63
09/03/19	Botafogo v Brasilia	79-65
14/11/18	Brasilia v Botafogo	82-64

Botafogolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/02/20	H	Cearense	86-72
30/01/20	H	Unifacisa	76-81
28/01/20	H	Minas	84-86
18/01/20	A	Sao Paulo	68-83
16/01/20	A	Paulistano	72-73
27/12/19	A	Pinheiros	98-92
21/12/19	H	Mogi	69-79
18/12/19	H	Sao Jose	93-75
13/12/19	A	Corinthians Paulista	74-70
12/12/19	A	Corinthians Paulista	74-64

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/02/20	H	Mogi	70-86
25/01/20	A	Flamengo	77-94
20/01/20	H	Rio Claro	87-92
13/01/20	H	Pato	76-73
29/12/19	A	Minas	60-90
21/12/19	H	Pinheiros	79-86
19/12/19	H	Corinthians Paulista	85-73
08/12/19	A	Unifacisa	72-91
06/12/19	A	Cearense	56-91
02/12/19	A	Mogi	84-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo

NBB 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	40%
Home	WLLLW	44%
Away	WLWLL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	40%	44%	36%
Points / game	77.7	81.4	74.5
Allowed / game	80.3	79.2	81.2
Point differential	-2.6	+2.2	-6.6
Avg total	157.9	160.7	155.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Brasilia

NBB 2019-20

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	32%
Home	WLWLL	33%
Away	LLLLL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	32%	33%	30%
Points / game	75.4	76.7	74.2
Allowed / game	84.3	81.8	86.6
Point differential	-8.9	-5.1	-12.4
Avg total	159.7	158.4	160.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	22%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	33% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	20	17	3	85%	84.2	76.7	+7.6
2	Franca	20	15	5	75%	86.4	79.1	+7.3
3	Mogi	20	15	5	75%	84.0	81.3	+2.8
4	Sao Paulo	21	15	6	71%	86.9	81.8	+5.1
5	Minas	19	13	6	68%	86.2	80.2	+5.9
6	Pinheiros	20	12	8	60%	79.8	78.3	+1.6
7	Unifacisa	21	11	10	52%	82.5	79.7	+2.8
8	Corinthians Paulista	20	10	10	50%	82.7	78.8	+4.0
9	Paulistano	18	9	9	50%	80.9	81.1	-0.2
10	Bauru	19	9	10	47%	80.9	78.9	+2.0
11	Rio Claro	20	9	11	45%	84.4	89.0	-4.5
12	Botafogo	20	8	12	40%	77.7	80.3	-2.6
13	Brasilia	19	6	13	32%	75.4	84.3	-8.9
14	Cearense	21	4	17	19%	75.3	79.1	-3.8
15	Sao Jose	21	4	17	19%	83.4	91.6	-8.2
16	Pato	19	2	17	11%	69.9	81.1	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Botafogo	16	18	23	27	84
Brasilia	29	9	16	24	78

← all games of the day

Botafogo vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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