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Arkansas State vs Georgia State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 75-70
35-38 40-32
Position#278
Record10-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game64.7
Allowed / game67.3
vs
Position#320
Record10-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Arkansas State v Georgia State
09 Jan 2027
ARKA v GEOR
upcoming
18 Jan 2025
ARKA85
GEOR59
18 Feb 2023
ARKA75
GEOR70
06 Jan 2020
ARKA90
GEOR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#21
L
57-74
57
74
-17
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A27/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
62-82
62
82
-20
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H04/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A11/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
24-41
30-43
41-37
23-31
48-40
27-33
30-40
25-31
26-32
30-44
32-38
28-24
45-33
30-33
32-33
24-30
29-38
27-30
35-37
134.3Avg total
62.6Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)64.767.3132.0-2.636%
Season at home (17)70.367.1137.4+3.253%
Season away (11)56.067.6123.6-11.69%
Last 10 (10)62.671.7134.3-9.110%
Last 5 (5)62.468.0130.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)60.672.2132.8-11.59%
vs Similar ◀ (12)62.666.4129.0-3.842%
vs Weaker (6)75.062.5137.5+12.583%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
100-66
100
66
+34
H14/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A20/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A21/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
65-103
65
103
-38
A29/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H03/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H04/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H10/02
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H11/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-26
54-40
25-33
33-37
16-34
36-24
27-42
32-29
29-56
36-47
25-27
39-33
34-30
37-49
22-29
38-34
37-43
40-45
24-35
44-42
140.9Avg total
67.4Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)66.767.6134.3-0.937%
Season at home (18)70.164.7134.8+5.356%
Season away (9)60.073.4133.4-13.40%
Last 10 (10)67.473.5140.9-6.120%
Last 5 (5)68.073.4141.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)65.573.1138.6-7.625%
vs Similar ◀ (10)65.065.2130.2-0.240%
vs Weaker (4)81.558.8140.2+22.8100%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -5.5-5.51st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +0.9+0.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -5.5-5.51st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +0.9+0.9
Arkansas StateGeorgia State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#21
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A27/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H04/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H17/02
NCAA
60.9Avg total
27.7Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.831.761.5-2.027%-
Last 30 at home (19)31.632.464.0-0.832%-
Last 30 away (11)26.630.557.2-3.918%-
Last 10 (10)27.733.260.9-5.510%-
Last 5 (5)27.832.260.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)26.733.259.9-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)28.331.559.8-3.225%-
vs Weaker (6)36.530.266.7+6.367%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H14/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A20/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
16-34
16
34
-18
A21/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A26/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A29/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H03/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H04/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H10/02
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A17/02
NCAA
64.0Avg total
28.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.931.962.8-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.429.162.5+4.353%-
Last 30 away (11)26.636.663.3-10.018%-
Last 10 (10)28.535.564.0-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)28.432.861.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)29.934.464.4-4.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)29.030.659.6-1.640%-
vs Weaker (4)39.824.864.5+15.0100%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Arkansas State wins
1
Georgia State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/23HTroy62-67
11/02/23AGeorgia Southern53-68
10/02/23ATexas State62-66
04/02/23HCoastal Carolina73-57
03/02/23HSouth Alabama62-82
28/01/23AAppalachian State51-63
27/01/23ASouthern Miss57-73
21/01/23HMarshall78-87 OT
20/01/23HLouisiana Lafayette71-80
14/01/23HSouthern Miss57-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/23ACoastal Carolina68-77
11/02/23HMarshall77-88
10/02/23HOld Dominion60-63
04/02/23HSouthern Miss71-79
03/02/23HGeorgia Southern64-60
29/01/23AMarshall65-103
26/01/23AAppalachian State59-71
21/01/23AGeorgia Southern52-58
20/01/23AOld Dominion58-70
14/01/23HCoastal Carolina100-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeLLLWL53%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %36%53%9%
Points / game64.770.356.0
Allowed / game67.367.167.6
Point differential-2.6+3.2-11.6
Avg total132.0137.4123.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Georgia State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL37%
HomeWWLLL56%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27189
Win %37%56%0%
Points / game66.770.160.0
Allowed / game67.664.773.4
Point differential-0.9+5.3-13.4
Avg total134.3134.8133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%28%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)43% (7)-
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss2924583%74.964.8+10.1
2 Marshall2822679%82.270.6+11.5
3 Louisiana Lafayette2721678%79.571.1+8.4
4 James Madison2819968%81.166.8+14.3
5 Troy28171161%72.365.4+6.9
6 Old Dominion27161159%67.566.4+1.1
7 Appalachian State28151354%70.864.3+6.5
8 South Alabama28141450%70.565.6+4.9
9 Georgia Southern29141548%68.767.1+1.7
10 Texas State29131645%65.466.7-1.3
11 Coastal Carolina28111739%73.672.8+0.9
12 Louisiana Monroe28111739%68.469.4-0.9
13 Georgia State27101737%66.767.6-0.9
14 Arkansas State28101836%64.767.3-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State354075
Georgia State383270
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