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Botafogo vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 76-96
25-33 12-21 10-21 29-21
Position#15
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game70.0
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Botafogo v Minas
09 Apr 2026
BOTA71
MINA106
02 Dec 2024
BOTA68
MINA95
21 Oct 2023
BOTA76
MINA96
28 Jan 2020
BOTA84
MINA86
06 Mar 2019
BOTA79
MINA62
20 Feb 2018
BOTA70
MINA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#3
L
68-83
68
83
-15
no box
A18/01
NBB
Minas
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H28/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
H30/01
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H01/02
NBB
Brasilia
#13
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
H07/02
NBB
Pato
#16
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A12/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
no box
A15/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
no box
H29/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
A02/03
NBB
Mogi
#5
L
61-89
61
89
-28
no box
A06/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
18-17
14-20
20-32
17-20
25-22
22-23
20-21
25-17
12-23
22-21
17-20
27-20
21-17
13-21
25-14
16-29
18-9
23-16
27-24
8-23
19-18
26-11
22-17
14-21
29-27
21-16
26-25
17-17
15-22
19-16
26-22
20-18
17-13
27-28
23-22
16-26
14-22
12-16
19-25
161.3Avg total
79.9Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.981.4161.3-1.560%
Last 5 (5)80.282.8163.0-2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.080.3153.3-7.325%
vs Similar (14)80.178.3158.4+1.971%
vs Weaker (4)80.873.8154.5+7.0100%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#5
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
A30/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
A02/05
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
68-83
68
83
-15
no box
H07/05
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
71-67
71
67
+4
no box
H09/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
98-112
98
112
-14
no box
A13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
103-89
103
89
+14
no box
H16/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
91-95
91
95
-4
no box
H18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A23/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
87-70
87
70
+17
88avg 88
A13/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
14-23
18-23
19-21
24-18
11-8
21-24
21-18
19-13
20-21
12-23
17-26
18-12
16-22
15-7
22-26
31-29
22-26
17-23
28-34
29-18
28-28
21-24
25-19
23-24
25-16
23-28
20-27
19-27
27-19
26-23
21-21
19-29
25-22
23-25
12-17
26-27
27-14
21-18
13-11
169.0Avg total
84.3Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.070.0157.0+17.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)87.070.0157.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.384.7169.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)90.687.4178.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)88.491.5179.9-3.125%
vs Similar (8)82.074.5156.5+7.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.480.4169.8+9.171%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
BotafogoMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A18/01
NBB
Minas
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H28/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H30/01
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H01/02
NBB
Brasilia
#13
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H07/02
NBB
Pato
#16
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A12/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A15/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H29/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A02/03
NBB
Mogi
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A06/03
NBB
75.9Avg total
36.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.838.975.7-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.440.878.2-3.438%-
Last 30 away (17)36.437.573.8-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)36.439.575.9-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.841.475.2-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.439.575.9-3.133%-
vs Similar (14)37.738.676.3-0.950%-
vs Weaker (4)34.838.273.0-3.550%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A30/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A02/05
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H07/05
NBB
Paulistano
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H09/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H16/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A23/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A13/10
NBB
85.7Avg total
44.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.440.085.4+5.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.938.084.9+8.979%-
Last 30 away (16)44.141.885.9+2.444%-
Last 10 (10)44.840.985.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)49.644.894.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.246.893.0-0.525%-
vs Similar (8)40.935.276.1+5.688%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.538.986.4+8.664%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀28%
🏀🏀🏀56%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.012.0
46.2%
51.8%24.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.016.0
48.5%
33.9%48.0
🏀 Free throws18.013.0
72.2%
72.6%13.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Botafogo wins
4
Minas wins
DateGameScore
28/01/20Botafogo v Minas84-86
14/10/19Minas v Botafogo84-85
06/03/19Botafogo v Minas79-62
04/12/18Minas v Botafogo85-77
20/02/18Botafogo v Minas70-76
25/11/17Minas v Botafogo74-56
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/20AMogi61-89
02/03/20ASao Jose87-81
29/02/20HPinheiros88-86 OT
15/02/20ARio Claro90-89
12/02/20APato75-69
07/02/20HBrasilia84-78
01/02/20HCearense86-72
30/01/20HUnifacisa76-81
28/01/20HMinas84-86
18/01/20ASao Paulo68-83
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23AFlamengo87-70
23/05/23AFranca79-93
21/05/23AFranca93-90
18/05/23HFranca91-95
16/05/23HFranca103-89
13/05/23AFranca98-112
09/05/23HPaulistano71-67
07/05/23HPaulistano68-83
02/05/23APaulistano77-68
30/04/23APaulistano76-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential+17.0-+17.0
Avg total157.0-157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas110100%87.070.0+17.0
2 Flamengo21150%77.079.0-2.0
3 Pato1010%71.084.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2512102976
Minas3321212196
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