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Botafogo vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 71-106
28-28 15-32 14-23 14-23
Position#16
Record10-25
FormLWWLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#3
Record27-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game82.3
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Botafogo v Minas
09 Apr 2026
BOTA71
MINA106
02 Dec 2024
BOTA68
MINA95
21 Oct 2023
BOTA76
MINA96
28 Jan 2020
BOTA84
MINA86
06 Mar 2019
BOTA79
MINA62
20 Feb 2018
BOTA70
MINA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Botafogo
4.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 72.4
72.0▼ 0.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.4
77.4▼ 5.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 50%
49%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.5
18.4▲ 2.9
🔥 Form · Minas
5.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.2
93.2▲ 8.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.3
83.8▲ 4.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
60%▲ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.8
20.8▲ 2.0
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
66-88
66
88
-22
H17/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A04/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A06/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H12/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
62-93
62
93
-31
H16/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A24/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H03/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H06/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
12-24
21-24
15-19
23-17
13-21
25-23
20-26
17-23
20-14
19-27
27-18
10-16
23-20
18-23
22-20
27-21
17-28
21-19
20-11
25-20
17-19
8-22
12-32
21-6
18-18
15-25
14-18
19-19
24-6
20-21
15-25
22-18
11-27
17-18
22-23
25-15
22-15
13-26
20-14
155.0Avg total
74.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)72.882.0154.8-9.329%
Season at home (17)75.179.6154.7-4.541%
Season away (18)70.684.3154.9-13.817%
Last 10 (10)74.880.2155.0-5.450%
Last 5 (5)72.077.4149.4-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)72.182.9155.0-10.822%
vs Similar (7)77.679.3156.9-1.757%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H08/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
W
110-101
110
101
+9
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
L
91-103
91
103
-12
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H17/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A24/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-88
101
88
+13
H01/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
109-88
109
88
+21
A04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A06/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
26-30
21-17
30-28
23-23
22-26
33-22
32-30
23-27
21-25
21-32
26-19
21-21
27-21
34-16
10-24
24-29
18-16
21-9
18-21
31-20
12-19
18-18
17-9
22-29
26-24
14-15
23-23
22-21
31-12
25-27
23-28
26-24
31-19
29-24
23-21
23-24
16-20
26-24
28-18
180.8Avg total
93.0Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)87.882.3170.1+5.677%
Season at home (17)86.979.6166.5+7.388%
Season away (18)88.784.8173.5+3.967%
Last 10 (10)93.087.8180.8+5.270%
Last 5 (5)93.283.8177.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.390.3175.6-5.029%
vs Similar (7)86.689.0175.6-2.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.181.1172.2+9.994%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
BotafogoMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H17/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A04/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A06/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H12/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A24/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H03/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H06/04
NBB
75.2Avg total
38.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.578.0-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.138.077.1+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)36.142.878.8-6.719%-
Last 10 (10)38.436.875.2+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.673.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.240.377.5-3.135%-
vs Similar (7)38.441.379.7-2.929%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H08/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H17/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A24/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H01/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A06/04
NBB
91.1Avg total
45.8Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.044.689.6+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.941.086.9+4.962%-
Last 30 away (17)44.347.391.6-3.024%-
Last 10 (10)45.845.391.1+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)48.042.490.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.746.686.3-6.90%-
vs Similar (7)44.949.794.6-4.914%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.441.488.8+5.969%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.5
51.6%
52.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.4
28.2%
32.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.711.6
65.5%
72.8%11.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.2
57.0%
52.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.7
37.0%
32.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.217.5
72.3%
72.8%17.5
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
WLWWLWLWLL
Minas
WWWLWWWLWL
#16
League position
#3
-4.0
Net rating
+6.5
88.2
Offensive rating
103.6
92.2
Defensive rating
97.0
48.0%
Effective FG%
56.4%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.2%
3-point %
37.0%
63.4%
Assist %
65.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence88.2 · 103.6Defence92.2 · 97.0Shooting48.0% · 56.4%3-point %28.2% · 37.0%Ball care13.6% · 13.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Botafogo   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Botafogo wins
8
Minas wins
DateGameScore
18/12/25Minas v Botafogo95-88
09/04/25Minas v Botafogo97-59
02/12/24Botafogo v Minas68-95
08/01/24Minas v Botafogo89-52
21/10/23Botafogo v Minas76-96
28/01/20Botafogo v Minas84-86
14/10/19Minas v Botafogo84-85
06/03/19Botafogo v Minas79-62
04/12/18Minas v Botafogo85-77
20/02/18Botafogo v Minas70-76
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/26HCruzeiro80-70
03/04/26HPaulistano72-86
24/03/26AUniao Corinthians78-71
22/03/26ACaxias do Sul68-67
16/03/26HPinheiros62-93
12/03/26HOsasco85-79
06/03/26ABrasilia73-79
04/03/26ARio Claro83-82
19/02/26HBauru81-87
17/02/26HFranca66-88
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/26AFlamengo93-86
04/04/26AVasco109-88
01/04/26HCruzeiro101-88
24/03/26APinheiros85-91
22/03/26AOsasco78-66
19/03/26HCaxias do Sul81-75
17/03/26HUniao Corinthians92-82
12/03/26AFranca91-103
11/03/26AFranca110-101
08/03/26HFranca90-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW29%
HomeLWLLW41%
AwayLWLWW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %29%41%17%
Points / game72.875.170.6
Allowed / game82.079.684.3
Point differential-9.3-4.5-13.8
Avg total154.8154.7154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %77%88%67%
Points / game87.886.988.7
Allowed / game82.379.684.8
Point differential+5.6+7.3+3.9
Avg total170.1166.5173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)71% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %9%12%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3529683%90.777.1+13.7
2 Pinheiros3629781%85.574.6+10.9
3 Minas3527877%87.882.3+5.6
4 Brasilia3627975%81.471.9+9.5
5 Flamengo36261072%86.978.8+8.0
6 Corinthians Paulista35251071%84.979.1+5.9
7 Paulistano35221363%83.478.1+5.3
8 Bauru36211558%81.979.0+2.9
9 Sao Jose35201557%82.580.7+1.8
10 Mogi35191654%76.170.9+5.2
11 Unifacisa35181751%81.580.3+1.2
12 Uniao Corinthians35181751%79.581.3-1.8
13 Caxias do Sul35161946%73.976.8-2.9
14 Cruzeiro35112431%79.585.6-6.1
15 Rio Claro36112531%78.185.8-7.7
16 Botafogo35102529%72.882.0-9.3
17 Pato3472721%72.879.8-7.0
18 Cearense3672919%76.789.1-12.3
19 Vasco3553014%70.580.7-10.2
20 Osasco3653114%76.088.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2815141471
Minas28322323106
← all games of the day
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