PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Botafogo vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 67-89
18-33 12-27 20-11 17-18
Position#18
Record4-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#6
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game78.8
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Botafogo v Brasilia
18 Nov 2025
BOTA70
BRAS82
05 Dec 2024
BOTA67
BRAS89
14 Nov 2023
BOTA89
BRAS78
07 Feb 2020
BOTA84
BRAS78
09 Mar 2019
BOTA79
BRAS65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 65
H24/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
77-52
77
52
+25
74avg 65
A27/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 65
A30/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
70-88
70
88
-18
51avg 65
A02/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-80
71
80
-9
61avg 65
H06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
63-69
63
69
-6
58avg 65
H10/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
58avg 65
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
68-66
68
66
+2
54avg 65
H15/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
78-98
78
98
-20
57avg 65
A28/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
52avg 65
H02/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
8-21
31-28
15-17
17-10
20-17
22-11
18-14
12-27
26-16
14-29
22-18
23-23
12-19
19-19
16-27
20-23
20-20
16-18
15-19
25-15
15-19
13-17
10-18
16-22
14-24
14-18
23-27
21-11
9-19
18-20
20-16
20-27
11-20
14-25
33-26
13-25
19-21
20-20
16-29
151.2Avg total
70.3Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.378.6148.9-8.331%
Season at home (6)65.877.2143.0-11.317%
Season away (7)74.179.9154.0-5.743%
Last 10 (10)70.380.9151.2-10.620%
Last 5 (5)68.883.8152.6-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)76.088.5164.5-12.521%
vs Similar (5)74.671.2145.8+3.440%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
L
91-93
91
93
-2
80avg 63
A15/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
63avg 63
A17/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
81-76
81
76
+5
70avg 63
H23/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 63
H26/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
79avg 63
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
105-99
105
99
+6
101avg 63
A02/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
73-72
73
72
+1
58avg 63
H05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
77-72
77
72
+5
66avg 63
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 63
A14/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
78-76
78
76
+2
68avg 63
A16/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
20-22
24-20
28-23
17-25
14-17
20-23
23-14
25-22
16-17
13-20
27-17
18-14
32-25
18-24
18-17
25-18
24-16
13-20
27-21
24-33
26-19
24-22
31-25
20-25
19-14
17-14
17-19
27-12
17-14
17-20
16-26
15-21
21-21
12-13
28-16
15-16
17-17
22-23
24-20
162.3Avg total
83.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.578.8160.3+2.673%
Season at home (4)79.275.0154.2+4.2100%
Season away (7)82.781.0163.7+1.757%
Last 10 (10)83.079.3162.3+3.780%
Last 5 (5)81.878.0159.8+3.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)75.390.6165.9-15.310%
vs Similar (6)86.881.8168.7+5.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)78.374.3152.7+4.0100%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.1+4.1
BotafogoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H24/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A27/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A30/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A02/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H10/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H15/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A28/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H02/12
NBB
72.7Avg total
33.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.543.480.9-5.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.443.180.4-5.729%-
Last 30 away (16)37.743.681.3-5.931%-
Last 10 (10)33.439.372.7-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)32.640.673.2-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.245.082.1-7.825%-
vs Similar (5)37.235.072.2+2.240%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H23/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H26/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A02/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A14/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A16/11
NBB
80.7Avg total
41.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.244.682.8-6.313%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.945.486.2-4.521%-
Last 30 away (16)35.943.979.8-7.96%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.680.7+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.478.6+1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)36.546.883.3-10.30%-
vs Similar (6)42.539.081.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.740.081.7+1.733%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.018.0
45.0%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.8
31.3%
33.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws15.79.9
63.1%
72.7%9.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀34%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.613.9
47.0%
50.9%27.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.811.8
34.9%
33.0%35.4
🏀 Free throws23.218.8
81.0%
72.7%18.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLWLLLLLWL
Brasilia
WWWWWWWWLL
#18
League position
#6
-14.7
Net rating
+4.8
94.5
Offensive rating
112.9
109.2
Defensive rating
108.1
45.8%
Effective FG%
49.8%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.3%
3-point %
34.9%
61.6%
Assist %
59.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 112.9Defence109.2 · 108.1Shooting45.8% · 49.8%3-point %31.3% · 34.9%Ball care17.5% · 15.4%Off. rebounds27.1% · 31.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Botafogo   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Botafogo wins
2
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
10/03/24Brasilia v Botafogo106-108 OT
14/11/23Botafogo v Brasilia89-78
07/02/20Botafogo v Brasilia84-78
16/10/19Brasilia v Botafogo78-63
09/03/19Botafogo v Brasilia79-65
14/11/18Brasilia v Botafogo82-64
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/24HMinas68-95
28/11/24APato78-98
15/11/24HVasco68-66
13/11/24AFlamengo67-91
10/11/24HCaxias do Sul63-69
06/11/24HUniao Corinthians71-80
02/11/24APaulistano70-88
30/10/24AUnifacisa74-90
27/10/24ACearense77-52
24/10/24HPinheiros67-80
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24AUniao Corinthians78-76
14/11/24ACaxias do Sul76-71
09/11/24HUnifacisa77-72
05/11/24HCearense73-72
02/11/24ACorinthians Paulista105-99
31/10/24APinheiros89-75
26/10/24HMogi86-80
23/10/24HSao Jose81-76
17/10/24AFranca74-79
15/10/24ABauru91-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayWLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%17%43%
Points / game70.365.874.1
Allowed / game78.677.279.9
Point differential-8.3-11.3-5.7
Avg total148.9143.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %73%100%57%
Points / game81.579.282.7
Allowed / game78.875.081.0
Point differential+2.6+4.2+1.7
Avg total160.3154.2163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1413193%84.468.4+15.9
2 Flamengo1411379%82.770.1+12.6
3 Brasilia118373%81.578.8+2.6
4 Bauru139469%78.076.7+1.3
5 Sao Paulo117464%78.977.6+1.3
6 Vasco127558%72.669.9+2.7
7 Pinheiros127558%73.671.8+1.8
8 Uniao Corinthians127558%79.680.8-1.2
9 Franca137654%79.578.0+1.5
10 Sao Jose136746%75.776.2-0.5
11 Pato135838%80.382.2-1.8
12 Paulistano124833%75.273.9+1.2
13 Corinthians Paulista124833%80.482.6-2.2
14 Unifacisa124833%74.978.5-3.6
15 Botafogo134931%70.378.6-8.3
16 Mogi134931%70.479.4-9.0
17 Caxias do Sul123925%69.576.8-7.3
18 Cearense1221017%67.177.2-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo1812201767
Brasilia3327111889
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.