Botafogo vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jan 2020

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 84-86

17-20 25-22 22-23 20-21

Position#9

Record7-10

FormWLWLL

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game80.4

Botafogo

Minas 🏆

Position#4

Record11-6

FormLWWWW

Points / game85.6

Allowed / game79.4

NBBRound 14

Other2019-20

Meetings · Botafogo v Minas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Minas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Botafogo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

68-85

-17

A02/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

74-88

-14

H05/12

South American League

Rio Claro

92-72

+20

H08/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

74-64

+10

A12/12

South American League

Corinthians Paulista

74-70

A13/12

South American League

Sao Jose

#14

93-75

+18

H18/12

NBB

Mogi

69-79

-10

H21/12

NBB

Pinheiros

98-92

A27/12

NBB

Paulistano

#11

72-73

-1

A16/01

NBB

Sao Paulo

68-83

-15

A18/01

NBB

15-20

18-18

22-21

13-26

12-27

22-29

20-11

20-21

24-25

21-17

27-13

20-17

27-15

21-20

17-11

9-18

21-12

20-13

17-19

16-26

24-21

22-22

22-19

25-13

14-23

18-15

19-19

18-22

25-25

24-26

22-21

27-20

15-15

21-19

23-24

13-15

16-14

18-17

14-20

20-32

156.3Avg total

78.2Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	76.9	80.4	157.3	-3.5	41%
Season at home (6)	81.2	79.0	160.2	+2.2	50%
Season away (11)	74.5	81.2	155.7	-6.6	36%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	78.1	156.3	+0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	80.4	160.4	-0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	73.5	80.5	154.1	-7.0	33%
vs Similar (10)	77.5	75.2	152.7	+2.3	60%
vs Weaker (5)	74.4	70.8	145.2	+3.6	80%

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

89-97 OT

-8

H23/11

NBB

Mogi

84-91

-7

A04/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

109-93

109

+16

A07/12

NBB

Cearense

#15

82-79

A12/12

NBB

Unifacisa

#10

92-84

A14/12

NBB

Pinheiros

57-64

-7

H19/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

83-82

H21/12

NBB

Brasilia

#13

90-60

+30

H29/12

NBB

Pato

#16

86-76

+10

H15/01

NBB

Rio Claro

104-71

104

+33

H22/01

NBB

22-23

15-20

21-19

22-18

18-28

24-15

18-19

24-29

23-31

31-17

32-25

23-20

28-16

11-25

22-19

21-19

22-16

25-26

25-20

20-22

14-18

14-14

13-15

16-17

19-18

10-20

28-25

26-19

24-17

18-15

29-10

19-18

21-18

15-19

31-19

19-20

26-13

23-25

22-17

33-16

167.3Avg total

87.6Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	85.6	79.4	165.0	+6.3	65%
Season at home (9)	85.0	77.3	162.3	+7.7	56%
Season away (8)	86.4	81.6	168.0	+4.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	79.7	167.3	+7.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	70.6	154.6	+13.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.5	83.8	158.2	-9.2	25%
vs Similar (14)	77.6	81.1	158.7	-3.4	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	89.1	77.0	166.1	+12.1	83%

This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BotafogoMinas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.1	36.9	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	16.6	20.9	37.5	-4.3	18%	-
Last 30 away (19)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-1.9	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.4	19.3	36.7	-1.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.6	16.2	34.8	+2.4	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.7	39.7	+0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.8	41.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.8	37.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-2.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.2	18.5	40.7	+3.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.1	37.5	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (19)	18.3	18.3	36.5	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.9	19.5	37.4	-1.7	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.2	18.3	37.5	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.1	38.2	-0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.6	34.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	22.8	42.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.5	19.2	36.7	-1.7	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+2.9	58%	-

BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

33-38

-5

A02/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

34-56

-22

H05/12

South American League

Rio Claro

45-42

H08/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

48-35

+13

A12/12

South American League

Corinthians Paulista

41-25

+16

A13/12

South American League

Sao Jose

#14

46-43

H18/12

NBB

Mogi

32-38

-6

H21/12

NBB

Pinheiros

49-51

-2

A27/12

NBB

Paulistano

#11

36-34

A16/01

NBB

Sao Paulo

34-31

A18/01

NBB

79.1Avg total

39.8Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	38.1	74.5	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	35.5	41.4	76.8	-5.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (19)	36.8	36.3	73.1	+0.6	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	39.3	79.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	39.4	78.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	35.8	39.4	75.2	-3.6	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.6	37.6	74.2	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	37.4	35.4	72.8	+2.0	80%	-

This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

37-43

-6

H23/11

NBB

Mogi

42-43

-1

A04/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

54-48

A07/12

NBB

Cearense

#15

39-41

-2

A12/12

NBB

Unifacisa

#10

47-42

A14/12

NBB

Pinheiros

28-32

-4

H19/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

29-38

-9

H21/12

NBB

Brasilia

#13

42-32

+10

H29/12

NBB

Pato

#16

36-37

-1

H15/01

NBB

Rio Claro

49-38

+11

H22/01

NBB

79.7Avg total

40.3Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	39.2	78.6	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.0	39.5	78.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	38.9	78.8	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	39.4	79.7	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	35.4	72.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.8	41.8	78.5	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.2	40.9	78.1	-3.7	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	42.9	36.3	79.2	+6.6	75%	-

This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.5	18.5	38.9	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (19)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.8	38.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.6	19.5	38.1	-0.9	60%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.2	14.8	33.0	+3.4	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.9	42.4	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	18.8	42.9	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	17.2	41.8	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.5	24.8	45.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.8	18.9	37.6	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	23.4	19.0	42.4	+4.4	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.6	55%	-
Last 30 away (19)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	32%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.0	39.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	19.7	42.5	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.8	42.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.0	40.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	17.2	34.5	+0.0	75%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.8	21.7	44.4	+1.1	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	39.0	77.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	40.9	37.3	78.2	+3.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (19)	37.4	40.0	77.4	-2.6	37%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	38.8	77.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	41.0	81.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.7	41.1	78.9	-3.4	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.9	37.6	78.5	+3.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	37.0	35.4	72.4	+1.6	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	40.0	82.1	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.3	39.6	84.9	+5.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	40.5	79.3	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	38.6	85.0	+7.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	35.2	82.4	+12.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.8	42.0	79.8	-4.2	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.8	38.9	78.7	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	46.2	40.7	86.8	+5.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Botafogo wins

Minas wins

Date	Game	Score
14/10/19	Minas v Botafogo	84-85
06/03/19	Botafogo v Minas	79-62
04/12/18	Minas v Botafogo	85-77
20/02/18	Botafogo v Minas	70-76
25/11/17	Minas v Botafogo	74-56

Botafogolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/01/20	A	Sao Paulo	68-83
16/01/20	A	Paulistano	72-73
27/12/19	A	Pinheiros	98-92
21/12/19	H	Mogi	69-79
18/12/19	H	Sao Jose	93-75
13/12/19	A	Corinthians Paulista	74-70
12/12/19	A	Corinthians Paulista	74-64
08/12/19	H	Rio Claro	92-72
05/12/19	H	Corinthians Paulista	74-88
02/12/19	A	Franca	68-85

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/20	H	Rio Claro	104-71
15/01/20	H	Pato	86-76
29/12/19	H	Brasilia	90-60
21/12/19	H	Corinthians Paulista	83-82
19/12/19	H	Pinheiros	57-64
14/12/19	A	Unifacisa	92-84
12/12/19	A	Cearense	82-79
07/12/19	A	Sao Jose	109-93
04/12/19	A	Mogi	84-91
23/11/19	H	Franca	89-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo

NBB 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	41%
Home	LWWWL	50%
Away	WLWLL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	6	11
Win %	41%	50%	36%
Points / game	76.9	81.2	74.5
Allowed / game	80.4	79.0	81.2
Point differential	-3.5	+2.2	-6.6
Avg total	157.3	160.2	155.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Minas

NBB 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	65%
Home	LWWWW	56%
Away	LLWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	65%	56%	75%
Points / game	85.6	85.0	86.4
Allowed / game	79.4	77.3	81.6
Point differential	+6.3	+7.7	+4.8
Avg total	165.0	162.3	168.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	44%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	50% (2)	75% (4)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	16	14	2	88%	84.2	76.2	+8.0
2	Franca	17	13	4	76%	86.7	79.2	+7.5
3	Mogi	17	12	5	71%	83.3	81.2	+2.1
4	Sao Paulo	19	13	6	68%	86.5	81.9	+4.6
5	Pinheiros	18	12	6	67%	81.4	78.8	+2.6
6	Minas	17	11	6	65%	85.6	79.4	+6.3
7	Unifacisa	17	10	7	59%	82.9	78.1	+4.8
8	Corinthians Paulista	18	10	8	56%	83.2	78.1	+5.1
9	Paulistano	17	9	8	53%	81.3	81.4	-0.1
10	Rio Claro	19	9	10	47%	84.8	88.2	-3.3
11	Botafogo	17	7	10	41%	76.9	80.4	-3.5
12	Bauru	16	6	10	38%	80.6	80.4	+0.1
13	Brasilia	18	6	12	33%	75.7	84.2	-8.6
14	Cearense	18	3	15	17%	74.2	78.6	-4.4
15	Sao Jose	19	3	16	16%	83.1	92.1	-9.0
16	Pato	17	2	15	12%	68.9	79.3	-10.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Botafogo	17	25	22	20	84
Minas	20	22	23	21	86

← all games of the day

Botafogo vs Minas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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