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Botafogo vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 68-95
13-25 19-21 20-20 16-29
Position#18
Record4-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game77.2
Botafogo
Brazil
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#1
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game68.3
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Botafogo v Minas
09 Apr 2026
BOTA71
MINA106
02 Dec 2024
BOTA68
MINA95
21 Oct 2023
BOTA76
MINA96
28 Jan 2020
BOTA84
MINA86
06 Mar 2019
BOTA79
MINA62
20 Feb 2018
BOTA70
MINA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
58-73
58
73
-15
46avg 66
H22/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 66
H24/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
77-52
77
52
+25
74avg 66
A27/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 66
A30/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
70-88
70
88
-18
51avg 66
A02/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-80
71
80
-9
61avg 66
H06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
63-69
63
69
-6
58avg 66
H10/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
58avg 66
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
68-66
68
66
+2
54avg 66
H15/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
78-98
78
98
-20
57avg 66
A28/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
15-26
11-25
17-7
13-14
8-21
31-28
15-17
17-10
20-17
22-11
18-14
12-27
26-16
14-29
22-18
23-23
12-19
19-19
16-27
20-23
20-20
16-18
15-19
25-15
15-19
13-17
10-18
16-22
14-24
14-18
23-27
21-11
9-19
18-20
20-16
20-27
11-20
14-25
33-26
148.0Avg total
69.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.577.2147.8-6.833%
Season at home (5)65.473.6139.0-8.220%
Season away (7)74.179.9154.0-5.743%
Last 10 (10)69.378.7148.0-9.420%
Last 5 (5)69.480.8150.2-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.488.2164.6-11.822%
vs Similar (6)74.873.0147.8+1.833%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
74avg 82
A17/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
91-64
91
64
+27
85avg 82
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
91-61
91
61
+30
89avg 82
H24/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 82
A29/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
86-60
86
60
+26
86avg 82
A31/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
86-64
86
64
+22
93avg 82
H07/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 82
H11/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 82
A14/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
78-58
78
58
+20
75avg 82
A16/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
81-70
81
70
+11
74avg 82
A30/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-12
23-14
22-13
17-32
16-22
28-14
25-17
22-11
21-14
17-24
24-10
29-13
18-17
26-12
17-20
16-18
21-14
20-18
14-11
31-17
25-10
24-10
21-16
16-28
19-19
22-20
19-27
18-10
18-24
27-18
27-13
17-16
17-16
22-10
21-19
18-13
19-21
17-14
21-23
24-12
151.1Avg total
83.9Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.468.3150.8+14.192%
Season at home (5)84.066.2150.2+17.8100%
Season away (7)81.369.9151.1+11.486%
Last 10 (10)83.967.2151.1+16.7100%
Last 5 (5)82.467.8150.2+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)77.380.1157.4-2.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.770.7155.4+14.191%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +7.2+7.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.8+3.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +7.2+7.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.8+3.8
BotafogoMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H22/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H24/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A27/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A30/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A02/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H10/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H15/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A28/11
NBB
72.0Avg total
33.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.843.181.0-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.042.680.6-4.636%-
Last 30 away (16)37.743.681.3-5.931%-
Last 10 (10)33.238.872.0-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.240.074.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.444.982.3-7.526%-
vs Similar (6)37.835.773.5+2.250%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A17/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A29/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A31/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H07/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H11/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A16/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A30/11
NBB
73.2Avg total
40.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.135.175.3+5.077%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.533.373.8+7.279%-
Last 30 away (16)39.836.876.6+3.175%-
Last 10 (10)40.932.373.2+8.690%-
Last 5 (5)42.032.474.4+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)35.937.973.7-2.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.434.375.7+7.183%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 68.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.317.7
43.9%
50.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.6
30.6%
33.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws15.510.1
65.2%
72.7%10.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.4
53.8%
50.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.8
37.1%
33.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.611.7
70.5%
72.7%11.7
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LWLLLLLWLL
Minas
WWWWWWWWWW
#18
League position
#1
-13.1
Net rating
+21.8
93.5
Offensive rating
110.8
106.6
Defensive rating
89.0
44.7%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
42.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.7%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.6%
3-point %
37.1%
61.3%
Assist %
57.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 110.8Defence106.6 · 89.0Shooting44.7% · 54.5%3-point %30.6% · 37.1%Ball care17.0% · 18.7%Off. rebounds27.0% · 33.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 100%
■ Botafogo   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Botafogo wins
6
Minas wins
DateGameScore
08/01/24Minas v Botafogo89-52
21/10/23Botafogo v Minas76-96
28/01/20Botafogo v Minas84-86
14/10/19Minas v Botafogo84-85
06/03/19Botafogo v Minas79-62
04/12/18Minas v Botafogo85-77
20/02/18Botafogo v Minas70-76
25/11/17Minas v Botafogo74-56
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24APato78-98
15/11/24HVasco68-66
13/11/24AFlamengo67-91
10/11/24HCaxias do Sul63-69
06/11/24HUniao Corinthians71-80
02/11/24APaulistano70-88
30/10/24AUnifacisa74-90
27/10/24ACearense77-52
24/10/24HPinheiros67-80
22/10/24HCorinthians Paulista58-73
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24AFlamengo81-70
16/11/24ACaxias do Sul78-58
14/11/24AUniao Corinthians89-71
11/11/24HUnifacisa78-76
07/11/24HCearense86-64
31/10/24ACorinthians Paulista86-60
29/10/24APinheiros77-67
24/10/24HMogi91-61
21/10/24HSao Jose91-64
17/10/24ABauru82-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %33%20%43%
Points / game70.565.474.1
Allowed / game77.273.679.9
Point differential-6.8-8.2-5.7
Avg total147.8139.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %92%100%86%
Points / game82.484.081.3
Allowed / game68.366.269.9
Point differential+14.1+17.8+11.4
Avg total150.8150.2151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%60%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1211192%82.468.3+14.1
2 Flamengo1310377%80.667.5+13.1
3 Brasilia118373%81.578.8+2.6
4 Bauru118373%78.777.1+1.6
5 Sao Paulo117464%78.977.6+1.3
6 Franca127558%80.478.6+1.8
7 Vasco116555%72.369.9+2.4
8 Pinheiros116555%73.673.5+0.1
9 Uniao Corinthians116555%79.381.1-1.8
10 Sao Jose136746%75.776.2-0.5
11 Pato115645%79.278.3+0.9
12 Paulistano114736%75.673.7+1.9
13 Corinthians Paulista124833%80.482.6-2.2
14 Botafogo124833%70.577.2-6.8
15 Mogi124833%71.879.9-8.1
16 Unifacisa113827%75.379.5-4.2
17 Caxias do Sul113827%69.877.4-7.5
18 Cearense1221017%67.177.2-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo1319201668
Minas2521202995
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