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Bowling Green vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-61
32-28 47-33
Position#257
Record6-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#333
Record5-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game81.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bowling Green v Buffalo
27 Jan 2026
BOWL78
BUFF89
14 Jan 2025
BOWL79
BUFF61
06 Feb 2024
BOWL87
BUFF73
15 Feb 2022
BOWL85
BUFF112
06 Dec 2020
BOWL86
BUFF78
06 Mar 2020
BOWL84
BUFF88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bowling Green winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#362
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A23/11
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H07/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A15/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
68-93
68
93
-25
H21/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#428
W
87-62
87
62
+25
H23/12
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A08/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-34
39-46
43-40
27-33
26-23
35-37
55-37
47-44
45-46
32-39
20-46
48-47
43-25
44-37
32-30
36-41
38-42
45-37
26-42
43-49
152.8Avg total
75.3Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.476.0153.4+1.440%
Season at home (9)80.471.3151.8+9.156%
Season away (6)72.883.0155.8-10.217%
Last 10 (10)75.377.5152.8-2.240%
Last 5 (5)75.079.2154.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.576.8144.3-9.317%
vs Similar (14)75.478.3153.7-2.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)71.769.0140.7+2.744%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morgan State
#258
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H23/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A01/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh Bradford
#510
W
100-65
100
65
+35
H04/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
49-100
49
100
-51
A20/12
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A29/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A04/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H08/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
49-68
49
68
-19
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
51-37
43-43
39-38
28-38
36-49
46-30
54-35
22-32
33-33
19-56
30-44
29-39
42-52
39-46
40-47
20-37
59-51
20-24
29-44
152.1Avg total
71.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.581.5154.0-8.933%
Season at home (7)77.677.1154.7+0.457%
Season away (8)68.185.2153.4-17.112%
Last 10 (10)71.081.1152.1-10.130%
Last 5 (5)65.488.0153.4-22.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)68.381.5149.8-13.315%
vs Similar (1)82.081.0163.0+1.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: -8.4-8.42nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -1.7-1.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: -8.4-8.42nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -1.7-1.7
Bowling GreenBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#362
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A23/11
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H30/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H07/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A15/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
20-46
20
46
-26
H21/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#428
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H23/12
NCAA
Akron
#21
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A08/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A11/01
NCAA
72.2Avg total
35.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.634.267.8-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.832.968.8+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)31.035.666.6-4.614%-
Last 10 (10)35.736.572.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)31.837.068.8-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.336.068.3-3.733%-
vs Similar (14)34.636.170.8-1.543%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)29.931.261.1-1.333%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morgan State
#258
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H23/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H26/11
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A01/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh Bradford
#510
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H04/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
19-56
19
56
-37
A20/12
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A29/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H10/01
NCAA
67.8Avg total
29.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.838.270.0-6.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.637.869.4-6.121%-
Last 30 away (16)31.938.670.6-6.725%-
Last 10 (10)29.738.167.8-8.410%-
Last 5 (5)25.440.465.8-15.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)30.738.368.9-7.622%-
vs Similar (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bowling Green wins
4
Buffalo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25ABall State69-91
08/01/25AWestern Michigan83-79
03/01/25HAkron68-71
23/12/24HAquinas87-62
21/12/24HSt. Thomas (Minn.)68-93
15/12/24AUMKC77-85
07/12/24HMorgan State102-81
30/11/24HNew Mexico State61-60
29/11/24HWeber State70-73
23/11/24ABellarmine68-80
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25HKent State49-68
08/01/25HOhio79-88
04/01/25AMiami (Ohio)79-93
29/12/24ATemple71-91
20/12/24AGeorgia49-100
07/12/24ASt. Bonaventure55-65
04/12/24HPittsburgh Bradford100-65
01/12/24APenn State64-87
26/11/24HN. Carolina A&T82-81
23/11/24HMorgan State82-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bowling Green
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %40%56%17%
Points / game77.480.472.8
Allowed / game76.071.383.0
Point differential+1.4+9.1-10.2
Avg total153.4151.8155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%57%12%
Points / game72.577.668.1
Allowed / game81.577.185.2
Point differential-8.9+0.4-17.1
Avg total154.0154.7153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)1511473%83.571.7+11.9
2 Kent State1511473%69.262.5+6.7
3 Akron1510567%82.173.3+8.8
4 Ohio159660%80.874.0+6.8
5 Toledo159660%77.377.2+0.1
6 Ball State158753%76.370.8+5.5
7 Eastern Michigan157847%72.778.4-5.7
8 Central Michigan156940%72.870.8+2.0
9 Bowling Green156940%77.476.0+1.4
10 UMass1761135%73.574.9-1.5
11 Buffalo1551033%72.581.5-8.9
12 Northern Illinois1541127%70.976.3-5.3
13 Western Michigan1531220%71.075.9-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bowling Green324779
Buffalo283361
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