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Botafogo vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 89-78
21-15 32-23 15-24 21-16
Position#15
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game84.0
Botafogo 🏆
Brazil
vs
Brasilia
Brazil
Position#19
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game81.4
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Botafogo v Brasilia
18 Nov 2025
BOTA70
BRAS82
05 Dec 2024
BOTA67
BRAS89
14 Nov 2023
BOTA89
BRAS78
07 Feb 2020
BOTA84
BRAS78
09 Mar 2019
BOTA79
BRAS65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#6
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
no box
H29/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
A02/03
NBB
Mogi
#5
L
61-89
61
89
-28
no box
A06/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
76-96
76
96
-20
59avg 54
H21/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
71-79
71
79
-8
11avg 54
H24/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
78-82
78
82
-4
71avg 54
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
67-74
67
74
-7
64avg 54
A30/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
62-79
62
79
-17
47avg 54
H04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
55avg 54
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 54
H10/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
15-22
19-16
26-22
20-18
17-13
27-28
23-22
16-26
14-22
12-16
19-25
25-33
12-21
10-21
29-21
15-23
17-17
22-25
17-14
15-23
20-17
17-18
26-24
21-13
18-16
11-20
17-25
14-17
19-19
16-24
13-19
9-18
24-22
12-28
24-24
20-21
32-26
14-25
13-14
158.2Avg total
73.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.784.0155.7-12.30%
Season at home (4)72.085.0157.0-13.00%
Season away (3)71.382.7154.0-11.30%
Last 10 (10)73.884.4158.2-10.620%
Last 5 (5)71.082.6153.6-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.581.2153.7-8.721%
vs Similar (13)81.579.6161.1+1.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)79.372.0151.3+7.3100%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#16
L
74-92
74
92
-18
no box
H30/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
H04/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
64-91
64
91
-27
no box
A07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
71-113
71
113
-42
no box
A13/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
A15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
72-84
72
84
-12
59avg 70
H21/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
94-76
94
76
+18
91avg 70
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
70avg 70
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
82-92
82
92
-10
68avg 70
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 70
H11/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-24
26-26
19-22
20-20
20-27
23-18
18-24
11-18
16-20
19-29
12-22
17-20
14-27
14-28
25-23
18-35
22-24
23-24
15-24
13-18
26-24
14-21
15-21
17-18
25-25
24-17
24-11
21-23
20-15
22-25
12-17
26-21
9-21
23-27
18-25
32-19
17-15
17-22
16-20
19-20
163.1Avg total
75.1Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.481.4160.8-2.040%
Season at home (4)79.282.2161.5-3.025%
Season away (1)80.078.0158.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.188.0163.1-12.920%
Last 5 (5)79.481.4160.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)78.891.0169.9-12.213%
vs Similar (7)80.981.3162.1-0.457%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Botafogo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
BotafogoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#6
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H29/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A02/03
NBB
Mogi
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A06/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H21/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A30/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H10/11
NBB
76.4Avg total
36.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.376.8-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.842.581.2-3.731%-
Last 30 away (17)36.536.973.4-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)36.040.476.4-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.476.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.140.077.1-2.929%-
vs Similar (13)39.138.978.0+0.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)32.337.770.0-5.333%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#16
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H30/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A13/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/11
NBB
84.2Avg total
38.3Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.346.285.5-6.927%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.944.585.4-3.635%-
Last 30 away (13)37.248.585.7-11.215%-
Last 10 (10)38.345.984.2-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.481.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.747.886.5-9.022%-
vs Similar (7)41.141.182.3+0.043%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Botafogo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.3
51.2%
51.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.67.7
27.0%
33.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.411.1
63.9%
72.6%11.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.2
51.1%
51.8%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.4
36.7%
33.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.612.4
70.5%
72.6%12.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/5 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLLLLLLLWW
Brasilia
LLWWLLLLLL
#15
League position
#19
-16.1
Net rating
-1.3
92.7
Offensive rating
106.2
108.7
Defensive rating
107.5
46.4%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
19.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.0%
3-point %
36.7%
54.9%
Assist %
49.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence92.7 · 106.2Defence108.7 · 107.5Shooting46.4% · 52.7%3-point %27.0% · 36.7%Ball care19.9% · 16.1%Off. rebounds26.7% · 23.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Botafogo   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Botafogo wins
2
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
07/02/20Botafogo v Brasilia84-78
16/10/19Brasilia v Botafogo78-63
09/03/19Botafogo v Brasilia79-65
14/11/18Brasilia v Botafogo82-64
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23HFranca79-86
07/11/23AFlamengo69-92
04/11/23HVasco62-79
30/10/23ACaxias do Sul67-74
28/10/23AUniao Corinthians78-82
24/10/23HPato71-79
21/10/23HMinas76-96
06/03/20AMogi61-89
02/03/20ASao Jose87-81
29/02/20HPinheiros88-86 OT
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HCaxias do Sul69-77
09/11/23HUniao Corinthians82-92
03/11/23APato80-78
23/10/23HPinheiros94-76
21/10/23HCorinthians Paulista72-84
15/04/23ACorinthians Paulista73-90
13/04/23APaulistano71-113
07/04/23APato64-91
04/04/23HFranca72-87
30/03/23HRio Claro74-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.772.071.3
Allowed / game84.085.082.7
Point differential-12.3-13.0-11.3
Avg total155.7157.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %40%25%100%
Points / game79.479.280.0
Allowed / game81.482.278.0
Point differential-2.0-3.0+2.0
Avg total160.8161.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas550100%82.268.6+13.6
2 Cearense65183%77.272.2+5.0
3 Franca54180%90.679.4+11.2
4 Flamengo54180%80.672.6+8.0
5 Vasco64267%69.565.3+4.2
6 Uniao Corinthians64267%77.076.7+0.3
7 Paulistano64267%68.568.7-0.2
8 Caxias do Sul53260%72.672.6+0.0
9 Bauru74357%74.474.7-0.3
10 Unifacisa63350%74.271.0+3.2
11 Corinthians Paulista42250%78.275.8+2.5
12 Pato84450%75.276.4-1.1
13 Brasilia52340%79.481.4-2.0
14 Pinheiros52340%74.277.4-3.2
15 Sao Jose41325%76.874.0+2.8
16 Sao Paulo51420%74.886.0-11.2
17 Cerrado61517%71.276.3-5.2
18 Mogi5050%67.477.4-10.0
19 Botafogo7070%71.784.0-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2132152189
Brasilia1523241678
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