PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Texas State vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 66-62
33-30 33-32
Position#236
Record11-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game64.4
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#278
Record10-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Texas State v Arkansas State
17 Dec 2025
TEXA70
ARKA89
01 Feb 2025
TEXA74
ARKA85
20 Jan 2024
TEXA72
ARKA79
09 Feb 2023
TEXA66
ARKA62
17 Feb 2022
TEXA84
ARKA67
09 Jan 2021
TEXA v ARKA
upcoming
08 Jan 2021
TEXA v ARKA
upcoming
15 Feb 2020
TEXA69
ARKA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#69
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A06/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A07/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A14/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A03/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-27
36-35
36-21
28-37
28-24
33-34
25-22
33-39
33-33
40-48
22-27
29-33
31-36
39-31
27-34
31-33
34-38
29-44
24-45
40-23
128.9Avg total
62.5Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)64.465.8130.3-1.444%
Season at home (11)66.666.6133.3+0.036%
Season away (14)62.765.2127.9-2.550%
Last 10 (10)62.566.4128.9-3.940%
Last 5 (5)61.268.8130.0-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)63.067.2130.2-4.227%
vs Similar ◀ (10)63.665.3128.9-1.760%
vs Weaker (5)64.060.0124.0+4.060%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#166
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A06/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A07/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
57-74
57
74
-17
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A27/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
62-82
62
82
-20
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
18-29
27-34
27-31
27-35
24-28
34-33
33-33
24-41
30-43
41-37
23-31
48-40
27-33
30-40
25-31
26-32
30-44
32-38
28-24
45-33
131.2Avg total
60.6Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)65.467.3132.7-2.040%
Season at home (16)70.867.1137.9+3.856%
Season away (9)55.767.8123.4-12.111%
Last 10 (10)60.670.6131.2-10.010%
Last 5 (5)64.272.4136.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)61.873.8135.5-12.08%
vs Similar ◀ (10)63.666.3129.9-2.750%
vs Weaker (7)72.660.6133.1+12.086%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -2.9-2.9
Texas StateArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#69
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A06/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A07/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A14/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H21/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A05/02
NCAA
59.4Avg total
28.7Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.529.458.9+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.430.560.8-0.138%-
Last 30 away (17)28.928.557.4+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)28.730.759.4-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)27.636.063.6-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.330.760.0-1.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)29.229.258.4+0.050%-
vs Weaker (5)27.226.653.8+0.660%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#166
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A06/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A27/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H04/02
NCAA
59.2Avg total
26.5Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.032.262.2-2.230%-
Last 30 at home (19)31.932.764.6-0.832%-
Last 30 away (11)26.731.257.9-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)26.532.759.2-6.210%-
Last 5 (5)26.632.659.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)27.434.962.3-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)28.631.560.1-2.930%-
vs Weaker (7)35.029.064.0+6.071%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Texas State wins
1
Arkansas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/23ATroy64-68
03/02/23ALouisiana Lafayette63-82
28/01/23ASouthern Miss58-67
27/01/23HGeorgia Southern70-67
21/01/23HLouisiana Lafayette51-60
20/01/23HMarshall73-81
14/01/23ALouisiana Monroe58-61
13/01/23AArkansas State61-58
07/01/23ASouth Alabama64-58
06/01/23AJames Madison63-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HCoastal Carolina73-57
03/02/23HSouth Alabama62-82
28/01/23AAppalachian State51-63
27/01/23ASouthern Miss57-73
21/01/23HMarshall78-87 OT
20/01/23HLouisiana Lafayette71-80
14/01/23HSouthern Miss57-74
13/01/23HTexas State58-61
07/01/23ATroy54-66
06/01/23ASouth Alabama45-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeLLLLW36%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %44%36%50%
Points / game64.466.662.7
Allowed / game65.866.665.2
Point differential-1.4+0.0-2.5
Avg total130.3133.3127.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%27%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)33% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeLLLLW56%
AwayWLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %40%56%11%
Points / game65.470.855.7
Allowed / game67.367.167.8
Point differential-2.0+3.8-12.1
Avg total132.7137.9123.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss2521484%75.563.7+11.8
2 Louisiana Lafayette2420483%80.270.4+9.8
3 Marshall2620677%81.969.9+12.0
4 James Madison2617965%81.666.8+14.8
5 Old Dominion25151060%67.466.0+1.5
6 Troy25141156%72.665.8+6.8
7 Appalachian State26141254%70.963.5+7.4
8 Georgia Southern26131350%68.566.7+1.7
9 South Alabama24111346%70.167.2+2.9
10 Texas State25111444%64.465.8-1.4
11 Louisiana Monroe26111542%68.568.5+0.0
12 Coastal Carolina25101540%73.872.7+1.0
13 Georgia State25101540%66.266.4-0.2
14 Arkansas State25101540%65.467.3-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State333366
Arkansas State303262
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.